CF Industries Holdings Inc
CF
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+ FollowMarket Cap$19.32B
Close$
Earnings Call Q4 2025
February 19, 2026 - AI Summary
Strong Financial Performance in 2025: CF Industries reported adjusted EBITDA of approximately $2.9 billion for the full year 2025, showcasing strong operational performance. The company generated $2.75 billion in net cash from operations and $1.8 billion in free cash flow, enabling a return of $1.7 billion to shareholders through share buybacks and dividends.
Market Dynamics Favoring Nitrogen Pricing: The global nitrogen market remains tighter than anticipated, driven by strong demand from India, Brazil, and North America, combined with delays in new capacity and supply challenges in regions like Europe due to high gas prices. CF anticipates continued market tightness in 2026, supporting favorable pricing dynamics.
Setbacks and Risks from Yazoo City Incident: The Yazoo City Complex incident in November 2025 resulted in an expected EBITDA impact of around $200 million for 2026, with production anticipated to resume in late Q4 2026. The company has business interruption insurance, expected to offset some losses, yet uncertainty remains regarding full recovery and timelines.
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$373.27
170.8% upside
Current Fair Value
170.8% upsideUndervalued by 170.8% based on the discounted cash flow analysis.
Share Statistics
| Market cap | $19.32 Billion |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value | $20.56 Billion |
| Dividend Yield | $2.10 (1.67%) |
| Earnings per Share | $8.98 |
| Beta | 0.4 |
| Outstanding Shares | 153,600,000 |
Return
| Return on Equity | 36.52% |
|---|---|
| Return on Assets | 13.90% |
| Return on Invested Capital | 12.50% |
Valuation & Multiples
| P/E Ratio | 9.3 |
|---|---|
| PEG | 10.53 |
| Price to Sales | 2.76 |
| Price to Book Ratio | 2.38 |
| Enterprise Value to Revenue | 2.66 |
| Enterprise Value to EBIT | 11.48 |
| Enterprise Value to Net Income | 9 |
| Total Debt to Enterprise | 0.18 |
| Debt to Equity | 0.65 |
Revenue Sources
No data
Insider Trades
Last Earnings Call
Report Date
August 5, 2026
EPS Estimate
$5.63
Average shareholder expectationRevenue Estimate
$2.45 B
Average shareholder expectationNext Earnings Call
Expected Date
November 4, 2026
EPS Estimate
$3.02
Average shareholder expectationRevenue Estimate
$1.80 B
Average shareholder expectationInstitutional Put/Call Ratio
Market sentiment based on institutional option activity.
| Put/Call Ratio | 0.6963▼ 32.89% |
|---|---|
| Total Calls | 3,771,610▼ 10.54% |
| Total Puts | 2,626,304▼ 39.24% |
Institutional Ownership
Holdings and activity of institutional investors.
| Ownership % | 116.02%▲ 18.36% |
|---|---|
| Total Invested | $17.55B▼ 10.44% |
| Investors Holding | 1,013▲ 32.00% |
ESG Score
No data
About CF Industries Holdings Inc
CEO: W. Anthony Will