Ternium S.A. - ADR

Ternium S.A. - ADR

TX

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Market Cap$9.73B
Close$

Compare to Similar Companies

P/E RatioDividendsReturn on EquityPrice-to-SalesDebt-to-Equity
Ternium S.A. - ADRTernium S.A. - ADR17.14.44%2%0.60.3

Earnings Call Q3 2024

November 6, 2024 - AI Summary

Financial Performance: Ternium reported an adjusted EBITDA of $368 million and a net income of $93 million for Q3 2024. The adjusted EBITDA declined compared to previous quarters, primarily due to lower realized steel prices despite increased shipments across all primary markets.
Market Outlook: - In Mexico, the steel market remains healthy with increased demand, especially in the automotive sector, anticipated to reach a record 4.2 million units in production by 2025. A slight decline in shipments is expected for Q4 due to seasonal trends. - Brazil showed a 9% year-over-year increase in steel consumption in the first nine months of 2024, but a 20% rise in flat steel imports, primarily from China, poses challenges. The Brazilian government has implemented measures to safeguard against unfair trade but needs to close loopholes in the quota system. - Argentina is seeing a recovery in steel demand, yet there is a risk of increased imports that could undermine this progress.
CapEx and Growth Projects: Ternium’s capital expenditures are expected to range between $1.7 billion and $1.8 billion in 2024, focused on expansion projects in Pesquería, with an even higher CapEx estimate of $2.3 billion for 2025. This indicates a strong commitment to growth despite lower immediate cash flows.

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$47.40

Target Price by Analysts

4.3% downsideTernium S.A. Target Price DetailsTarget Price
$63.23

Current Fair Value

27.6% upside

Undervalued by 27.6% based on the discounted cash flow analysis.

Share Statistics

Market cap$9.73 Billion
Enterprise Value$11.17 Billion
Dividend Yield$2.20 (4.44%)
Earnings per Share$2.2
Beta1.2
Outstanding Shares196,307,678

Return

Return on Equity2.30%ROE
Return on Assets1.16%
Return on Invested Capital3.42%

Valuation & Multiples

P/E Ratio17.06P/E Ratio
PEG7.83PEG
Price to Sales0.63Price to Sales
Price to Book Ratio0.59Price to Book Ratio
Enterprise Value to Revenue0.72
Enterprise Value to EBIT15.96
Enterprise Value to Net Income39
Total Debt to Enterprise0.27
Debt to Equity0.25Debt to Equity

Revenue Sources

No data

Insider Trades

Last Earnings Call

Report Date
May 5, 2026
EPS Estimate
$0.86
Average shareholder expectation
Revenue Estimate
$3.93 B
Average shareholder expectation

Next Earnings Call

Expected Date
August 4, 2026
EPS Estimate
$1.14
Average shareholder expectation
Revenue Estimate
$4.37 B
Average shareholder expectation

Institutional Put/Call Ratio

Market sentiment based on institutional option activity.

Put/Call Ratio0.2315 6.32%
Total Calls352,900 103.40%
Total Puts81,700 179.79%

Institutional Ownership

Holdings and activity of institutional investors.

Ownership %12.37% 0.13%
Total Invested$974.93M 6.20%
Investors Holding151 20.00%

ESG Score

No data

About Ternium S.A.

CEO: Maximo Vedoya

Relevant Senate Committees

Joint Committee on Taxation

Provides the official 'revenue estimates' for all tax bills. Its analyses and technical reports directly influence the structure and passage of tax legislation, which can significantly affect corporate tax burdens, capital investment incentives, and overall profitability for a capital-intensive company like Ternium S.A.

Finance

Controls taxation, trade, and entitlement spending. Decisions on corporate tax policy, tariffs, trade agreements, and duties on steel imports/exports are crucial and directly impact Ternium S.A.'s profitability and competitive landscape.

Appropriations

Allocates discretionary federal spending. Its subcommittees determine the precise funding for defense programs, infrastructure projects, and other initiatives that are major consumers of steel, directly affecting order books.

Armed Services

Oversees the Department of Defense and authorizes the annual NDAA. This committee directly determines demand for steel in military equipment, shipbuilding, and defense infrastructure, providing highly material information.

Energy and Natural Resources

Oversees national energy policy, which impacts the significant energy costs for steel production. It also regulates public lands and mining, affecting access and cost of raw materials like iron ore.

Environment and Public Works

Regulates the EPA, which imposes environmental standards (emissions, waste, water) directly affecting steel manufacturing costs. It also drives infrastructure spending, increasing demand for steel products.

Foreign Relations

Guides U.S. foreign policy, treaties, and sanctions. Trade policies, tariffs, and anti-dumping duties on steel imports/exports, as well as sanctions affecting international supply chains, directly and materially impact a global steel manufacturer like Ternium S.A.