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Matthew Smith Score: 40

Analyst at Stifel Nicolaus
Avg Return (Buy)
? How much profit would you make?
Calculates the average return of all BUY recommendations after exactly 1 year (or today if newer).

Note: Sell ratings are ignored here to focus on investment potential.
-4.2%
1 Year Cap
Win Rate
? How often is the direction correct?
Percentage of trades that are currently profitable.
• Buy: Stock price went UP 📈
• Sell: Stock price went DOWN 📉
39%
20 W / 31 L
Target Met
? How often was the target reached?
Hits vs. Total.
88%
35 W / 5 L
Precision Hit
? How often precise (±3%)?
Hits vs. Total.
23%
9 W / 31 L
Bullseye Hit
? How often perfect (±1%)?
Hits vs. Total.
10%
4 W / 36 L
High Conviction
? The "Brave" Trades (>20% Upside)
Win Rate only for recommendations where the analyst predicted a massive move (>20%).
Shows if they are right when they bet big.
57%
4 W / 3 L
Long Wins
? Success rate for BUY ratings
How often is the analyst right when saying "Buy"?
(Price went UP).
40%
19 W / 29 L
Short Wins
? Success rate for SELL ratings
How often is the analyst right when saying "Sell"?
(Price went DOWN).
33%
1 W / 2 L

Coverage & Price Targets

Date Stock Signal Target Start Price Best Price (1Y) Accuracy Current Price
May 08, 2026
Vital Farms Inc VITL
BUY $10.00
Est. +5%
$9.52 $13.90
Target Met
$13.13 +37.9%
May 06, 2026
Bellring Brands Inc BRBR
BUY $14.00
Est. +32%
$10.63 $14.29
Precision Hit (±3%)
$12.78 +20.2%
Apr 21, 2026
Hershey Company HSY
BUY $215.00
Est. +12%
$191.45 $200.00
Pending
$172.33 -10.0%
Apr 21, 2026
Campbell Soup Co. CPB
SELL $20.00
Est. +6%
$21.26 $19.56 (Low)
Precision Hit (±3%)
$21.88 -2.9%
Apr 10, 2026
Philip Morris International Inc PM
BUY $195.00
Est. +23%
$158.68 $199.78
Precision Hit (±3%)
$194.30 +22.4%
Feb 18, 2026
General Mills, Inc. GIS
BUY $50.00
Est. +11%
$44.96 $45.99
Pending
$36.91 -17.9%
Dec 12, 2025
Monster Beverage Corp. MNST
BUY $82.00
Est. +13%
$72.49 $100.34
Target Met
$95.67 +32.0%
Dec 10, 2025
Campbell Soup Co. CPB
BUY $30.00
Est. +5%
$28.47 $29.99
Bullseye Hit (±1%)
$21.88 -23.1%
Dec 09, 2025
Campbell Soup Co. CPB
BUY $34.00
Est. +17%
$29.04 $30.65
Pending
$21.88 -24.7%
Nov 19, 2025
Bellring Brands Inc BRBR
BUY $50.00
Est. +90%
$26.26 $33.56
Pending
$12.78 -51.3%
Oct 31, 2025
Hershey Company HSY
BUY $185.00
Est. +11%
$167.17 $239.23
Target Met
$172.33 +3.1%
Oct 24, 2025
Monster Beverage Corp. MNST
BUY $78.00
Est. +12%
$69.52 $100.34
Target Met
$95.67 +37.6%
Oct 24, 2025
Simply Good Foods Co SMPL
BUY $32.00
Est. +53%
$20.98 $22.00
Pending
$10.53 -49.8%
Oct 24, 2025
Celsius Holdings Inc CELH
BUY $74.00
Est. +17%
$63.22 $64.09
Pending
$28.47 -55.0%
Oct 21, 2025
Philip Morris International Inc PM
BUY $186.00
Est. +24%
$150.17 $199.78
Target Met
$194.30 +29.4%
Sep 03, 2025
Kraft Heinz Co KHC
BUY $28.00
Est. +6%
$26.51 $27.51
Precision Hit (±3%)
$25.96 -2.1%
Aug 21, 2025
Altria Group Inc. MO
BUY $72.00
Est. +6%
$67.68 $75.28
Target Met
$72.17 +6.6%
Jun 12, 2025
Freshpet Inc FRPT
BUY $90.00
Est. +16%
$77.80 $85.99
Miss
$57.71 -25.8%
Jun 10, 2025
J.M. Smucker Co. SJM
BUY $120.00
Est. +27%
$94.41 $119.01
Bullseye Hit (±1%)
$118.05 +25.0%
Apr 24, 2025
Lamb Weston Holdings Inc LW
BUY $56.00
Est. +7%
$52.49 $67.07
Target Met
$48.00 -8.6%
Nov 07, 2024
Hershey Company HSY
BUY $180.00
Est. +0%
$179.69 $208.03
Target Met
$172.33 -4.1%
Nov 01, 2024
Altria Group Inc. MO
BUY $60.00
Est. +11%
$53.87 $68.60
Target Met
$72.17 +34.0%
Oct 02, 2024
McCormick & Co., Inc. - Ordinary Shares (Non Voting) MKC
BUY $85.00
Est. +1%
$84.09 $86.24
Precision Hit (±3%)
$52.02 -38.1%
Sep 19, 2024
General Mills, Inc. GIS
BUY $82.00
Est. +10%
$74.43 $75.28
Miss
$36.91 -50.4%
Sep 11, 2024
Campbell Soup Co. CPB
SELL $50.00
Est. +0%
$50.11 $29.39 (Low)
Target Met
$21.88 +56.3%
Sep 04, 2024
Philip Morris International Inc PM
BUY $138.00
Est. +10%
$125.71 $186.69
Target Met
$194.30 +54.6%
Aug 14, 2024
Kellanova Co K
BUY $83.50
Est. +4%
$80.28 $83.22
Bullseye Hit (±1%)
$83.44 +3.9%
Aug 12, 2024
Kellanova Co K
BUY $76.00
Est. +1%
$74.88 $83.22
Target Met
$83.44 +11.4%
Aug 06, 2024
Treehouse Foods Inc THS
BUY $41.00
Est. +10%
$37.29 $43.84
Target Met
$24.43 -34.5%
Aug 05, 2024
Post Holdings Inc POST
BUY $130.00
Est. +14%
$113.71 $125.84
Miss
$91.01 -20.0%
Aug 01, 2024
Altria Group Inc. MO
BUY $54.00
Est. +10%
$49.01 $62.65
Target Met
$72.17 +47.3%
Jul 24, 2024
Philip Morris International Inc PM
BUY $115.00
Est. +4%
$110.24 $186.69
Target Met
$194.30 +76.3%
Jul 24, 2024
Philip Morris International Inc PM
BUY $120.00
Est. +10%
$109.56 $186.69
Target Met
$194.30 +77.3%
Jul 23, 2024
Vital Farms Inc VITL
BUY $42.00
Est. +7%
$39.23 $45.72
Target Met
$13.13 -66.5%
Jul 12, 2024
Conagra Brands Inc CAG
BUY $30.00
Est. +6%
$28.38 $33.24
Target Met
$14.82 -47.8%
Jun 27, 2024
General Mills, Inc. GIS
BUY $70.00
Est. +9%
$64.17 $75.90
Target Met
$36.91 -42.5%
Jun 14, 2024
Simply Good Foods Co SMPL
BUY $40.00
Est. +9%
$36.60 $40.52
Precision Hit (±3%)
$10.53 -71.2%
Jun 07, 2024
Altria Group Inc. MO
BUY $50.00
Est. +7%
$46.77 $61.26
Target Met
$72.17 +54.3%
Jun 06, 2024
J.M. Smucker Co. SJM
BUY $135.00
Est. +15%
$116.94 $125.42
Miss
$118.05 +0.9%
May 09, 2024
Vital Farms Inc VITL
BUY $40.00
Est. +5%
$37.97 $46.58
Target Met
$13.13 -65.4%
May 07, 2024
Treehouse Foods Inc THS
BUY $36.00
Est. +4%
$34.58 $43.84
Target Met
$24.43 -29.4%
Apr 05, 2024
Conagra Brands Inc CAG
BUY $32.00
Est. +4%
$30.64 $33.24
Target Met
$14.82 -51.6%
Apr 05, 2024
Lamb Weston Holdings Inc LW
BUY $115.00
Est. +41%
$81.53 $83.97
Miss
$48.00 -41.1%
Mar 28, 2024
Simply Good Foods Co SMPL
BUY $38.00
Est. +12%
$33.89 $40.52
Target Met
$10.53 -68.9%
Mar 27, 2024
McCormick & Co., Inc. - Ordinary Shares (Non Voting) MKC
SELL $75.00
Est. +2%
$76.37 $69.00 (Low)
Target Met
$52.02 +31.9%
Mar 12, 2024
Campbell Soup Co. CPB
BUY $45.00
Est. +5%
$43.01 $52.80
Target Met
$21.88 -49.1%
Jun 27, 2023
General Mills, Inc. GIS
BUY $95.00
Est. +16%
$81.85 - -
$36.91 -54.9%
May 19, 2023
Conagra Brands Inc CAG
BUY $43.00
Est. +20%
$35.97 - -
$14.82 -58.8%
Apr 24, 2023
Philip Morris International Inc PM
BUY $114.00
Est. +16%
$98.16 - -
$194.30 +97.9%
Apr 24, 2023
Altria Group Inc. MO
BUY $52.00
Est. +12%
$46.43 - -
$72.17 +55.4%
Apr 24, 2023
Kraft Heinz Co KHC
BUY $44.00
Est. +12%
$39.34 - -
$25.96 -34.0%
Signal & Target
BUY $10.00
Start Price $9.52
Best Price (1Y)
$13.90
Current Price $13.13
Return +37.9%
Signal & Target
BUY $14.00
Start Price $10.63
Best Price (1Y)
$14.29
Current Price $12.78
Return +20.2%
Signal & Target
BUY $215.00
Start Price $191.45
Best Price (1Y)
$200.00
Current Price $172.33
Return -10.0%
Signal & Target
SELL $20.00
Start Price $21.26
Best Price (1Y)
$19.56
Current Price $21.88
Return -2.9%
Signal & Target
BUY $195.00
Start Price $158.68
Best Price (1Y)
$199.78
Current Price $194.30
Return +22.4%
Signal & Target
BUY $50.00
Start Price $44.96
Best Price (1Y)
$45.99
Current Price $36.91
Return -17.9%
Signal & Target
BUY $82.00
Start Price $72.49
Best Price (1Y)
$100.34
Current Price $95.67
Return +32.0%
Signal & Target
BUY $30.00
Start Price $28.47
Best Price (1Y)
$29.99
Current Price $21.88
Return -23.1%
Signal & Target
BUY $34.00
Start Price $29.04
Best Price (1Y)
$30.65
Current Price $21.88
Return -24.7%
Signal & Target
BUY $50.00
Start Price $26.26
Best Price (1Y)
$33.56
Current Price $12.78
Return -51.3%
Signal & Target
BUY $185.00
Start Price $167.17
Best Price (1Y)
$239.23
Current Price $172.33
Return +3.1%
Signal & Target
BUY $78.00
Start Price $69.52
Best Price (1Y)
$100.34
Current Price $95.67
Return +37.6%
Signal & Target
BUY $32.00
Start Price $20.98
Best Price (1Y)
$22.00
Current Price $10.53
Return -49.8%
Signal & Target
BUY $74.00
Start Price $63.22
Best Price (1Y)
$64.09
Current Price $28.47
Return -55.0%
Signal & Target
BUY $186.00
Start Price $150.17
Best Price (1Y)
$199.78
Current Price $194.30
Return +29.4%
Signal & Target
BUY $28.00
Start Price $26.51
Best Price (1Y)
$27.51
Current Price $25.96
Return -2.1%
Signal & Target
BUY $72.00
Start Price $67.68
Best Price (1Y)
$75.28
Current Price $72.17
Return +6.6%
Freshpet Inc
FRPT
Jun 12, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY $90.00
Start Price $77.80
Best Price (1Y)
$85.99
Current Price $57.71
Return -25.8%
Signal & Target
BUY $120.00
Start Price $94.41
Best Price (1Y)
$119.01
Current Price $118.05
Return +25.0%
Signal & Target
BUY $56.00
Start Price $52.49
Best Price (1Y)
$67.07
Current Price $48.00
Return -8.6%
Signal & Target
BUY $180.00
Start Price $179.69
Best Price (1Y)
$208.03
Current Price $172.33
Return -4.1%
Signal & Target
BUY $60.00
Start Price $53.87
Best Price (1Y)
$68.60
Current Price $72.17
Return +34.0%
Signal & Target
BUY $85.00
Start Price $84.09
Best Price (1Y)
$86.24
Current Price $52.02
Return -38.1%
Signal & Target
BUY $82.00
Start Price $74.43
Best Price (1Y)
$75.28
Current Price $36.91
Return -50.4%
Signal & Target
SELL $50.00
Start Price $50.11
Best Price (1Y)
$29.39
Current Price $21.88
Return +56.3%
Signal & Target
BUY $138.00
Start Price $125.71
Best Price (1Y)
$186.69
Current Price $194.30
Return +54.6%
Kellanova Co
K
Aug 14, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY $83.50
Start Price $80.28
Best Price (1Y)
$83.22
Current Price $83.44
Return +3.9%
Kellanova Co
K
Aug 12, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY $76.00
Start Price $74.88
Best Price (1Y)
$83.22
Current Price $83.44
Return +11.4%
Signal & Target
BUY $41.00
Start Price $37.29
Best Price (1Y)
$43.84
Current Price $24.43
Return -34.5%
Signal & Target
BUY $130.00
Start Price $113.71
Best Price (1Y)
$125.84
Current Price $91.01
Return -20.0%
Signal & Target
BUY $54.00
Start Price $49.01
Best Price (1Y)
$62.65
Current Price $72.17
Return +47.3%
Signal & Target
BUY $115.00
Start Price $110.24
Best Price (1Y)
$186.69
Current Price $194.30
Return +76.3%
Signal & Target
BUY $120.00
Start Price $109.56
Best Price (1Y)
$186.69
Current Price $194.30
Return +77.3%
Signal & Target
BUY $42.00
Start Price $39.23
Best Price (1Y)
$45.72
Current Price $13.13
Return -66.5%
Signal & Target
BUY $30.00
Start Price $28.38
Best Price (1Y)
$33.24
Current Price $14.82
Return -47.8%
Signal & Target
BUY $70.00
Start Price $64.17
Best Price (1Y)
$75.90
Current Price $36.91
Return -42.5%
Signal & Target
BUY $40.00
Start Price $36.60
Best Price (1Y)
$40.52
Current Price $10.53
Return -71.2%
Signal & Target
BUY $50.00
Start Price $46.77
Best Price (1Y)
$61.26
Current Price $72.17
Return +54.3%
Signal & Target
BUY $135.00
Start Price $116.94
Best Price (1Y)
$125.42
Current Price $118.05
Return +0.9%
Signal & Target
BUY $40.00
Start Price $37.97
Best Price (1Y)
$46.58
Current Price $13.13
Return -65.4%
Signal & Target
BUY $36.00
Start Price $34.58
Best Price (1Y)
$43.84
Current Price $24.43
Return -29.4%
Signal & Target
BUY $32.00
Start Price $30.64
Best Price (1Y)
$33.24
Current Price $14.82
Return -51.6%
Signal & Target
BUY $115.00
Start Price $81.53
Best Price (1Y)
$83.97
Current Price $48.00
Return -41.1%
Signal & Target
BUY $38.00
Start Price $33.89
Best Price (1Y)
$40.52
Current Price $10.53
Return -68.9%
Signal & Target
SELL $75.00
Start Price $76.37
Best Price (1Y)
$69.00
Current Price $52.02
Return +31.9%
Signal & Target
BUY $45.00
Start Price $43.01
Best Price (1Y)
$52.80
Current Price $21.88
Return -49.1%
Signal & Target
BUY $95.00
Start Price $81.85
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price $36.91
Return -54.9%
Signal & Target
BUY $43.00
Start Price $35.97
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price $14.82
Return -58.8%
Signal & Target
BUY $114.00
Start Price $98.16
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price $194.30
Return +97.9%
Signal & Target
BUY $52.00
Start Price $46.43
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price $72.17
Return +55.4%
Signal & Target
BUY $44.00
Start Price $39.34
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price $25.96
Return -34.0%