Vale S.A. - ADR

Vale S.A. - ADR

VALE

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Market Cap$69.3B
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P/E RatioDividendsReturn on EquityPrice-to-SalesDebt-to-Equity
Vale S.A. - ADRVale S.A. - ADR24.26.61%8%1.70.5

Earnings Call Q1 2026

April 29, 2026 - AI Summary

Q1 operational performance was strong; cost/price realization improved - Iron ore: production +3% YoY, supported by record S11D and Brucutu and ramp-up of Capanema & Vargem Grande; Serra Sul +20 at 86% physical completion, on track for 2H 2026 start-up. - Sales volumes: +4% YoY; commercial flexibility improved price realization—all linked premiums increased by $2.6/ton Q/Q, translating to ~$800m annualized revenue. - Vale Base Metals (VBM): - Copper: 102k tons in Q1, highest since 2017, +13% YoY (record at Salobo & Sossego; also helped by Voisey’s Bay). - Nickel: +12% YoY, best Q1 performance since 2020; 49k tons total with commissioning of 2nd furnace at Onça Puma.
Financial results beat last year; VBM value unlock confirmed, with a key negative accounting item - Pro forma EBITDA: $3.9bn, +21% YoY (main drivers: higher volumes + improved price realization). - VBM EBITDA: $1.2bn, more than doubled YoY. - Important negative/surprise: VBM EBITDA was lower by ~$140m due to provisional price adjustments at quarter-end; management suggested it could be positive reversal in Q2 based on forward curves. - Iron ore EBITDA: $2.9bn, flat YoY—despite FX (BRL appreciation) headwind, offset by volume and premiums.
Cost guidance confidence: rising C1 vs inflation, but management expects top-end of FY range - Iron ore C1 cash cost (ex third-party purchases): $23.6/ton, +12% YoY (mainly BRL appreciation + inventory consumption effects from higher-cost prior quarters). - All-in cash cost: +8% YoY, supported by better all-in premiums and solid freight performance partially offsetting the inflation. - Outlook: assuming FY average BRL 5.25 and oil ~$90/bbl, management is confident to hit the top end of original guidance on a 61% FE basis; expects 2H better than 1H (2Q similar to Q1, per commentary).

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$17.19

Target Price by Analysts

12.9% upsideVale S.A. Target Price DetailsTarget Price
$23.67

Current Fair Value

55.4% upside

Undervalued by 55.4% based on the discounted cash flow analysis.

Share Statistics

Market cap$69.30 Billion
Enterprise Value$83.04 Billion
Dividend Yield$1.02 (6.61%)
Earnings per Share$0.58
Beta0.75
Outstanding Shares4,268,602,000

Return

Return on Equity7.62%ROE
Return on Assets3.19%
Return on Invested Capital14.76%

Valuation & Multiples

P/E Ratio24.2P/E Ratio
PEG67.53PEG
Price to Sales1.69Price to Sales
Price to Book Ratio1.9Price to Book Ratio
Enterprise Value to Revenue2.1
Enterprise Value to EBIT7.6
Enterprise Value to Net Income29
Total Debt to Enterprise0.23
Debt to Equity0.51Debt to Equity

Revenue Sources

No data

Insider Trades

Last Earnings Call

Report Date
April 29, 2026
EPS Estimate
$0.46
Average shareholder expectation
Revenue Estimate
$9.33 B
Average shareholder expectation

Next Earnings Call

Expected Date
July 23, 2026
EPS Estimate
$0.53
Average shareholder expectation
Revenue Estimate
$10.48 B
Average shareholder expectation

Institutional Put/Call Ratio

Market sentiment based on institutional option activity.

Put/Call Ratio1.2319 12.56%
Total Calls42,321,417 6.73%
Total Puts52,136,212 3.15%

Institutional Ownership

Holdings and activity of institutional investors.

Ownership %20.50% 0.91%
Total Invested$13.92B 27.62%
Investors Holding609 23.00%

ESG Score

No data

About Vale S.A.

CEO: Murilo Pinto De Oliveira Ferreira

Relevant Senate Committees

Joint Committee on Taxation

Provides critical analysis and scoring for tax legislation, directly influencing corporate tax structures and capital investment credits, highly relevant for a large global company.

Finance

Controls taxation, trade policy (tariffs), and entitlement spending, all of which have direct and significant impacts on a global commodity company's profitability and market access.

Appropriations

Directly allocates federal spending to infrastructure and other projects, which significantly drives demand for steel and iron ore.

Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry

Regulates the CFTC and the derivatives/futures markets, which are crucial for commodity price hedging and trading for a global mining company.

Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs

Regulates the financial system (including SEC), capital markets, and banking, which are critical for a global company's financing and operations. Real estate markets also influence steel and iron ore demand.

Energy and Natural Resources

Directly oversees national energy policy, public lands, and the mining sector, which are core to Vale S.A.'s operations and resource access.

Environment and Public Works

Directly regulates environmental protection (EPA) which heavily impacts mining operations, permits, and regulatory compliance costs for a company involved in extraction.

Foreign Relations

US foreign policy, sanctions, and trade relations directly affect global commodity markets, shipping routes, and international finance critical for a global mining company like Vale.