Tesla Inc
TSLA - Insider Information
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+ FollowMarket Cap$1.25T
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Earnings Call Q3 2026
October 21, 2026 - AI Summary
Autonomy/Robotaxi is the core growth engine (with rapid scaling)
- Management said Robotaxi “unsupervised miles” growth is exponential / rocket-like, with Cybercab fleet in Austin up ~10x since launch (~1 month ago) and weekly cumulative mileage rising very fast.
- FSD is the main demand driver: in Q3, >75% of North America deliveries included a paid FSD subscription at delivery, ~20% higher than Q2; globally FSD attach reached 1.7M paid customers, and for the first time 50% are subscriptions (vs mostly one-time/other earlier mix).
- FSD unsupervised (customer cars): expect first customer vehicles to join Robotaxi fleet around ~Q2 next year (software exists; remaining requirements are fleet/geofence/management readiness).
Vehicle demand is strong, backlog is high, and capacity is the constraint
- Demand exceeding production by a significant margin; they’re ramping meaningfully and focused on increasing factory output across sites.
- Highest backlog in ~4 years; deliveries constrained primarily by production (supply chain/manufacturing/logistics delay the speed of conversion from demand to sales).
- Model Y strength: continued outperformance; preliminary data claims it was #1 BEV in Europe and #1 passenger car in South Korea, plus records in Australia, Japan, Taiwan.
- Note: they’re actively using incentives to sell more cars in Europe ahead of broader FSD approval.
Energy business: extremely strong demand; margins expected to improve
- Megapacks demand is very high: said they’re almost sold out for 2027 and ramping production aggressively.
- Q3 storage deployment ~13.7 GWh (their second-best quarter) and energy gross margin jumped from 20.4% → 33.1%.
- Margin improvement attributed to tariff refunds recognized and warranty true-ups/vendor cost alignment—i.e., some margin tailwinds may be at least partly one-off/true-up related.
- Also said Megapacks are starting deliveries with in-house LFP batteries (new product/cost structure opportunity).
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$16.54
95.7% downside
Current Fair Value
95.7% downsideOvervalued by 95.7% based on the discounted cash flow analysis.
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Share Statistics
| Market cap | $1.25 Trillion |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value | $1.25 Trillion |
| Earnings per Share | $1.18 |
| Beta | 1.92 |
| Outstanding Shares | 3,240,000,000 |
Return
| Return on Equity | 3.62% |
|---|---|
| Return on Assets | 2.05% |
| Return on Invested Capital | 3.90% |
Valuation & Multiples
| P/E Ratio | 403.85 |
|---|---|
| PEG | -946.22 |
| Price to Sales | 12.43 |
| Price to Book Ratio | 14.27 |
| Enterprise Value to Revenue | 12.1 |
| Enterprise Value to EBIT | 274.69 |
| Enterprise Value to Net Income | 387 |
| Total Debt to Enterprise | 0.02 |
| Debt to Equity | 0.26 |
Revenue Sources
No data
Last Earnings Call
Report Date
October 28, 2026
EPS Estimate
$0.45
Consensus analyst estimateRevenue Estimate
$27.49 B
Consensus analyst estimateNext Earnings Call
Expected Date
January 27, 2027
EPS Estimate
$0.51
Consensus analyst estimateRevenue Estimate
$28.62 B
Consensus analyst estimateInstitutional Put/Call Ratio
Compares institutional put options with call options. At 1.94, the ratio is above 1, so institutions hold more puts than calls. That is a more cautious stance.
| Put/Call Ratio | 1.9433▲ 98.79% |
|---|---|
| Total Calls | 4,168,696▼ 97.45% |
| Total Puts | 8,101,000▼ 94.82% |
Institutional Ownership
Holdings and activity of institutional investors.
| Ownership % | 2.09%▼ 50.56% |
|---|---|
| Total Invested | $23.71B▼ 96.68% |
| Investors Holding | 2,007▼ 2628.00% |
About Tesla Inc
48,016 employees
CEO: Elon Musk
Tesla’s mission is to accelerate the world’s transition to sustainable energy. Since its founding in 2003, Tesla has broken new barriers in developing high-performance automobiles that are not only the world’s best and highest-selling pu...