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David Raso Score: 39

Analyst at Evercore ISI
Avg Return (Buy)
? How much profit would you make?
Calculates the average return of all BUY recommendations after exactly 1 year (or today if newer).

Note: Sell ratings are ignored here to focus on investment potential.
+18.6%
1 Year Cap
Win Rate
? How often is the direction correct?
Percentage of trades that are currently profitable.
• Buy: Stock price went UP 📈
• Sell: Stock price went DOWN 📉
58%
11 W / 8 L
Target Met
? How often was the target reached?
Hits vs. Total.
82%
9 W / 2 L
Precision Hit
? How often precise (±3%)?
Hits vs. Total.
9%
1 W / 10 L
Bullseye Hit
? How often perfect (±1%)?
Hits vs. Total.
9%
1 W / 10 L
High Conviction
? The "Brave" Trades (>20% Upside)
Win Rate only for recommendations where the analyst predicted a massive move (>20%).
Shows if they are right when they bet big.
67%
4 W / 2 L
Long Wins
? Success rate for BUY ratings
How often is the analyst right when saying "Buy"?
(Price went UP).
65%
11 W / 6 L
Short Wins
? Success rate for SELL ratings
How often is the analyst right when saying "Sell"?
(Price went DOWN).
0%
0 W / 2 L

Coverage & Price Targets

Date Stock Signal Target Start Price Best Price (1Y) Accuracy Current Price
May 11, 2026
Oshkosh Corp OSK
BUY $181.00
Est. +32%
$137.06 $140.88
Pending
$135.05 -1.5%
May 11, 2026
Caterpillar Inc. CAT
BUY $1,103.00
Est. +22%
$901.72 $946.83
Pending
$910.57 +1.0%
May 11, 2026
Terex Corp. TEX
BUY $81.00
Est. +26%
$64.43 $66.33
Pending
$63.80 -1.0%
May 11, 2026
United Rentals, Inc. URI
BUY $1,101.00
Est. +18%
$935.05 $1,106.88
Bullseye Hit (±1%)
$1,074.24 +14.9%
May 11, 2026
Ingersoll-Rand Inc IR
BUY $84.00
Est. +12%
$75.31 $75.78
Pending
$74.00 -1.7%
Aug 19, 2025
Illinois Tool Works, Inc. ITW
BUY $265.00
Est. +2%
$259.22 $303.16
Target Met
$257.43 -0.7%
Aug 19, 2025
Paccar Inc. PCAR
BUY $114.00
Est. +16%
$98.38 $131.88
Target Met
$118.52 +20.5%
Aug 19, 2025
Deere & Co. DE
SELL $491.00
Est. +0%
$491.13 $433.00 (Low)
Target Met
$577.48 -17.6%
Aug 19, 2025
Timken Co. TKR
BUY $84.00
Est. +10%
$76.69 $139.77
Target Met
$137.06 +78.7%
Jan 13, 2025
Caterpillar Inc. CAT
BUY $365.00
Est. +1%
$363.00 $644.59
Target Met
$910.57 +150.8%
Nov 13, 2024
Timken Co. TKR
BUY $91.00
Est. +12%
$80.89 $84.43
Miss
$137.06 +69.4%
Nov 13, 2024
Cummins Inc. CMI
BUY $408.00
Est. +39%
$293.97 $484.84
Target Met
$659.58 +124.4%
Nov 13, 2024
Paccar Inc. PCAR
BUY $129.00
Est. +39%
$92.86 $118.79
Miss
$118.52 +27.6%
May 28, 2024
Deere & Co. DE
SELL $371.00
Est. +1%
$374.96 $340.20 (Low)
Target Met
$577.48 -54.0%
Nov 22, 2023
Deere & Co. DE
BUY $424.00
Est. +11%
$382.65 $447.50
Target Met
$577.48 +50.9%
Feb 21, 2022
Caterpillar Inc. CAT
BUY $255.00
Est. +33%
$191.95 - -
$910.57 +374.4%
Feb 21, 2022
Eaton Corporation plc ETN
BUY $181.00
Est. +18%
$153.36 - -
$391.39 +155.2%
Feb 15, 2022
Timken Co. TKR
BUY $78.00
Est. +13%
$68.80 - -
$137.06 +99.2%
May 12, 2021
Ingersoll-Rand Inc IR
BUY $53.00
Est. +13%
$47.09 - -
$74.00 +57.1%
Oshkosh Corp
OSK
May 11, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY $181.00
Start Price $137.06
Best Price (1Y)
$140.88
Current Price $135.05
Return -1.5%
Signal & Target
BUY $1,103.00
Start Price $901.72
Best Price (1Y)
$946.83
Current Price $910.57
Return +1.0%
Terex Corp.
TEX
May 11, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY $81.00
Start Price $64.43
Best Price (1Y)
$66.33
Current Price $63.80
Return -1.0%
Signal & Target
BUY $1,101.00
Start Price $935.05
Best Price (1Y)
$1,106.88
Current Price $1,074.24
Return +14.9%
Signal & Target
BUY $84.00
Start Price $75.31
Best Price (1Y)
$75.78
Current Price $74.00
Return -1.7%
Signal & Target
BUY $265.00
Start Price $259.22
Best Price (1Y)
$303.16
Current Price $257.43
Return -0.7%
Paccar Inc.
PCAR
Aug 19, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY $114.00
Start Price $98.38
Best Price (1Y)
$131.88
Current Price $118.52
Return +20.5%
Deere & Co.
DE
Aug 19, 2025
Signal & Target
SELL $491.00
Start Price $491.13
Best Price (1Y)
$433.00
Current Price $577.48
Return -17.6%
Timken Co.
TKR
Aug 19, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY $84.00
Start Price $76.69
Best Price (1Y)
$139.77
Current Price $137.06
Return +78.7%
Signal & Target
BUY $365.00
Start Price $363.00
Best Price (1Y)
$644.59
Current Price $910.57
Return +150.8%
Timken Co.
TKR
Nov 13, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY $91.00
Start Price $80.89
Best Price (1Y)
$84.43
Current Price $137.06
Return +69.4%
Cummins Inc.
CMI
Nov 13, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY $408.00
Start Price $293.97
Best Price (1Y)
$484.84
Current Price $659.58
Return +124.4%
Paccar Inc.
PCAR
Nov 13, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY $129.00
Start Price $92.86
Best Price (1Y)
$118.79
Current Price $118.52
Return +27.6%
Deere & Co.
DE
May 28, 2024
Signal & Target
SELL $371.00
Start Price $374.96
Best Price (1Y)
$340.20
Current Price $577.48
Return -54.0%
Deere & Co.
DE
Nov 22, 2023
Signal & Target
BUY $424.00
Start Price $382.65
Best Price (1Y)
$447.50
Current Price $577.48
Return +50.9%
Signal & Target
BUY $255.00
Start Price $191.95
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price $910.57
Return +374.4%
Signal & Target
BUY $181.00
Start Price $153.36
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price $391.39
Return +155.2%
Timken Co.
TKR
Feb 15, 2022
Signal & Target
BUY $78.00
Start Price $68.80
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price $137.06
Return +99.2%
Signal & Target
BUY $53.00
Start Price $47.09
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price $74.00
Return +57.1%