Strong Financial Performance: Goldman Sachs achieved Q4 revenues of $13.9 billion and full-year revenues of $53.5 billion, representing a 16% growth year-over-year. Earnings per share (EPS) surged 77% to $40.54 for the full year, indicating strong operating leverage with return on equity (ROE) improving by over 500 basis points to 12.7%.
Positive Outlook for 2025: The firm's ongoing investments in its Global Banking & Markets and Asset & Wealth Management divisions, combined with improved CEO confidence and favorable conditions for deal-making post-elections, suggest a robust year ahead. Forecasts indicate a significant uptick in M&A activity and IPOs, driven by increasing sponsor inquiry and a strong backlog in investment banking.
Regulatory Challenges: Goldman has filed a lawsuit against the Federal Reserve over stress testing methods that create uncertainty for the industry. The management is optimistic about potential regulatory changes under the new administration that could lead to a more transparent environment, although the unpredictability of regulatory outcomes poses a risk to future capital planning.