Vistra Corp
VST
Market Cap$62.81B
Close$
Earnings Call Q1 2025
May 7, 2025 - AI Summary
Strong Q1 Performance: Vistra reported adjusted EBITDA of $1.24 billion for Q1 2025, a 53% year-over-year increase, largely driven by improved generation results and two additional months of Energy Harbor’s contributions. This performance reflects effective execution across generation, commercial, and retail segments.
2025 Guidance Reaffirmation: The company reaffirmed its 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance range of $5.5 billion to $6.1 billion and adjusted free cash flow before growth range of $3 billion to $3.6 billion. This stability demonstrates Vistra's resilience amid operational challenges, including outages at Martin Lake Unit 1 and offline MOS landing batteries.
Confidence in Future Growth: For 2026, Vistra anticipates adjusted EBITDA to potentially reach mid to high $6 billion levels, with strong operational performance and a comprehensive hedging program supporting this outlook. Approximately 95% of expected generation has already been hedged for 2025-2026.
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$46.82
74.7% downside
Current Fair Value
74.7% downsideOvervalued by 74.7% based on the discounted cash flow analysis.
Share Statistics
| Market cap | $62.81 Billion |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value | $80.04 Billion |
| Dividend Yield | $0.882 (0.480551053484603%) |
| Earnings per Share | $7.16 |
| Beta | 1.25 |
| Outstanding Shares | 339,799,989 |
Return
| Return on Equity | - |
|---|---|
| Return on Assets | - |
| Return on Invested Capital | - |
Valuation & Multiples
| P/E Ratio | 25.93 |
|---|---|
| PEG | 9.73 |
| Price to Sales | 3.94 |
| Price to Book Ratio | 13.22 |
| Enterprise Value to Revenue | 5 |
| Enterprise Value to EBIT | 47.25 |
| Enterprise Value to Net Income | 41 |
| Total Debt to Enterprise | 0.22 |
| Debt to Equity | 3.69 |
Revenue Sources
No data
Insider Trades
ESG Score
No data
About Vistra Corp
5,365 employees
CEO: Curtis Morgan