CF Industries Holdings Inc

CF Industries Holdings Inc

CF

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Market Cap$19.92B
Close$

Compare to Similar Companies

P/E RatioDividendsReturn on EquityPrice-to-SalesDebt-to-Equity
CF Industries Holdings IncCF Industries Holdings Inc9.61.62%37%2.40.6

Earnings Call Q4 2025

February 19, 2026 - AI Summary

Strong Financial Performance in 2025: CF Industries reported adjusted EBITDA of approximately $2.9 billion for the full year 2025, showcasing strong operational performance. The company generated $2.75 billion in net cash from operations and $1.8 billion in free cash flow, enabling a return of $1.7 billion to shareholders through share buybacks and dividends.
Market Dynamics Favoring Nitrogen Pricing: The global nitrogen market remains tighter than anticipated, driven by strong demand from India, Brazil, and North America, combined with delays in new capacity and supply challenges in regions like Europe due to high gas prices. CF anticipates continued market tightness in 2026, supporting favorable pricing dynamics.
Setbacks and Risks from Yazoo City Incident: The Yazoo City Complex incident in November 2025 resulted in an expected EBITDA impact of around $200 million for 2026, with production anticipated to resume in late Q4 2026. The company has business interruption insurance, expected to offset some losses, yet uncertainty remains regarding full recovery and timelines.

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$126.88

Target Price by Analysts

6% upsideCF Industries Holdings Target Price DetailsTarget Price
$326.28

Current Fair Value

172.5% upside

Undervalued by 172.5% based on the discounted cash flow analysis.

Share Statistics

Market cap$19.92 Billion
Enterprise Value$21.16 Billion
Dividend Yield$2.10 (1.62%)
Earnings per Share$8.98
Beta0.4
Outstanding Shares153,600,000

Return

Return on Equity36.52%ROE
Return on Assets13.90%
Return on Invested Capital12.50%

Valuation & Multiples

P/E Ratio9.59P/E Ratio
PEG10.85PEG
Price to Sales2.39Price to Sales
Price to Book Ratio2.06Price to Book Ratio
Enterprise Value to Revenue2.73
Enterprise Value to EBIT11.82
Enterprise Value to Net Income10
Total Debt to Enterprise0.18
Debt to Equity0.65Debt to Equity

Revenue Sources

No data

Insider Trades

Last Earnings Call

Report Date
August 5, 2026
EPS Estimate
$5.63
Average shareholder expectation
Revenue Estimate
$2.45 B
Average shareholder expectation

Next Earnings Call

Expected Date
November 4, 2026
EPS Estimate
$3.04
Average shareholder expectation
Revenue Estimate
$1.84 B
Average shareholder expectation

Institutional Put/Call Ratio

Market sentiment based on institutional option activity.

Put/Call Ratio0.6941 33.11%
Total Calls3,771,610 10.54%
Total Puts2,618,004 39.43%

Institutional Ownership

Holdings and activity of institutional investors.

Ownership %102.88% 5.59%
Total Invested$17.27B 11.51%
Investors Holding987 8.00%

ESG Score

No data

About CF Industries Holdings Inc

CEO: W. Anthony Will