HF Sinclair Corp.

HF Sinclair Corp.

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Market Cap$20.61B
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Compare to Similar Companies

P/E RatioDividendsReturn on EquityPrice-to-SalesDebt-to-Equity
HF Sinclair Corp.HF Sinclair Corp.111.75%19%0.60.3

Earnings Call Q2 2026

July 28, 2026 - AI Summary

Strong Q2 financial/operating performance across segments (major upside vs 2025) - Net income: $892M ($4.93/share); adjusted net income $960M ($5.31/share) vs $322M ($1.70/share) in Q2 2025. - Adjusted EBITDA: $1.5B vs $665M in Q2 2025 (big drivers: Refining $1.0B vs $476M, and Lubricants & Specialties $207M vs $55M). - Refining volumes/costs: crude oil charge averaged ~640 kbpd, above guidance; reflects operational improvements and favorable market conditions. - Shareholder returns: returned $265M in the quarter ($89M dividends + $179M buybacks); board also raised the quarterly dividend to $0.525/share (+5%).
Guidance/outlook: supportive refining environment into fall; capex steady; turnarounds planned - Q3 crude run-rate guidance: 590–620 kbpd, reflecting the planned El Dorado turnaround in September. - Full-year 2026 capex: no change to guidance (but “subject to change” as projects are evaluated). - Management expects refining fundamentals to remain supportive through the fall; confidence driven by tight supply / low inventories vs 5-year averages and geopolitical-driven market structure. - Marketing: branding momentum continues—63 branded sites added in Q2 with 100+ in the pipeline expected online in 6–12 months; still targeting ~10% branded site growth annually.
Big strategic move (surprising/big headline): spin/separation of Lubricants & Specialties - Announced plans to separate the Lube segment via capital markets into an independent public company (executed over 12–18 months). - Rationale: create enhanced strategic focus and capital allocation, distinct investor profiles, and improve operational agility/cash generation. - Key actions inside the separation: - Mississauga base oil refinery assets will be retired (economic long-term contribution not sufficient given location/size/scope). - Finished products business continues via new commercial agreements with two global base-oil manufacturers + continued access to supply from Tulsa refinery. - Capital-light model goal: independent lube business designed for stronger/more consistent free cash flow. - Expected lube EBITDA mid-cycle: guidance-style commentary referenced ~$300M–$350M trailing-12-month EBITDA as a rough framework; early planning means cost/“synergy” estimates not fully quantified yet (additional public-company costs expected but likely offset by “spotlight”/multiple effects).

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$100.75

Target Price by Analysts

4.8% downsideHF Sinclair Target Price DetailsTarget Price
$41.94

Current Fair Value

60.4% downside

Overvalued by 60.4% based on the discounted cash flow analysis.

Share Statistics

Market cap$20.61 Billion
Enterprise Value$21.35 Billion
Dividend Yield$2.02 (1.75%)
Earnings per Share$3.11
Beta0.7
Outstanding Shares179,417,000

Return

Return on Equity18.62%ROE
Return on Assets10.08%
Return on Invested Capital16.31%

Valuation & Multiples

P/E Ratio11.01P/E Ratio
PEG3.35PEG
Price to Sales0.61Price to Sales
Price to Book Ratio1.86Price to Book Ratio
Enterprise Value to Revenue0.68
Enterprise Value to EBIT8.59
Enterprise Value to Net Income11
Total Debt to Enterprise0.14
Debt to Equity0.29Debt to Equity

Revenue Sources

No data

Insider Trades

Last Earnings Call

Report Date
July 30, 2026
EPS Estimate
$3.48
Average shareholder expectation
Revenue Estimate
$8.99 B
Average shareholder expectation

Next Earnings Call

Expected Date
October 28, 2026
EPS Estimate
$6.52
Average shareholder expectation
Revenue Estimate
$8.51 B
Average shareholder expectation

Institutional Put/Call Ratio

Market sentiment based on institutional option activity.

Put/Call Ratio1.5680▲ 89.95%
Total Calls2,465,000▲ 35.11%
Total Puts3,865,000▲ 216.93%

Institutional Ownership

Holdings and activity of institutional investors.

Ownership %89.83%▲ 8.24%
Total Invested$11.23B▲ 22.18%
Investors Holding716▲ 36.00%

ESG Score

No data

About HF Sinclair Corporation

3,891 employees
CEO: Michael Jennings

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