Doug Harter Score: 42
Analyst at
UBS
Avg Return (Buy)
How much profit would you make?
Calculates the average return of all BUY recommendations after exactly 1 year (or today if newer).
Note: Sell ratings are ignored here to focus on investment potential.
Calculates the average return of all BUY recommendations after exactly 1 year (or today if newer).
Note: Sell ratings are ignored here to focus on investment potential.
-2.8%
1 Year Cap
Win Rate
How often is the direction correct?
Percentage of trades that are currently profitable.
• Buy: Stock price went UP 📈
• Sell: Stock price went DOWN 📉
Percentage of trades that are currently profitable.
• Buy: Stock price went UP 📈
• Sell: Stock price went DOWN 📉
43%
18 W / 24 L
Target Met
How often was the target reached?
Hits vs. Total.
Hits vs. Total.
89%
33 W / 4 L
Precision Hit
How often precise (±3%)?
Hits vs. Total.
Hits vs. Total.
24%
9 W / 28 L
Bullseye Hit
How often perfect (±1%)?
Hits vs. Total.
Hits vs. Total.
11%
4 W / 33 L
High Conviction
The "Brave" Trades (>20% Upside)
Win Rate only for recommendations where the analyst predicted a massive move (>20%).
Shows if they are right when they bet big.
Win Rate only for recommendations where the analyst predicted a massive move (>20%).
Shows if they are right when they bet big.
25%
1 W / 3 L
Long Wins
Success rate for BUY ratings
How often is the analyst right when saying "Buy"?
(Price went UP).
How often is the analyst right when saying "Buy"?
(Price went UP).
37%
13 W / 22 L
Short Wins
Success rate for SELL ratings
How often is the analyst right when saying "Sell"?
(Price went DOWN).
How often is the analyst right when saying "Sell"?
(Price went DOWN).
71%
5 W / 2 L
Coverage & Price Targets
| Date | Stock | Signal | Target | Start Price | Best Price (1Y) | Accuracy | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 |
Horizon Technology Finance Corp
HRZN
|
BUY |
$4.25
Est. +5%
|
$4.06 | $5.14 |
Target Met
|
$4.61
+13.5%
|
| Apr 24, 2026 |
Dynex Capital, Inc.
DX
|
BUY |
$14.50
Est. +6%
|
$13.70 | $13.84 |
Pending
|
$11.73
-14.4%
|
| Apr 24, 2026 |
ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc
ARR
|
BUY |
$18.00
Est. +2%
|
$17.61 | $17.81 |
Precision Hit (±3%)
|
$14.60
-17.1%
|
| Apr 20, 2026 |
Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund
MSDL
|
BUY |
$16.25
Est. +5%
|
$15.47 | $15.85 |
Precision Hit (±3%)
|
$14.40
-6.9%
|
| Apr 10, 2026 |
Rithm Capital Corporation
RITM
|
BUY |
$14.50
Est. +46%
|
$9.90 | $10.45 |
Pending
|
$9.42
-4.8%
|
| Nov 19, 2025 |
Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc.
PSBD
|
BUY |
$13.00
Est. +10%
|
$11.81 | $12.47 |
Pending
|
$10.37
-12.2%
|
| Nov 19, 2025 |
Horizon Technology Finance Corp
HRZN
|
SELL |
$6.50
Est. +1%
|
$6.54 | $3.80 (Low) |
Target Met
|
$4.61
+29.5%
|
| Nov 18, 2025 |
MFA Financial Inc
MFA
|
BUY |
$10.25
Est. +14%
|
$9.01 | $10.43 |
Precision Hit (±3%)
|
$8.32
-7.7%
|
| Nov 18, 2025 |
Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc
AOMR
|
BUY |
$9.75
Est. +18%
|
$8.29 | $9.30 |
Pending
|
$7.58
-8.6%
|
| Oct 24, 2025 |
PennyMac Financial Services Inc.
PFSI
|
BUY |
$145.00
Est. +11%
|
$130.67 | $160.36 |
Target Met
|
$65.61
-49.8%
|
| Oct 14, 2025 |
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp
NCDL
|
BUY |
$15.00
Est. +9%
|
$13.79 | $15.08 |
Bullseye Hit (±1%)
|
$11.79
-14.5%
|
| Oct 14, 2025 |
Kayne Anderson BDC Inc
KBDC
|
BUY |
$15.00
Est. +7%
|
$13.96 | $15.87 |
Target Met
|
$13.08
-6.3%
|
| Oct 14, 2025 |
TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp
TPVG
|
BUY |
$5.50
Est. +2%
|
$5.37 | $6.95 |
Target Met
|
$4.92
-8.4%
|
| Oct 14, 2025 |
Capital Southwest Corp.
CSWC
|
BUY |
$21.50
Est. +7%
|
$20.15 | $25.75 |
Target Met
|
$23.15
+14.9%
|
| Oct 14, 2025 |
Blackstone Secured Lending Fund.
BXSL
|
BUY |
$28.00
Est. +8%
|
$26.01 | $28.59 |
Precision Hit (±3%)
|
$24.61
-5.4%
|
| Oct 08, 2025 |
ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc
ARR
|
BUY |
$16.00
Est. +3%
|
$15.59 | $19.31 |
Target Met
|
$14.60
-6.4%
|
| Sep 03, 2025 |
Dynex Capital, Inc.
DX
|
BUY |
$13.00
Est. +4%
|
$12.50 | $14.78 |
Target Met
|
$11.73
-6.2%
|
| Sep 03, 2025 |
Redwood Trust Inc.
RWT
|
BUY |
$7.00
Est. +16%
|
$6.04 | $6.97 |
Bullseye Hit (±1%)
|
$3.72
-38.4%
|
| Sep 03, 2025 |
New York Mortgage Trust Inc
NYMT
|
BUY |
$7.25
Est. +2%
|
$7.11 | - | - |
$7.11
0.0%
|
| Sep 03, 2025 |
Two Harbors Investment Corp
TWO
|
BUY |
$11.00
Est. +10%
|
$9.97 | $14.17 |
Target Met
|
$12.18
+22.2%
|
| Sep 03, 2025 |
MFA Financial Inc
MFA
|
BUY |
$10.50
Est. +4%
|
$10.08 | $10.57 |
Bullseye Hit (±1%)
|
$8.32
-17.5%
|
| Aug 05, 2025 |
Rocket Companies Inc - Ordinary Shares Class A
RKT
|
SELL |
$16.00
Est. +11%
|
$18.03 | $12.17 (Low) |
Target Met
|
$12.15
+32.6%
|
| Aug 05, 2025 |
Mr. Cooper Group Inc
COOP
|
SELL |
$176.00
Est. +7%
|
$189.34 | $176.00 (Low) |
Bullseye Hit (±1%)
|
$210.79
-11.3%
|
| Jul 16, 2025 |
LoanDepot Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A
LDI
|
SELL |
$1.40
Est. +5%
|
$1.48 | $1.07 (Low) |
Target Met
|
$0.67
+54.5%
|
| Jul 15, 2025 |
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc
ARI
|
BUY |
$10.50
Est. +6%
|
$9.86 | $11.24 |
Target Met
|
$6.26
-36.5%
|
| Jul 15, 2025 |
PennyMac Financial Services Inc.
PFSI
|
BUY |
$115.00
Est. +15%
|
$99.91 | $160.36 |
Target Met
|
$65.61
-34.3%
|
| Jul 10, 2025 |
Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc
AOMR
|
BUY |
$10.50
Est. +9%
|
$9.66 | $10.14 |
Miss
|
$7.58
-21.5%
|
| Jul 10, 2025 |
Dynex Capital, Inc.
DX
|
SELL |
$12.50
Est. +3%
|
$12.84 | $11.83 (Low) |
Target Met
|
$11.73
+8.6%
|
| May 21, 2025 |
Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc
GPMT
|
BUY |
$3.25
Est. +39%
|
$2.33 | $3.12 |
Miss
|
$0.84
-64.1%
|
| May 14, 2025 |
AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc
MITT
|
BUY |
$8.00
Est. +13%
|
$7.09 | $9.27 |
Target Met
|
$6.19
-12.7%
|
| May 14, 2025 |
Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc
AOMR
|
SELL |
$10.00
Est. +1%
|
$10.12 | $7.96 (Low) |
Target Met
|
$7.58
+25.1%
|
| May 05, 2025 |
Radian Group, Inc.
RDN
|
BUY |
$36.00
Est. +6%
|
$33.89 | $38.84 |
Target Met
|
$34.54
+1.9%
|
| Apr 16, 2025 |
PennyMac Financial Services Inc.
PFSI
|
BUY |
$110.00
Est. +15%
|
$95.57 | $160.36 |
Target Met
|
$65.61
-31.3%
|
| Apr 16, 2025 |
Rithm Capital Corporation
RITM
|
BUY |
$13.00
Est. +30%
|
$10.02 | $12.74 |
Precision Hit (±3%)
|
$9.42
-6.0%
|
| Apr 16, 2025 |
Ares Commercial Real Estate Corp
ACRE
|
BUY |
$3.75
Est. +7%
|
$3.50 | $5.89 |
Target Met
|
$4.22
+20.6%
|
| Jul 18, 2024 |
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp
NCDL
|
BUY |
$19.00
Est. +7%
|
$17.80 | $18.01 |
Miss
|
$11.79
-33.8%
|
| Jul 18, 2024 |
Hercules Capital Inc
HTGC
|
SELL |
$20.00
Est. +6%
|
$21.32 | $15.68 (Low) |
Target Met
|
$16.97
+20.4%
|
| Jul 18, 2024 |
Ares Capital Corp
ARCC
|
BUY |
$22.00
Est. +4%
|
$21.07 | $23.84 |
Target Met
|
$19.15
-9.1%
|
| Jul 18, 2024 |
Runway Growth Finance Corp
RWAY
|
BUY |
$14.50
Est. +22%
|
$11.86 | $12.09 |
Miss
|
$6.74
-43.2%
|
| May 21, 2024 |
Radian Group, Inc.
RDN
|
BUY |
$31.50
Est. +0%
|
$31.43 | $37.83 |
Target Met
|
$34.54
+9.9%
|
| May 21, 2024 |
NMI Holdings Inc
NMIH
|
BUY |
$39.00
Est. +15%
|
$33.77 | $42.49 |
Target Met
|
$42.19
+24.9%
|
| May 21, 2024 |
Enact Holdings Inc
ACT
|
BUY |
$33.00
Est. +6%
|
$31.08 | $37.56 |
Target Met
|
$47.75
+53.6%
|
Horizon Technology Finance Corp
HRZN
May 18, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY
$4.25
Start Price
$4.06
Best Price (1Y)
$5.14
Current Price
$4.61
Return
+13.5%
Dynex Capital, Inc.
DX
Apr 24, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY
$14.50
Start Price
$13.70
Best Price (1Y)
$13.84
Current Price
$11.73
Return
-14.4%
ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc
ARR
Apr 24, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY
$18.00
Start Price
$17.61
Best Price (1Y)
$17.81
Current Price
$14.60
Return
-17.1%
Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund
MSDL
Apr 20, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY
$16.25
Start Price
$15.47
Best Price (1Y)
$15.85
Current Price
$14.40
Return
-6.9%
Rithm Capital Corporation
RITM
Apr 10, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY
$14.50
Start Price
$9.90
Best Price (1Y)
$10.45
Current Price
$9.42
Return
-4.8%
Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc.
PSBD
Nov 19, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$13.00
Start Price
$11.81
Best Price (1Y)
$12.47
Current Price
$10.37
Return
-12.2%
Horizon Technology Finance Corp
HRZN
Nov 19, 2025
Signal & Target
SELL
$6.50
Start Price
$6.54
Best Price (1Y)
$3.80
Current Price
$4.61
Return
+29.5%
MFA Financial Inc
MFA
Nov 18, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$10.25
Start Price
$9.01
Best Price (1Y)
$10.43
Current Price
$8.32
Return
-7.7%
Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc
AOMR
Nov 18, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$9.75
Start Price
$8.29
Best Price (1Y)
$9.30
Current Price
$7.58
Return
-8.6%
PennyMac Financial Services Inc.
PFSI
Oct 24, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$145.00
Start Price
$130.67
Best Price (1Y)
$160.36
Current Price
$65.61
Return
-49.8%
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp
NCDL
Oct 14, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$15.00
Start Price
$13.79
Best Price (1Y)
$15.08
Current Price
$11.79
Return
-14.5%
Kayne Anderson BDC Inc
KBDC
Oct 14, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$15.00
Start Price
$13.96
Best Price (1Y)
$15.87
Current Price
$13.08
Return
-6.3%
TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp
TPVG
Oct 14, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$5.50
Start Price
$5.37
Best Price (1Y)
$6.95
Current Price
$4.92
Return
-8.4%
Capital Southwest Corp.
CSWC
Oct 14, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$21.50
Start Price
$20.15
Best Price (1Y)
$25.75
Current Price
$23.15
Return
+14.9%
Blackstone Secured Lending Fund.
BXSL
Oct 14, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$28.00
Start Price
$26.01
Best Price (1Y)
$28.59
Current Price
$24.61
Return
-5.4%
ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc
ARR
Oct 08, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$16.00
Start Price
$15.59
Best Price (1Y)
$19.31
Current Price
$14.60
Return
-6.4%
Dynex Capital, Inc.
DX
Sep 03, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$13.00
Start Price
$12.50
Best Price (1Y)
$14.78
Current Price
$11.73
Return
-6.2%
Redwood Trust Inc.
RWT
Sep 03, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$7.00
Start Price
$6.04
Best Price (1Y)
$6.97
Current Price
$3.72
Return
-38.4%
New York Mortgage Trust Inc
NYMT
Sep 03, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$7.25
Start Price
$7.11
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price
$7.11
Return
0.0%
Two Harbors Investment Corp
TWO
Sep 03, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$11.00
Start Price
$9.97
Best Price (1Y)
$14.17
Current Price
$12.18
Return
+22.2%
MFA Financial Inc
MFA
Sep 03, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$10.50
Start Price
$10.08
Best Price (1Y)
$10.57
Current Price
$8.32
Return
-17.5%
Rocket Companies Inc - Ordinary Shares Class A
RKT
Aug 05, 2025
Signal & Target
SELL
$16.00
Start Price
$18.03
Best Price (1Y)
$12.17
Current Price
$12.15
Return
+32.6%
Mr. Cooper Group Inc
COOP
Aug 05, 2025
Signal & Target
SELL
$176.00
Start Price
$189.34
Best Price (1Y)
$176.00
Current Price
$210.79
Return
-11.3%
LoanDepot Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A
LDI
Jul 16, 2025
Signal & Target
SELL
$1.40
Start Price
$1.48
Best Price (1Y)
$1.07
Current Price
$0.67
Return
+54.5%
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc
ARI
Jul 15, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$10.50
Start Price
$9.86
Best Price (1Y)
$11.24
Current Price
$6.26
Return
-36.5%
PennyMac Financial Services Inc.
PFSI
Jul 15, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$115.00
Start Price
$99.91
Best Price (1Y)
$160.36
Current Price
$65.61
Return
-34.3%
Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc
AOMR
Jul 10, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$10.50
Start Price
$9.66
Best Price (1Y)
$10.14
Current Price
$7.58
Return
-21.5%
Dynex Capital, Inc.
DX
Jul 10, 2025
Signal & Target
SELL
$12.50
Start Price
$12.84
Best Price (1Y)
$11.83
Current Price
$11.73
Return
+8.6%
Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc
GPMT
May 21, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$3.25
Start Price
$2.33
Best Price (1Y)
$3.12
Current Price
$0.84
Return
-64.1%
AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc
MITT
May 14, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$8.00
Start Price
$7.09
Best Price (1Y)
$9.27
Current Price
$6.19
Return
-12.7%
Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc
AOMR
May 14, 2025
Signal & Target
SELL
$10.00
Start Price
$10.12
Best Price (1Y)
$7.96
Current Price
$7.58
Return
+25.1%
Radian Group, Inc.
RDN
May 05, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$36.00
Start Price
$33.89
Best Price (1Y)
$38.84
Current Price
$34.54
Return
+1.9%
PennyMac Financial Services Inc.
PFSI
Apr 16, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$110.00
Start Price
$95.57
Best Price (1Y)
$160.36
Current Price
$65.61
Return
-31.3%
Rithm Capital Corporation
RITM
Apr 16, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$13.00
Start Price
$10.02
Best Price (1Y)
$12.74
Current Price
$9.42
Return
-6.0%
Ares Commercial Real Estate Corp
ACRE
Apr 16, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$3.75
Start Price
$3.50
Best Price (1Y)
$5.89
Current Price
$4.22
Return
+20.6%
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp
NCDL
Jul 18, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$19.00
Start Price
$17.80
Best Price (1Y)
$18.01
Current Price
$11.79
Return
-33.8%
Hercules Capital Inc
HTGC
Jul 18, 2024
Signal & Target
SELL
$20.00
Start Price
$21.32
Best Price (1Y)
$15.68
Current Price
$16.97
Return
+20.4%
Ares Capital Corp
ARCC
Jul 18, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$22.00
Start Price
$21.07
Best Price (1Y)
$23.84
Current Price
$19.15
Return
-9.1%
Runway Growth Finance Corp
RWAY
Jul 18, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$14.50
Start Price
$11.86
Best Price (1Y)
$12.09
Current Price
$6.74
Return
-43.2%
Radian Group, Inc.
RDN
May 21, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$31.50
Start Price
$31.43
Best Price (1Y)
$37.83
Current Price
$34.54
Return
+9.9%
NMI Holdings Inc
NMIH
May 21, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$39.00
Start Price
$33.77
Best Price (1Y)
$42.49
Current Price
$42.19
Return
+24.9%
Enact Holdings Inc
ACT
May 21, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$33.00
Start Price
$31.08
Best Price (1Y)
$37.56
Current Price
$47.75
Return
+53.6%