John Lovallo Score: 43
Analyst at
UBS
Avg Return (Buy)
How much profit would you make?
Calculates the average return of all BUY recommendations after exactly 1 year (or today if newer).
Note: Sell ratings are ignored here to focus on investment potential.
Calculates the average return of all BUY recommendations after exactly 1 year (or today if newer).
Note: Sell ratings are ignored here to focus on investment potential.
-6.8%
1 Year Cap
Win Rate
How often is the direction correct?
Percentage of trades that are currently profitable.
• Buy: Stock price went UP 📈
• Sell: Stock price went DOWN 📉
Percentage of trades that are currently profitable.
• Buy: Stock price went UP 📈
• Sell: Stock price went DOWN 📉
25%
9 W / 27 L
Target Met
How often was the target reached?
Hits vs. Total.
Hits vs. Total.
88%
15 W / 2 L
Precision Hit
How often precise (±3%)?
Hits vs. Total.
Hits vs. Total.
47%
8 W / 9 L
Bullseye Hit
How often perfect (±1%)?
Hits vs. Total.
Hits vs. Total.
12%
2 W / 15 L
High Conviction
The "Brave" Trades (>20% Upside)
Win Rate only for recommendations where the analyst predicted a massive move (>20%).
Shows if they are right when they bet big.
Win Rate only for recommendations where the analyst predicted a massive move (>20%).
Shows if they are right when they bet big.
26%
6 W / 17 L
Long Wins
Success rate for BUY ratings
How often is the analyst right when saying "Buy"?
(Price went UP).
How often is the analyst right when saying "Buy"?
(Price went UP).
23%
8 W / 27 L
Short Wins
Success rate for SELL ratings
How often is the analyst right when saying "Sell"?
(Price went DOWN).
How often is the analyst right when saying "Sell"?
(Price went DOWN).
100%
1 W / 0 L
Coverage & Price Targets
| Date | Stock | Signal | Target | Start Price | Best Price (1Y) | Accuracy | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 |
Janus International Group Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A
JBI
|
BUY |
$5.60
Est. +11%
|
$5.06 | $5.20 |
Pending
|
$4.18
-17.4%
|
| Jul 14, 2026 |
TREX Co., Inc.
TREX
|
BUY |
$61.00
Est. +33%
|
$45.75 | $50.94 |
Pending
|
$45.73
0.0%
|
| Jun 24, 2026 |
KB Home
KBH
|
BUY |
$66.00
Est. +25%
|
$52.74 | $63.63 |
Pending
|
$43.30
-17.9%
|
| Jun 16, 2026 |
Lennar Corp. - Ordinary Shares - Class A
LEN
|
BUY |
$94.00
Est. +5%
|
$89.75 | $96.03 |
Precision Hit (±3%)
|
$77.08
-14.1%
|
| Jun 16, 2026 |
Lennar Corp. - Ordinary Shares - Class B
LEN-B
|
BUY |
$94.00
Est. +7%
|
$88.08 | $93.83 |
Bullseye Hit (±1%)
|
$76.71
-12.9%
|
| May 13, 2026 |
Janus International Group Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A
JBI
|
BUY |
$6.00
Est. +21%
|
$4.96 | $5.74 |
Pending
|
$4.18
-15.7%
|
| May 08, 2026 |
TREX Co., Inc.
TREX
|
BUY |
$59.00
Est. +44%
|
$40.88 | $50.94 |
Pending
|
$45.73
+11.9%
|
| Apr 23, 2026 |
Masco Corp.
MAS
|
BUY |
$97.00
Est. +29%
|
$75.30 | $83.64 |
Pending
|
$72.87
-3.2%
|
| Apr 23, 2026 |
NVR Inc.
NVR
|
BUY |
$7,700.00
Est. +17%
|
$6,595.45 | $6,956.48 |
Pending
|
$5,919.82
-10.2%
|
| Feb 19, 2026 |
Toll Brothers Inc.
TOL
|
BUY |
$198.00
Est. +22%
|
$161.93 | $166.23 |
Pending
|
$133.70
-17.4%
|
| Feb 13, 2026 |
Fortune Brands Innovations Inc
FBIN
|
BUY |
$70.00
Est. +37%
|
$51.07 | $57.26 |
Pending
|
$40.04
-21.6%
|
| Feb 13, 2026 |
NVR Inc.
NVR
|
BUY |
$8,100.00
Est. +5%
|
$7,741.37 | $8,125.13 |
Bullseye Hit (±1%)
|
$5,919.82
-23.5%
|
| Jan 20, 2026 |
D.R. Horton Inc.
DHI
|
BUY |
$193.00
Est. +26%
|
$153.19 | $170.79 |
Pending
|
$139.39
-9.0%
|
| Jan 06, 2026 |
NVR Inc.
NVR
|
BUY |
$8,150.00
Est. +11%
|
$7,317.34 | $8,166.27 |
Bullseye Hit (±1%)
|
$5,919.82
-19.1%
|
| Jan 06, 2026 |
Lennar Corp. - Ordinary Shares - Class A
LEN
|
BUY |
$122.00
Est. +16%
|
$105.40 | $124.16 |
Precision Hit (±3%)
|
$77.08
-26.9%
|
| Dec 18, 2025 |
Lennar Corp. - Ordinary Shares - Class A
LEN
|
BUY |
$137.00
Est. +25%
|
$109.33 | $124.16 |
Pending
|
$77.08
-29.5%
|
| Dec 18, 2025 |
Lennar Corp. - Ordinary Shares - Class B
LEN-B
|
BUY |
$137.00
Est. +31%
|
$104.72 | $115.82 |
Pending
|
$76.71
-26.7%
|
| Dec 10, 2025 |
Ferguson Enterprises Inc.
FERG
|
SELL |
$220.00
Est. +3%
|
$226.02 | $212.50 (Low) |
Target Met
|
$231.61
-2.5%
|
| Dec 09, 2025 |
Toll Brothers Inc.
TOL
|
BUY |
$183.00
Est. +36%
|
$134.45 | $168.36 |
Pending
|
$133.70
-0.6%
|
| Oct 31, 2025 |
Fortune Brands Innovations Inc
FBIN
|
BUY |
$79.00
Est. +57%
|
$50.42 | $64.84 |
Pending
|
$40.04
-20.6%
|
| Oct 29, 2025 |
Armstrong World Industries Inc.
AWI
|
BUY |
$200.00
Est. +4%
|
$192.91 | $205.88 |
Precision Hit (±3%)
|
$168.16
-12.8%
|
| Oct 23, 2025 |
NVR Inc.
NVR
|
BUY |
$8,500.00
Est. +10%
|
$7,697.16 | $8,166.27 |
Pending
|
$5,919.82
-23.1%
|
| May 16, 2025 |
Advanced Drainage Systems Inc
WMS
|
BUY |
$146.00
Est. +20%
|
$121.86 | $178.68 |
Target Met
|
$128.20
+5.2%
|
| May 07, 2025 |
AZEK Company Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A
AZEK
|
BUY |
$51.00
Est. +3%
|
$49.63 | $54.90 |
Target Met
|
$54.35
+9.5%
|
| Apr 24, 2025 |
Masco Corp.
MAS
|
BUY |
$80.00
Est. +34%
|
$59.86 | $79.19 |
Precision Hit (±3%)
|
$72.87
+21.7%
|
| Apr 23, 2025 |
PulteGroup Inc
PHM
|
BUY |
$141.00
Est. +40%
|
$101.06 | $144.50 |
Precision Hit (±3%)
|
$113.55
+12.4%
|
| Jul 19, 2024 |
D.R. Horton Inc.
DHI
|
BUY |
$217.00
Est. +25%
|
$173.42 | $199.85 |
Miss
|
$139.39
-19.6%
|
| May 22, 2024 |
Toll Brothers Inc.
TOL
|
BUY |
$154.00
Est. +29%
|
$119.20 | $169.52 |
Target Met
|
$133.70
+12.2%
|
| May 22, 2024 |
Toll Brothers Inc.
TOL
|
BUY |
$140.00
Est. +16%
|
$120.21 | $169.52 |
Target Met
|
$133.70
+11.2%
|
| Mar 15, 2024 |
Lennar Corp. - Ordinary Shares - Class A
LEN
|
BUY |
$198.00
Est. +26%
|
$156.57 | $193.80 |
Precision Hit (±3%)
|
$77.08
-50.8%
|
| Dec 05, 2023 |
Toll Brothers Inc.
TOL
|
BUY |
$107.00
Est. +23%
|
$86.89 | $169.52 |
Target Met
|
$133.70
+53.9%
|
| Jun 29, 2022 |
Lennar Corp. - Ordinary Shares - Class A
LEN
|
BUY |
$108.00
Est. +55%
|
$69.64 | $127.08 |
Target Met
|
$77.08
+10.7%
|
| Mar 28, 2022 |
Lennar Corp. - Ordinary Shares - Class A
LEN
|
BUY |
$154.00
Est. +87%
|
$82.51 | $109.28 |
Miss
|
$77.08
-6.6%
|
| Mar 01, 2022 |
TREX Co., Inc.
TREX
|
BUY |
$100.00
Est. +20%
|
$83.15 | - | - |
$45.73
-45.0%
|
| Jan 19, 2022 |
AZEK Company Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A
AZEK
|
BUY |
$52.00
Est. +43%
|
$36.30 | - | - |
$54.35
+49.7%
|
| Jan 19, 2022 |
Owens Corning
OC
|
BUY |
$122.00
Est. +34%
|
$90.96 | - | - |
$112.80
+24.0%
|
Signal & Target
BUY
$5.60
Start Price
$5.06
Best Price (1Y)
$5.20
Current Price
$4.18
Return
-17.4%
TREX Co., Inc.
TREX
Jul 14, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY
$61.00
Start Price
$45.75
Best Price (1Y)
$50.94
Current Price
$45.73
Return
0.0%
KB Home
KBH
Jun 24, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY
$66.00
Start Price
$52.74
Best Price (1Y)
$63.63
Current Price
$43.30
Return
-17.9%
Lennar Corp. - Ordinary Shares - Class A
LEN
Jun 16, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY
$94.00
Start Price
$89.75
Best Price (1Y)
$96.03
Current Price
$77.08
Return
-14.1%
Lennar Corp. - Ordinary Shares - Class B
LEN-B
Jun 16, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY
$94.00
Start Price
$88.08
Best Price (1Y)
$93.83
Current Price
$76.71
Return
-12.9%
Signal & Target
BUY
$6.00
Start Price
$4.96
Best Price (1Y)
$5.74
Current Price
$4.18
Return
-15.7%
TREX Co., Inc.
TREX
May 08, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY
$59.00
Start Price
$40.88
Best Price (1Y)
$50.94
Current Price
$45.73
Return
+11.9%
Masco Corp.
MAS
Apr 23, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY
$97.00
Start Price
$75.30
Best Price (1Y)
$83.64
Current Price
$72.87
Return
-3.2%
NVR Inc.
NVR
Apr 23, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY
$7,700.00
Start Price
$6,595.45
Best Price (1Y)
$6,956.48
Current Price
$5,919.82
Return
-10.2%
Toll Brothers Inc.
TOL
Feb 19, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY
$198.00
Start Price
$161.93
Best Price (1Y)
$166.23
Current Price
$133.70
Return
-17.4%
Fortune Brands Innovations Inc
FBIN
Feb 13, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY
$70.00
Start Price
$51.07
Best Price (1Y)
$57.26
Current Price
$40.04
Return
-21.6%
NVR Inc.
NVR
Feb 13, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY
$8,100.00
Start Price
$7,741.37
Best Price (1Y)
$8,125.13
Current Price
$5,919.82
Return
-23.5%
D.R. Horton Inc.
DHI
Jan 20, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY
$193.00
Start Price
$153.19
Best Price (1Y)
$170.79
Current Price
$139.39
Return
-9.0%
NVR Inc.
NVR
Jan 06, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY
$8,150.00
Start Price
$7,317.34
Best Price (1Y)
$8,166.27
Current Price
$5,919.82
Return
-19.1%
Lennar Corp. - Ordinary Shares - Class A
LEN
Jan 06, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY
$122.00
Start Price
$105.40
Best Price (1Y)
$124.16
Current Price
$77.08
Return
-26.9%
Lennar Corp. - Ordinary Shares - Class A
LEN
Dec 18, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$137.00
Start Price
$109.33
Best Price (1Y)
$124.16
Current Price
$77.08
Return
-29.5%
Lennar Corp. - Ordinary Shares - Class B
LEN-B
Dec 18, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$137.00
Start Price
$104.72
Best Price (1Y)
$115.82
Current Price
$76.71
Return
-26.7%
Ferguson Enterprises Inc.
FERG
Dec 10, 2025
Signal & Target
SELL
$220.00
Start Price
$226.02
Best Price (1Y)
$212.50
Current Price
$231.61
Return
-2.5%
Toll Brothers Inc.
TOL
Dec 09, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$183.00
Start Price
$134.45
Best Price (1Y)
$168.36
Current Price
$133.70
Return
-0.6%
Fortune Brands Innovations Inc
FBIN
Oct 31, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$79.00
Start Price
$50.42
Best Price (1Y)
$64.84
Current Price
$40.04
Return
-20.6%
Armstrong World Industries Inc.
AWI
Oct 29, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$200.00
Start Price
$192.91
Best Price (1Y)
$205.88
Current Price
$168.16
Return
-12.8%
NVR Inc.
NVR
Oct 23, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$8,500.00
Start Price
$7,697.16
Best Price (1Y)
$8,166.27
Current Price
$5,919.82
Return
-23.1%
Advanced Drainage Systems Inc
WMS
May 16, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$146.00
Start Price
$121.86
Best Price (1Y)
$178.68
Current Price
$128.20
Return
+5.2%
AZEK Company Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A
AZEK
May 07, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$51.00
Start Price
$49.63
Best Price (1Y)
$54.90
Current Price
$54.35
Return
+9.5%
Masco Corp.
MAS
Apr 24, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$80.00
Start Price
$59.86
Best Price (1Y)
$79.19
Current Price
$72.87
Return
+21.7%
PulteGroup Inc
PHM
Apr 23, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$141.00
Start Price
$101.06
Best Price (1Y)
$144.50
Current Price
$113.55
Return
+12.4%
D.R. Horton Inc.
DHI
Jul 19, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$217.00
Start Price
$173.42
Best Price (1Y)
$199.85
Current Price
$139.39
Return
-19.6%
Toll Brothers Inc.
TOL
May 22, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$154.00
Start Price
$119.20
Best Price (1Y)
$169.52
Current Price
$133.70
Return
+12.2%
Toll Brothers Inc.
TOL
May 22, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$140.00
Start Price
$120.21
Best Price (1Y)
$169.52
Current Price
$133.70
Return
+11.2%
Lennar Corp. - Ordinary Shares - Class A
LEN
Mar 15, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$198.00
Start Price
$156.57
Best Price (1Y)
$193.80
Current Price
$77.08
Return
-50.8%
Toll Brothers Inc.
TOL
Dec 05, 2023
Signal & Target
BUY
$107.00
Start Price
$86.89
Best Price (1Y)
$169.52
Current Price
$133.70
Return
+53.9%
Lennar Corp. - Ordinary Shares - Class A
LEN
Jun 29, 2022
Signal & Target
BUY
$108.00
Start Price
$69.64
Best Price (1Y)
$127.08
Current Price
$77.08
Return
+10.7%
Lennar Corp. - Ordinary Shares - Class A
LEN
Mar 28, 2022
Signal & Target
BUY
$154.00
Start Price
$82.51
Best Price (1Y)
$109.28
Current Price
$77.08
Return
-6.6%
TREX Co., Inc.
TREX
Mar 01, 2022
Signal & Target
BUY
$100.00
Start Price
$83.15
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price
$45.73
Return
-45.0%
AZEK Company Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A
AZEK
Jan 19, 2022
Signal & Target
BUY
$52.00
Start Price
$36.30
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price
$54.35
Return
+49.7%
Owens Corning
OC
Jan 19, 2022
Signal & Target
BUY
$122.00
Start Price
$90.96
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price
$112.80
Return
+24.0%