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Paul Newsome Score: 43

Analyst at Piper Sandler
Avg Return (Buy)
? How much profit would you make?
Calculates the average return of all BUY recommendations after exactly 1 year (or today if newer).

Note: Sell ratings are ignored here to focus on investment potential.
+11.7%
1 Year Cap
Win Rate
? How often is the direction correct?
Percentage of trades that are currently profitable.
• Buy: Stock price went UP 📈
• Sell: Stock price went DOWN 📉
67%
43 W / 21 L
Target Met
? How often was the target reached?
Hits vs. Total.
90%
43 W / 5 L
Precision Hit
? How often precise (±3%)?
Hits vs. Total.
10%
5 W / 43 L
Bullseye Hit
? How often perfect (±1%)?
Hits vs. Total.
4%
2 W / 46 L
High Conviction
? The "Brave" Trades (>20% Upside)
Win Rate only for recommendations where the analyst predicted a massive move (>20%).
Shows if they are right when they bet big.
85%
11 W / 2 L
Long Wins
? Success rate for BUY ratings
How often is the analyst right when saying "Buy"?
(Price went UP).
69%
41 W / 18 L
Short Wins
? Success rate for SELL ratings
How often is the analyst right when saying "Sell"?
(Price went DOWN).
40%
2 W / 3 L

Coverage & Price Targets

Date Stock Signal Target Start Price Best Price (1Y) Accuracy Current Price
May 26, 2026
Aon plc. - Ordinary Shares - Class A AON
BUY $360.00
Est. +11%
$324.78 $357.47
Bullseye Hit (±1%)
$357.46 +10.1%
May 26, 2026
Cincinnati Financial Corp. CINF
BUY $175.00
Est. +4%
$168.10 $192.09
Target Met
$192.03 +14.2%
May 06, 2026
United Fire Group Inc UFCS
BUY $45.00
Est. +13%
$39.85 $54.42
Target Met
$53.93 +35.3%
May 01, 2026
Hanover Insurance Group Inc THG
BUY $212.00
Est. +13%
$187.69 $221.61
Target Met
$221.61 +18.1%
May 01, 2026
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. AJG
BUY $211.00
Est. +2%
$206.40 $252.96
Target Met
$252.44 +22.3%
May 01, 2026
Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Co WTW
BUY $283.00
Est. +10%
$256.20 $286.94
Precision Hit (±3%)
$286.22 +11.7%
Apr 24, 2026
Old Republic International Corp. ORI
BUY $40.00
Est. +0%
$39.90 $41.91
Target Met
$41.87 +4.9%
Apr 23, 2026
Goosehead Insurance Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A GSHD
BUY $60.00
Est. +32%
$45.58 $54.94
Pending
$52.69 +15.6%
Mar 02, 2026
Progressive Corp. PGR
BUY $259.00
Est. +22%
$212.80 $232.29
Pending
$232.22 +9.1%
Feb 23, 2026
Accelerant Holdings ARX
BUY $13.00
Est. +27%
$10.26 $17.85
Target Met
$13.77 +34.2%
Feb 23, 2026
Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Co WTW
BUY $341.00
Est. +13%
$301.81 $310.02
Pending
$286.22 -5.2%
Feb 13, 2026
Ryan Specialty Holdings Inc - Ordinary Shares Class A RYAN
SELL $43.00
Est. +3%
$44.38 $29.28 (Low)
Target Met
$42.03 +5.3%
Jan 30, 2026
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. AJG
BUY $249.00
Est. +1%
$245.84 $256.60
Target Met
$252.44 +2.7%
Dec 22, 2025
United Fire Group Inc UFCS
BUY $37.00
Est. +0%
$36.87 $54.42
Target Met
$53.93 +46.3%
Dec 22, 2025
Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. BOW
BUY $32.00
Est. +14%
$28.00 $32.13
Bullseye Hit (±1%)
$31.48 +12.4%
Dec 08, 2025
Old Republic International Corp. ORI
BUY $51.00
Est. +19%
$42.95 $46.76
Pending
$41.87 -2.5%
Oct 31, 2025
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. AJG
BUY $295.00
Est. +20%
$246.23 $266.87
Pending
$252.44 +2.5%
Oct 06, 2025
Old Republic International Corp. ORI
BUY $47.00
Est. +8%
$43.35 $46.76
Bullseye Hit (±1%)
$41.87 -3.4%
Oct 02, 2025
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. AJG
BUY $340.00
Est. +11%
$305.84 $313.55
Pending
$252.44 -17.5%
Sep 02, 2025
Old Republic International Corp. ORI
BUY $45.00
Est. +12%
$40.01 $46.76
Target Met
$41.87 +4.6%
Sep 02, 2025
Goosehead Insurance Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A GSHD
BUY $92.00
Est. +11%
$82.93 $85.53
Pending
$52.69 -36.5%
Aug 18, 2025
Accelerant Holdings ARX
BUY $35.00
Est. +24%
$28.33 $17.85
Pending
$13.77 -51.4%
Aug 14, 2025
TWFG Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A TWFG
BUY $32.00
Est. +16%
$27.50 $29.99
Pending
$25.80 -6.2%
May 05, 2025
Skyward Specialty Insurance Group Inc SKWD
BUY $66.00
Est. +11%
$59.36 $65.05
Precision Hit (±3%)
$61.42 +3.5%
Apr 16, 2025
Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. BOW
BUY $44.00
Est. +10%
$39.83 $41.98
Miss
$31.48 -21.0%
Apr 01, 2025
Old Republic International Corp. ORI
BUY $43.00
Est. +9%
$39.62 $46.76
Target Met
$41.87 +5.7%
Jan 24, 2025
Travelers Companies Inc. TRV
BUY $310.00
Est. +28%
$241.51 $296.85
Miss
$342.31 +41.7%
Dec 09, 2024
Old Republic International Corp. ORI
BUY $41.00
Est. +10%
$37.38 $46.63
Target Met
$41.87 +12.0%
Dec 09, 2024
Goosehead Insurance Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A GSHD
BUY $132.00
Est. +8%
$122.43 $127.99
Miss
$52.69 -57.0%
Dec 09, 2024
Skyward Specialty Insurance Group Inc SKWD
BUY $58.00
Est. +10%
$52.49 $65.05
Target Met
$61.42 +17.0%
Dec 09, 2024
Palomar Holdings Inc PLMR
BUY $119.00
Est. +8%
$109.74 $176.00
Target Met
$140.00 +27.6%
Nov 18, 2024
United Fire Group Inc UFCS
BUY $26.00
Est. +37%
$18.93 $37.40
Target Met
$53.93 +184.9%
Oct 29, 2024
Cincinnati Financial Corp. CINF
SELL $126.00
Est. +13%
$144.49 $123.02 (Low)
Precision Hit (±3%)
$192.03 -32.9%
Oct 28, 2024
Goosehead Insurance Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A GSHD
BUY $122.00
Est. +13%
$108.22 $130.39
Target Met
$52.69 -51.3%
Oct 21, 2024
Goosehead Insurance Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A GSHD
BUY $103.00
Est. +7%
$96.46 $130.39
Target Met
$52.69 -45.4%
Oct 14, 2024
Goosehead Insurance Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A GSHD
BUY $94.00
Est. +4%
$90.48 $130.39
Target Met
$52.69 -41.8%
Oct 04, 2024
Old Republic International Corp. ORI
BUY $36.00
Est. +2%
$35.33 $43.56
Target Met
$41.87 +18.5%
Aug 16, 2024
Allstate Corp (The) ALL
BUY $196.00
Est. +10%
$178.11 $213.18
Target Met
$250.33 +40.5%
Aug 15, 2024
Progressive Corp. PGR
BUY $252.00
Est. +8%
$234.34 $292.94
Target Met
$232.22 -0.9%
Aug 14, 2024
Skyward Specialty Insurance Group Inc SKWD
BUY $48.00
Est. +31%
$36.73 $65.05
Target Met
$61.42 +67.2%
Aug 12, 2024
TWFG Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A TWFG
BUY $27.00
Est. +10%
$24.50 $36.79
Target Met
$25.80 +5.3%
Aug 08, 2024
Heritage Insurance Holdings Inc. HRTG
BUY $13.00
Est. +59%
$8.16 $26.56
Target Met
$27.12 +232.4%
Aug 06, 2024
Kemper Corporation KMPR
BUY $80.00
Est. +30%
$61.71 $73.01
Miss
$28.83 -53.3%
Jul 29, 2024
Aon plc. - Ordinary Shares - Class A AON
BUY $335.00
Est. +4%
$323.00 $412.97
Target Met
$357.46 +10.7%
Jul 29, 2024
Hartford Financial Services Group Inc. HIG
BUY $125.00
Est. +14%
$109.44 $132.05
Target Met
$137.85 +26.0%
Jul 26, 2024
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. AJG
SELL $254.00
Est. +7%
$273.97 $267.00 (Low)
Miss
$252.44 +7.9%
Jul 22, 2024
Travelers Companies Inc. TRV
BUY $207.00
Est. +2%
$203.48 $277.83
Target Met
$342.31 +68.2%
Jul 22, 2024
Selective Insurance Group Inc. SIGI
BUY $85.00
Est. +1%
$83.93 $103.56
Target Met
$100.15 +19.3%
May 15, 2024
Proassurance Corporation PRA
BUY $17.00
Est. +15%
$14.72 $23.70
Target Met
$25.00 +69.8%
May 06, 2024
American Financial Group Inc AFG
BUY $135.00
Est. +6%
$127.41 $150.19
Target Met
$142.75 +12.0%
Apr 29, 2024
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. AJG
BUY $252.00
Est. +8%
$234.21 $350.70
Target Met
$252.44 +7.8%
Apr 29, 2024
Aon plc. - Ordinary Shares - Class A AON
BUY $312.00
Est. +11%
$282.08 $412.97
Target Met
$357.46 +26.7%
Apr 25, 2024
Goosehead Insurance Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A GSHD
BUY $65.00
Est. +22%
$53.13 $130.39
Target Met
$52.69 -0.8%
Apr 19, 2024
American International Group Inc AIG
BUY $89.00
Est. +22%
$72.99 $88.05
Precision Hit (±3%)
$79.39 +8.8%
Apr 17, 2024
Marsh & McLennan Cos., Inc. MMC
BUY $211.00
Est. +7%
$196.29 $248.00
Target Met
$182.70 -6.9%
Apr 17, 2024
Travelers Companies Inc. TRV
SELL $213.00
Est. +5%
$223.12 $200.40 (Low)
Target Met
$342.31 -53.4%
Apr 12, 2024
Progressive Corp. PGR
BUY $240.00
Est. +19%
$202.26 $292.94
Target Met
$232.22 +14.8%
Apr 01, 2024
Allstate Corp (The) ALL
BUY $188.00
Est. +9%
$173.01 $212.88
Target Met
$250.33 +44.7%
Mar 28, 2024
Goosehead Insurance Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A GSHD
BUY $88.00
Est. +35%
$64.99 $130.39
Target Met
$52.69 -18.9%
Feb 12, 2024
Old Republic International Corp. ORI
BUY $32.00
Est. +15%
$27.87 $39.27
Target Met
$41.87 +50.2%
Oct 27, 2022
United Fire Group Inc UFCS
SELL $31.00
Est. +2%
$31.75 - -
$53.93 -69.9%
Apr 27, 2022
Goosehead Insurance Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A GSHD
BUY $75.00
Est. +42%
$52.71 - -
$52.69 0.0%
Apr 28, 2021
Marsh & McLennan Cos., Inc. MMC
BUY $145.00
Est. +10%
$132.19 - -
$182.70 +38.2%
Apr 12, 2021
American International Group Inc AIG
BUY $52.00
Est. +13%
$46.07 - -
$79.39 +72.3%
Signal & Target
BUY $360.00
Start Price $324.78
Best Price (1Y)
$357.47
Current Price $357.46
Return +10.1%
Signal & Target
BUY $175.00
Start Price $168.10
Best Price (1Y)
$192.09
Current Price $192.03
Return +14.2%
Signal & Target
BUY $45.00
Start Price $39.85
Best Price (1Y)
$54.42
Current Price $53.93
Return +35.3%
Signal & Target
BUY $212.00
Start Price $187.69
Best Price (1Y)
$221.61
Current Price $221.61
Return +18.1%
Signal & Target
BUY $211.00
Start Price $206.40
Best Price (1Y)
$252.96
Current Price $252.44
Return +22.3%
Signal & Target
BUY $283.00
Start Price $256.20
Best Price (1Y)
$286.94
Current Price $286.22
Return +11.7%
Signal & Target
BUY $40.00
Start Price $39.90
Best Price (1Y)
$41.91
Current Price $41.87
Return +4.9%
Signal & Target
BUY $60.00
Start Price $45.58
Best Price (1Y)
$54.94
Current Price $52.69
Return +15.6%
Signal & Target
BUY $259.00
Start Price $212.80
Best Price (1Y)
$232.29
Current Price $232.22
Return +9.1%
Signal & Target
BUY $13.00
Start Price $10.26
Best Price (1Y)
$17.85
Current Price $13.77
Return +34.2%
Signal & Target
BUY $341.00
Start Price $301.81
Best Price (1Y)
$310.02
Current Price $286.22
Return -5.2%
Signal & Target
SELL $43.00
Start Price $44.38
Best Price (1Y)
$29.28
Current Price $42.03
Return +5.3%
Signal & Target
BUY $249.00
Start Price $245.84
Best Price (1Y)
$256.60
Current Price $252.44
Return +2.7%
Signal & Target
BUY $37.00
Start Price $36.87
Best Price (1Y)
$54.42
Current Price $53.93
Return +46.3%
Signal & Target
BUY $32.00
Start Price $28.00
Best Price (1Y)
$32.13
Current Price $31.48
Return +12.4%
Signal & Target
BUY $51.00
Start Price $42.95
Best Price (1Y)
$46.76
Current Price $41.87
Return -2.5%
Signal & Target
BUY $295.00
Start Price $246.23
Best Price (1Y)
$266.87
Current Price $252.44
Return +2.5%
Signal & Target
BUY $47.00
Start Price $43.35
Best Price (1Y)
$46.76
Current Price $41.87
Return -3.4%
Signal & Target
BUY $340.00
Start Price $305.84
Best Price (1Y)
$313.55
Current Price $252.44
Return -17.5%
Signal & Target
BUY $45.00
Start Price $40.01
Best Price (1Y)
$46.76
Current Price $41.87
Return +4.6%
Signal & Target
BUY $92.00
Start Price $82.93
Best Price (1Y)
$85.53
Current Price $52.69
Return -36.5%
Signal & Target
BUY $35.00
Start Price $28.33
Best Price (1Y)
$17.85
Current Price $13.77
Return -51.4%
Signal & Target
BUY $32.00
Start Price $27.50
Best Price (1Y)
$29.99
Current Price $25.80
Return -6.2%
Signal & Target
BUY $66.00
Start Price $59.36
Best Price (1Y)
$65.05
Current Price $61.42
Return +3.5%
Signal & Target
BUY $44.00
Start Price $39.83
Best Price (1Y)
$41.98
Current Price $31.48
Return -21.0%
Signal & Target
BUY $43.00
Start Price $39.62
Best Price (1Y)
$46.76
Current Price $41.87
Return +5.7%
Signal & Target
BUY $310.00
Start Price $241.51
Best Price (1Y)
$296.85
Current Price $342.31
Return +41.7%
Signal & Target
BUY $41.00
Start Price $37.38
Best Price (1Y)
$46.63
Current Price $41.87
Return +12.0%
Signal & Target
BUY $132.00
Start Price $122.43
Best Price (1Y)
$127.99
Current Price $52.69
Return -57.0%
Signal & Target
BUY $58.00
Start Price $52.49
Best Price (1Y)
$65.05
Current Price $61.42
Return +17.0%
Signal & Target
BUY $119.00
Start Price $109.74
Best Price (1Y)
$176.00
Current Price $140.00
Return +27.6%
Signal & Target
BUY $26.00
Start Price $18.93
Best Price (1Y)
$37.40
Current Price $53.93
Return +184.9%
Signal & Target
SELL $126.00
Start Price $144.49
Best Price (1Y)
$123.02
Current Price $192.03
Return -32.9%
Signal & Target
BUY $122.00
Start Price $108.22
Best Price (1Y)
$130.39
Current Price $52.69
Return -51.3%
Signal & Target
BUY $103.00
Start Price $96.46
Best Price (1Y)
$130.39
Current Price $52.69
Return -45.4%
Signal & Target
BUY $94.00
Start Price $90.48
Best Price (1Y)
$130.39
Current Price $52.69
Return -41.8%
Signal & Target
BUY $36.00
Start Price $35.33
Best Price (1Y)
$43.56
Current Price $41.87
Return +18.5%
Signal & Target
BUY $196.00
Start Price $178.11
Best Price (1Y)
$213.18
Current Price $250.33
Return +40.5%
Signal & Target
BUY $252.00
Start Price $234.34
Best Price (1Y)
$292.94
Current Price $232.22
Return -0.9%
Signal & Target
BUY $48.00
Start Price $36.73
Best Price (1Y)
$65.05
Current Price $61.42
Return +67.2%
Signal & Target
BUY $27.00
Start Price $24.50
Best Price (1Y)
$36.79
Current Price $25.80
Return +5.3%
Signal & Target
BUY $13.00
Start Price $8.16
Best Price (1Y)
$26.56
Current Price $27.12
Return +232.4%
Signal & Target
BUY $80.00
Start Price $61.71
Best Price (1Y)
$73.01
Current Price $28.83
Return -53.3%
Signal & Target
BUY $335.00
Start Price $323.00
Best Price (1Y)
$412.97
Current Price $357.46
Return +10.7%
Signal & Target
BUY $125.00
Start Price $109.44
Best Price (1Y)
$132.05
Current Price $137.85
Return +26.0%
Signal & Target
SELL $254.00
Start Price $273.97
Best Price (1Y)
$267.00
Current Price $252.44
Return +7.9%
Signal & Target
BUY $207.00
Start Price $203.48
Best Price (1Y)
$277.83
Current Price $342.31
Return +68.2%
Signal & Target
BUY $85.00
Start Price $83.93
Best Price (1Y)
$103.56
Current Price $100.15
Return +19.3%
Signal & Target
BUY $17.00
Start Price $14.72
Best Price (1Y)
$23.70
Current Price $25.00
Return +69.8%
Signal & Target
BUY $135.00
Start Price $127.41
Best Price (1Y)
$150.19
Current Price $142.75
Return +12.0%
Signal & Target
BUY $252.00
Start Price $234.21
Best Price (1Y)
$350.70
Current Price $252.44
Return +7.8%
Signal & Target
BUY $312.00
Start Price $282.08
Best Price (1Y)
$412.97
Current Price $357.46
Return +26.7%
Signal & Target
BUY $65.00
Start Price $53.13
Best Price (1Y)
$130.39
Current Price $52.69
Return -0.8%
Signal & Target
BUY $89.00
Start Price $72.99
Best Price (1Y)
$88.05
Current Price $79.39
Return +8.8%
Signal & Target
BUY $211.00
Start Price $196.29
Best Price (1Y)
$248.00
Current Price $182.70
Return -6.9%
Signal & Target
SELL $213.00
Start Price $223.12
Best Price (1Y)
$200.40
Current Price $342.31
Return -53.4%
Signal & Target
BUY $240.00
Start Price $202.26
Best Price (1Y)
$292.94
Current Price $232.22
Return +14.8%
Signal & Target
BUY $188.00
Start Price $173.01
Best Price (1Y)
$212.88
Current Price $250.33
Return +44.7%
Signal & Target
BUY $88.00
Start Price $64.99
Best Price (1Y)
$130.39
Current Price $52.69
Return -18.9%
Signal & Target
BUY $32.00
Start Price $27.87
Best Price (1Y)
$39.27
Current Price $41.87
Return +50.2%
Signal & Target
SELL $31.00
Start Price $31.75
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price $53.93
Return -69.9%
Signal & Target
BUY $75.00
Start Price $52.71
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price $52.69
Return 0.0%
Signal & Target
BUY $145.00
Start Price $132.19
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price $182.70
Return +38.2%
Signal & Target
BUY $52.00
Start Price $46.07
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price $79.39
Return +72.3%