XPO Inc

XPO Inc

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Market Cap$22.26B
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Compare to Similar Companies

P/E RatioDividendsReturn on EquityPrice-to-SalesDebt-to-Equity
XPO IncXPO Inc44.2-26%2.52

Earnings Call Q3 2026

October 29, 2026 - AI Summary

Q3 performance: strong growth + margin expansion (all key metrics beating / accelerating) - Revenue +12% YoY to $2.4B - Adjusted EBITDA +27% to $433M - Adjusted diluted EPS +59% to $1.70 (GAAP diluted EPS $1.53) - North America LTL: Revenue +17% and adjusted operating income +$293M (+35%) → *highest adjusted operating income in company history* - LTL damage claims ratio <0.2% (service quality differentiator)
Guidance / outlook: expects continued margin strength in Q4 and strong full-year + 2026 cash flow - Management expects Q4 LTL operating ratio below 82% (they note normal seasonality would push OR up ~250 bps from Q3, which would be ~83%; they expect significant outperformance) - Company stance: full-year LTL/OR improvement now expected ~250 bps or better (previously guided north of 200 bps) - 4Q volume/yield expectation: expects yields and revenue per shipment ex-fuel to accelerate sequentially in Q4 and accelerate YoY as well - Free cash flow: expects to more than double 2026 free cash flow vs 2025, with ~$800M+ in 2026; also expects “billions” of free cash flow in coming years (driven by higher earnings + lower CapEx needs)
Drivers of the results: service + capacity + pricing discipline + AI-driven cost efficiency - Strategy centers on world-class service → supports profitable mix, premium/local share gains, and pricing power - Network capacity expansion: opened 2 new locations (Phoenix, Kansas City); operating with >30% excess door capacity - Insourcing purchased transportation: reduced outsourced miles to ~5.6% of miles (from ~25% at start of plan); company expects no need to increase outsourced miles, and benefits in an upcycle - AI adoption materially improving operations: - Rehandles reduced mid-single digits to the lowest level in over a decade - AI route optimization used on ~2/3 of routes - Dock/automation feedback reduced damages by ~20% YoY - Workforce planning: handled ~6% shipment growth with only low single-digit headcount increase

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$226.78

Target Price by Analysts

20.5% upsideXPO Target Price DetailsTarget Price
$-7.12

Current Fair Value

103.8% downside

Overvalued by 103.8% based on the discounted cash flow analysis.

Insider Trades

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Congress Trades

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Share Statistics

Market cap$22.26 Billion
Enterprise Value$25.95 Billion
Earnings per Share$2.69
Beta1.71
Outstanding Shares117,000,000

Return

Return on Equity25.64%ROE
Return on Assets6.04%
Return on Invested Capital14.68%

Valuation & Multiples

P/E Ratio44.19P/E Ratio
PEG36.6PEG
Price to Sales2.51Price to Sales
Price to Book Ratio11.76Price to Book Ratio
Enterprise Value to Revenue2.94
Enterprise Value to EBIT27.03
Enterprise Value to Net Income51
Total Debt to Enterprise0.15
Debt to Equity2.03Debt to Equity

Revenue Sources

No data

Last Earnings Call

Report Date
October 29, 2026
EPS Estimate
$1.58
Consensus analyst estimate
Revenue Estimate
$2.38 B
Consensus analyst estimate

Next Earnings Call

Expected Date
February 4, 2027
EPS Estimate
$1.41
Consensus analyst estimate
Revenue Estimate
$2.30 B
Consensus analyst estimate

Institutional Put/Call Ratio

Compares institutional put options with call options. At 0.00, the ratio is below 1, so institutions hold more calls than puts.

Put/Call Ratio0.0000▼ 147.00%
Total Calls-▼ 100.00%
Total Puts-▼ 100.00%

Institutional Ownership

Holdings and activity of institutional investors.

Ownership %2.06%▼ 100.31%
Total Invested$424.50M▼ 98.27%
Investors Holding223▼ 560.00%

About XPO Logistics Inc

37,000 employees
CEO: Bradley Jacobs

XPO Logistics, Inc. operates as a global freight transportation company, delivering services across various regions including the United States, the rest of North America, France, the United Kingdom, other parts of Europe, and additional...

XPO Insider Information FAQ

Stockcircle tracks 10 top investors with a current 13F position in XPO. Notable holders include Bridgewater Associates. Holdings come from the latest quarterly 13F filings filed with the SEC.

In the latest 13F quarter on Stockcircle, 1 top investor increased or opened positions among tracked top investors. Changes are based on reported share counts in their quarterly filings, not day-to-day trading.

Stockcircle shows 9 open-market insider sales for XPO in the last six months from SEC Form 4 reports by executives, directors, and other insiders.

Form 4 insider trades are added as new filings are imported. Top investor 13F holdings refresh after each quarterly filing cycle. Politician trade disclosures are added when new reports are published on Stockcircle.