CF Industries Holdings Inc

CF Industries Holdings Inc

CF

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Market Cap$17.26B
Close$

Compare to Similar Companies

P/E RatioDividendsReturn on EquityPrice-to-SalesDebt-to-Equity
CF Industries Holdings IncCF Industries Holdings Inc9.91.78%33%2.40.7

Earnings Call Q4 2025

February 19, 2026 - AI Summary

Strong Financial Performance in 2025: CF Industries reported adjusted EBITDA of approximately $2.9 billion for the full year 2025, showcasing strong operational performance. The company generated $2.75 billion in net cash from operations and $1.8 billion in free cash flow, enabling a return of $1.7 billion to shareholders through share buybacks and dividends.
Market Dynamics Favoring Nitrogen Pricing: The global nitrogen market remains tighter than anticipated, driven by strong demand from India, Brazil, and North America, combined with delays in new capacity and supply challenges in regions like Europe due to high gas prices. CF anticipates continued market tightness in 2026, supporting favorable pricing dynamics.
Setbacks and Risks from Yazoo City Incident: The Yazoo City Complex incident in November 2025 resulted in an expected EBITDA impact of around $200 million for 2026, with production anticipated to resume in late Q4 2026. The company has business interruption insurance, expected to offset some losses, yet uncertainty remains regarding full recovery and timelines.

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$110.42

Target Price by Analysts

5.3% downsideCF Industries Holdings Target Price DetailsTarget Price
$326.28

Current Fair Value

179.9% upside

Undervalued by 179.9% based on the discounted cash flow analysis.

Share Statistics

Market cap$17.26 Billion
Enterprise Value$18.99 Billion
Dividend Yield$2.00 (1.78%)
Earnings per Share$8.98
Beta0.42
Outstanding Shares154,200,000

Return

Return on Equity32.91%ROE
Return on Assets12.03%
Return on Invested Capital9.66%

Valuation & Multiples

P/E Ratio9.85P/E Ratio
PEG10.15PEG
Price to Sales2.43Price to Sales
Price to Book Ratio2.2Price to Book Ratio
Enterprise Value to Revenue2.56
Enterprise Value to EBIT14.4
Enterprise Value to Net Income10
Total Debt to Enterprise0.2
Debt to Equity0.71Debt to Equity

Revenue Sources

No data

Insider Trades

Last Earnings Call

Report Date
May 6, 2026
EPS Estimate
$2.63
Average shareholder expectation
Revenue Estimate
$1.84 B
Average shareholder expectation

Next Earnings Call

Expected Date
August 5, 2026
EPS Estimate
$5.64
Average shareholder expectation
Revenue Estimate
$2.43 B
Average shareholder expectation

Institutional Put/Call Ratio

Market sentiment based on institutional option activity.

Put/Call Ratio1.0252 58.35%
Total Calls4,215,963 110.05%
Total Puts4,322,257 33.86%

Institutional Ownership

Holdings and activity of institutional investors.

Ownership %95.41% 3.75%
Total Invested$19.35B 56.69%
Investors Holding968 119.00%

ESG Score

No data

About CF Industries Holdings Inc

CEO: W. Anthony Will

Relevant Senate Committees

Joint Committee on Taxation

By providing critical analysis and scoring for tax legislation, this committee directly influences the tax burden and fiscal policies that impact CF Industries' corporate tax structures and capital investment decisions.

Finance

This powerful committee controls taxation and trade policy. Changes in corporate tax rates or international trade agreements (tariffs on inputs or exports) directly impact CF's profitability and competitive position.

Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry

Fertilizers are a crucial input for agriculture. This committee's oversight of the Farm Bill and agricultural policy directly influences crop planting decisions and demand for CF's products. It also regulates commodity markets relevant to raw materials.

Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions

Labor laws and regulations overseen by this committee directly impact manufacturing costs, union relations, and workforce management for CF Industries.

Energy and Natural Resources

Nitrogenous fertilizer production is highly dependent on natural gas as a feedstock. National energy policy, supply, and pricing regulations from this committee directly impact CF's primary input costs.

Environment and Public Works

As a chemical manufacturer, CF Industries is directly subject to environmental regulations from the EPA, which determine operational costs and compliance. Infrastructure funding also impacts logistics.

Foreign Relations

CF Industries is impacted by global energy prices (natural gas feedstock) and international trade dynamics, both heavily influenced by U.S. foreign policy, treaties, and sanctions legislation.