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John Lovallo Score: 49

Analyst at UBS
Avg Return (Buy)
? How much profit would you make?
Calculates the average return of all BUY recommendations after exactly 1 year (or today if newer).

Note: Sell ratings are ignored here to focus on investment potential.
+0.7%
1 Year Cap
Win Rate
? How often is the direction correct?
Percentage of trades that are currently profitable.
• Buy: Stock price went UP 📈
• Sell: Stock price went DOWN 📉
42%
14 W / 19 L
Target Met
? How often was the target reached?
Hits vs. Total.
88%
15 W / 2 L
Precision Hit
? How often precise (±3%)?
Hits vs. Total.
53%
9 W / 8 L
Bullseye Hit
? How often perfect (±1%)?
Hits vs. Total.
12%
2 W / 15 L
High Conviction
? The "Brave" Trades (>20% Upside)
Win Rate only for recommendations where the analyst predicted a massive move (>20%).
Shows if they are right when they bet big.
55%
12 W / 10 L
Long Wins
? Success rate for BUY ratings
How often is the analyst right when saying "Buy"?
(Price went UP).
44%
14 W / 18 L
Short Wins
? Success rate for SELL ratings
How often is the analyst right when saying "Sell"?
(Price went DOWN).
0%
0 W / 1 L

Coverage & Price Targets

Date Stock Signal Target Start Price Best Price (1Y) Accuracy Current Price
Jul 14, 2026
TREX Co., Inc. TREX
BUY $61.00
Est. +33%
$45.75 $48.83
Pending
$43.43 -5.1%
Jun 24, 2026
KB Home KBH
BUY $66.00
Est. +25%
$52.74 $63.63
Pending
$56.76 +7.6%
Jun 16, 2026
Lennar Corp. - Ordinary Shares - Class A LEN
BUY $94.00
Est. +5%
$89.75 $96.03
Precision Hit (±3%)
$84.64 -5.7%
May 13, 2026
Janus International Group Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A JBI
BUY $6.00
Est. +21%
$4.96 $5.74
Pending
$5.29 +6.7%
May 08, 2026
TREX Co., Inc. TREX
BUY $59.00
Est. +44%
$40.88 $50.34
Pending
$43.43 +6.2%
Apr 23, 2026
Masco Corp. MAS
BUY $97.00
Est. +29%
$75.30 $83.21
Pending
$79.27 +5.3%
Apr 23, 2026
NVR Inc. NVR
BUY $7,700.00
Est. +17%
$6,595.45 $6,956.48
Pending
$6,414.67 -2.7%
Feb 19, 2026
Toll Brothers Inc. TOL
BUY $198.00
Est. +22%
$161.93 $166.23
Pending
$149.99 -7.4%
Feb 13, 2026
NVR Inc. NVR
BUY $8,100.00
Est. +5%
$7,741.37 $8,125.13
Bullseye Hit (±1%)
$6,414.67 -17.1%
Feb 13, 2026
Fortune Brands Innovations Inc FBIN
BUY $70.00
Est. +37%
$51.07 $57.26
Pending
$51.27 +0.4%
Jan 20, 2026
D.R. Horton Inc. DHI
BUY $193.00
Est. +26%
$153.19 $170.79
Pending
$146.76 -4.2%
Jan 06, 2026
Lennar Corp. - Ordinary Shares - Class A LEN
BUY $122.00
Est. +16%
$105.40 $124.16
Precision Hit (±3%)
$84.64 -19.7%
Jan 06, 2026
NVR Inc. NVR
BUY $8,150.00
Est. +11%
$7,317.34 $8,166.27
Bullseye Hit (±1%)
$6,414.67 -12.3%
Dec 18, 2025
Lennar Corp. - Ordinary Shares - Class A LEN
BUY $137.00
Est. +25%
$109.33 $124.16
Pending
$84.64 -22.6%
Dec 10, 2025
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. FERG
SELL $220.00
Est. +3%
$226.02 $214.44 (Low)
Precision Hit (±3%)
$230.67 -2.1%
Dec 09, 2025
Toll Brothers Inc. TOL
BUY $183.00
Est. +36%
$134.45 $168.36
Pending
$149.99 +11.6%
Oct 31, 2025
Fortune Brands Innovations Inc FBIN
BUY $79.00
Est. +57%
$50.42 $64.84
Pending
$51.27 +1.7%
Oct 29, 2025
Armstrong World Industries Inc. AWI
BUY $200.00
Est. +4%
$192.91 $205.88
Precision Hit (±3%)
$160.71 -16.7%
Oct 23, 2025
NVR Inc. NVR
BUY $8,500.00
Est. +10%
$7,697.16 $8,166.27
Pending
$6,414.67 -16.7%
May 16, 2025
Advanced Drainage Systems Inc WMS
BUY $146.00
Est. +20%
$121.86 $178.68
Target Met
$141.84 +16.4%
May 07, 2025
AZEK Company Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A AZEK
BUY $51.00
Est. +3%
$49.63 $54.90
Target Met
$54.35 +9.5%
Apr 24, 2025
Masco Corp. MAS
BUY $80.00
Est. +34%
$59.86 $79.19
Precision Hit (±3%)
$79.27 +32.4%
Apr 23, 2025
PulteGroup Inc PHM
BUY $141.00
Est. +40%
$101.06 $144.50
Precision Hit (±3%)
$128.75 +27.4%
Jul 19, 2024
D.R. Horton Inc. DHI
BUY $217.00
Est. +25%
$173.42 $199.85
Miss
$146.76 -15.4%
May 22, 2024
Toll Brothers Inc. TOL
BUY $140.00
Est. +16%
$120.21 $169.52
Target Met
$149.99 +24.8%
May 22, 2024
Toll Brothers Inc. TOL
BUY $154.00
Est. +29%
$119.20 $169.52
Target Met
$149.99 +25.8%
Mar 15, 2024
Lennar Corp. - Ordinary Shares - Class A LEN
BUY $198.00
Est. +26%
$156.57 $193.80
Precision Hit (±3%)
$84.64 -45.9%
Dec 05, 2023
Toll Brothers Inc. TOL
BUY $107.00
Est. +23%
$86.89 $169.52
Target Met
$149.99 +72.6%
Jun 29, 2022
Lennar Corp. - Ordinary Shares - Class A LEN
BUY $108.00
Est. +55%
$69.64 $127.08
Target Met
$84.64 +21.5%
Mar 28, 2022
Lennar Corp. - Ordinary Shares - Class A LEN
BUY $154.00
Est. +87%
$82.51 $109.28
Miss
$84.64 +2.6%
Mar 01, 2022
TREX Co., Inc. TREX
BUY $100.00
Est. +20%
$83.15 - -
$43.43 -47.8%
Jan 19, 2022
AZEK Company Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A AZEK
BUY $52.00
Est. +43%
$36.30 - -
$54.35 +49.7%
Jan 19, 2022
Owens Corning OC
BUY $122.00
Est. +34%
$90.96 - -
$142.34 +56.5%
Signal & Target
BUY $61.00
Start Price $45.75
Best Price (1Y)
$48.83
Current Price $43.43
Return -5.1%
KB Home
KBH
Jun 24, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY $66.00
Start Price $52.74
Best Price (1Y)
$63.63
Current Price $56.76
Return +7.6%
Signal & Target
BUY $94.00
Start Price $89.75
Best Price (1Y)
$96.03
Current Price $84.64
Return -5.7%
Signal & Target
BUY $6.00
Start Price $4.96
Best Price (1Y)
$5.74
Current Price $5.29
Return +6.7%
Signal & Target
BUY $59.00
Start Price $40.88
Best Price (1Y)
$50.34
Current Price $43.43
Return +6.2%
Masco Corp.
MAS
Apr 23, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY $97.00
Start Price $75.30
Best Price (1Y)
$83.21
Current Price $79.27
Return +5.3%
NVR Inc.
NVR
Apr 23, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY $7,700.00
Start Price $6,595.45
Best Price (1Y)
$6,956.48
Current Price $6,414.67
Return -2.7%
Signal & Target
BUY $198.00
Start Price $161.93
Best Price (1Y)
$166.23
Current Price $149.99
Return -7.4%
NVR Inc.
NVR
Feb 13, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY $8,100.00
Start Price $7,741.37
Best Price (1Y)
$8,125.13
Current Price $6,414.67
Return -17.1%
Signal & Target
BUY $70.00
Start Price $51.07
Best Price (1Y)
$57.26
Current Price $51.27
Return +0.4%
Signal & Target
BUY $193.00
Start Price $153.19
Best Price (1Y)
$170.79
Current Price $146.76
Return -4.2%
Signal & Target
BUY $122.00
Start Price $105.40
Best Price (1Y)
$124.16
Current Price $84.64
Return -19.7%
NVR Inc.
NVR
Jan 06, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY $8,150.00
Start Price $7,317.34
Best Price (1Y)
$8,166.27
Current Price $6,414.67
Return -12.3%
Signal & Target
BUY $137.00
Start Price $109.33
Best Price (1Y)
$124.16
Current Price $84.64
Return -22.6%
Signal & Target
SELL $220.00
Start Price $226.02
Best Price (1Y)
$214.44
Current Price $230.67
Return -2.1%
Signal & Target
BUY $183.00
Start Price $134.45
Best Price (1Y)
$168.36
Current Price $149.99
Return +11.6%
Signal & Target
BUY $79.00
Start Price $50.42
Best Price (1Y)
$64.84
Current Price $51.27
Return +1.7%
Signal & Target
BUY $200.00
Start Price $192.91
Best Price (1Y)
$205.88
Current Price $160.71
Return -16.7%
NVR Inc.
NVR
Oct 23, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY $8,500.00
Start Price $7,697.16
Best Price (1Y)
$8,166.27
Current Price $6,414.67
Return -16.7%
Signal & Target
BUY $146.00
Start Price $121.86
Best Price (1Y)
$178.68
Current Price $141.84
Return +16.4%
Signal & Target
BUY $51.00
Start Price $49.63
Best Price (1Y)
$54.90
Current Price $54.35
Return +9.5%
Masco Corp.
MAS
Apr 24, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY $80.00
Start Price $59.86
Best Price (1Y)
$79.19
Current Price $79.27
Return +32.4%
Signal & Target
BUY $141.00
Start Price $101.06
Best Price (1Y)
$144.50
Current Price $128.75
Return +27.4%
Signal & Target
BUY $217.00
Start Price $173.42
Best Price (1Y)
$199.85
Current Price $146.76
Return -15.4%
Signal & Target
BUY $140.00
Start Price $120.21
Best Price (1Y)
$169.52
Current Price $149.99
Return +24.8%
Signal & Target
BUY $154.00
Start Price $119.20
Best Price (1Y)
$169.52
Current Price $149.99
Return +25.8%
Signal & Target
BUY $198.00
Start Price $156.57
Best Price (1Y)
$193.80
Current Price $84.64
Return -45.9%
Signal & Target
BUY $107.00
Start Price $86.89
Best Price (1Y)
$169.52
Current Price $149.99
Return +72.6%
Signal & Target
BUY $108.00
Start Price $69.64
Best Price (1Y)
$127.08
Current Price $84.64
Return +21.5%
Signal & Target
BUY $154.00
Start Price $82.51
Best Price (1Y)
$109.28
Current Price $84.64
Return +2.6%
Signal & Target
BUY $100.00
Start Price $83.15
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price $43.43
Return -47.8%
Signal & Target
BUY $52.00
Start Price $36.30
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price $54.35
Return +49.7%
Owens Corning
OC
Jan 19, 2022
Signal & Target
BUY $122.00
Start Price $90.96
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price $142.34
Return +56.5%