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David Raso Score: 43

Analyst at Evercore ISI
Avg Return (Buy)
? How much profit would you make?
Calculates the average return of all BUY recommendations after exactly 1 year (or today if newer).

Note: Sell ratings are ignored here to focus on investment potential.
+22.9%
1 Year Cap
Win Rate
? How often is the direction correct?
Percentage of trades that are currently profitable.
• Buy: Stock price went UP 📈
• Sell: Stock price went DOWN 📉
74%
14 W / 5 L
Target Met
? How often was the target reached?
Hits vs. Total.
85%
11 W / 2 L
Precision Hit
? How often precise (±3%)?
Hits vs. Total.
15%
2 W / 11 L
Bullseye Hit
? How often perfect (±1%)?
Hits vs. Total.
0%
0 W / 13 L
High Conviction
? The "Brave" Trades (>20% Upside)
Win Rate only for recommendations where the analyst predicted a massive move (>20%).
Shows if they are right when they bet big.
83%
5 W / 1 L
Long Wins
? Success rate for BUY ratings
How often is the analyst right when saying "Buy"?
(Price went UP).
82%
14 W / 3 L
Short Wins
? Success rate for SELL ratings
How often is the analyst right when saying "Sell"?
(Price went DOWN).
0%
0 W / 2 L

Coverage & Price Targets

Date Stock Signal Target Start Price Best Price (1Y) Accuracy Current Price
May 11, 2026
United Rentals, Inc. URI
BUY $1,101.00
Est. +18%
$935.05 $1,175.21
Target Met
$1,079.26 +15.4%
May 11, 2026
Caterpillar Inc. CAT
BUY $1,103.00
Est. +22%
$901.72 $1,073.46
Precision Hit (±3%)
$814.81 -9.6%
May 11, 2026
Terex Corp. TEX
BUY $81.00
Est. +26%
$64.43 $74.69
Pending
$62.84 -2.5%
May 11, 2026
Ingersoll-Rand Inc IR
BUY $84.00
Est. +12%
$75.31 $87.64
Target Met
$83.38 +10.7%
May 11, 2026
Oshkosh Corp OSK
BUY $181.00
Est. +32%
$137.06 $160.68
Pending
$142.41 +3.9%
Aug 19, 2025
Illinois Tool Works, Inc. ITW
BUY $265.00
Est. +2%
$259.22 $303.16
Target Met
$286.95 +10.7%
Aug 19, 2025
Timken Co. TKR
BUY $84.00
Est. +10%
$76.69 $146.37
Target Met
$137.55 +79.4%
Aug 19, 2025
Paccar Inc. PCAR
BUY $114.00
Est. +16%
$98.38 $139.23
Target Met
$132.68 +34.9%
Aug 19, 2025
Deere & Co. DE
SELL $491.00
Est. +0%
$491.13 $433.00 (Low)
Target Met
$592.67 -20.7%
Jan 13, 2025
Caterpillar Inc. CAT
BUY $365.00
Est. +1%
$363.00 $644.59
Target Met
$814.81 +124.5%
Nov 13, 2024
Paccar Inc. PCAR
BUY $129.00
Est. +39%
$92.86 $118.79
Miss
$132.68 +42.9%
Nov 13, 2024
Timken Co. TKR
BUY $91.00
Est. +12%
$80.89 $84.43
Miss
$137.55 +70.0%
Nov 13, 2024
Cummins Inc. CMI
BUY $408.00
Est. +39%
$293.97 $484.84
Target Met
$634.20 +115.7%
May 28, 2024
Deere & Co. DE
SELL $371.00
Est. +1%
$374.96 $340.20 (Low)
Target Met
$592.67 -58.1%
Nov 22, 2023
Deere & Co. DE
BUY $424.00
Est. +11%
$382.65 $447.50
Target Met
$592.67 +54.9%
Feb 21, 2022
Caterpillar Inc. CAT
BUY $255.00
Est. +33%
$191.95 - -
$814.81 +324.5%
Feb 21, 2022
Eaton Corporation plc ETN
BUY $181.00
Est. +18%
$153.36 - -
$415.20 +170.7%
Feb 15, 2022
Timken Co. TKR
BUY $78.00
Est. +13%
$68.80 - -
$137.55 +99.9%
May 12, 2021
Ingersoll-Rand Inc IR
BUY $53.00
Est. +13%
$47.09 - -
$83.38 +77.1%
Signal & Target
BUY $1,101.00
Start Price $935.05
Best Price (1Y)
$1,175.21
Current Price $1,079.26
Return +15.4%
Signal & Target
BUY $1,103.00
Start Price $901.72
Best Price (1Y)
$1,073.46
Current Price $814.81
Return -9.6%
Terex Corp.
TEX
May 11, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY $81.00
Start Price $64.43
Best Price (1Y)
$74.69
Current Price $62.84
Return -2.5%
Signal & Target
BUY $84.00
Start Price $75.31
Best Price (1Y)
$87.64
Current Price $83.38
Return +10.7%
Oshkosh Corp
OSK
May 11, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY $181.00
Start Price $137.06
Best Price (1Y)
$160.68
Current Price $142.41
Return +3.9%
Signal & Target
BUY $265.00
Start Price $259.22
Best Price (1Y)
$303.16
Current Price $286.95
Return +10.7%
Timken Co.
TKR
Aug 19, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY $84.00
Start Price $76.69
Best Price (1Y)
$146.37
Current Price $137.55
Return +79.4%
Paccar Inc.
PCAR
Aug 19, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY $114.00
Start Price $98.38
Best Price (1Y)
$139.23
Current Price $132.68
Return +34.9%
Deere & Co.
DE
Aug 19, 2025
Signal & Target
SELL $491.00
Start Price $491.13
Best Price (1Y)
$433.00
Current Price $592.67
Return -20.7%
Signal & Target
BUY $365.00
Start Price $363.00
Best Price (1Y)
$644.59
Current Price $814.81
Return +124.5%
Paccar Inc.
PCAR
Nov 13, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY $129.00
Start Price $92.86
Best Price (1Y)
$118.79
Current Price $132.68
Return +42.9%
Timken Co.
TKR
Nov 13, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY $91.00
Start Price $80.89
Best Price (1Y)
$84.43
Current Price $137.55
Return +70.0%
Cummins Inc.
CMI
Nov 13, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY $408.00
Start Price $293.97
Best Price (1Y)
$484.84
Current Price $634.20
Return +115.7%
Deere & Co.
DE
May 28, 2024
Signal & Target
SELL $371.00
Start Price $374.96
Best Price (1Y)
$340.20
Current Price $592.67
Return -58.1%
Deere & Co.
DE
Nov 22, 2023
Signal & Target
BUY $424.00
Start Price $382.65
Best Price (1Y)
$447.50
Current Price $592.67
Return +54.9%
Signal & Target
BUY $255.00
Start Price $191.95
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price $814.81
Return +324.5%
Signal & Target
BUY $181.00
Start Price $153.36
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price $415.20
Return +170.7%
Timken Co.
TKR
Feb 15, 2022
Signal & Target
BUY $78.00
Start Price $68.80
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price $137.55
Return +99.9%
Signal & Target
BUY $53.00
Start Price $47.09
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price $83.38
Return +77.1%