Matthew Smith Score: 38
Analyst at
Stifel Nicolaus
Avg Return (Buy)
How much profit would you make?
Calculates the average return of all BUY recommendations after exactly 1 year (or today if newer).
Note: Sell ratings are ignored here to focus on investment potential.
Calculates the average return of all BUY recommendations after exactly 1 year (or today if newer).
Note: Sell ratings are ignored here to focus on investment potential.
-9.8%
1 Year Cap
Win Rate
How often is the direction correct?
Percentage of trades that are currently profitable.
• Buy: Stock price went UP 📈
• Sell: Stock price went DOWN 📉
Percentage of trades that are currently profitable.
• Buy: Stock price went UP 📈
• Sell: Stock price went DOWN 📉
31%
17 W / 37 L
Target Met
How often was the target reached?
Hits vs. Total.
Hits vs. Total.
87%
34 W / 5 L
Precision Hit
How often precise (±3%)?
Hits vs. Total.
Hits vs. Total.
23%
9 W / 30 L
Bullseye Hit
How often perfect (±1%)?
Hits vs. Total.
Hits vs. Total.
10%
4 W / 35 L
High Conviction
The "Brave" Trades (>20% Upside)
Win Rate only for recommendations where the analyst predicted a massive move (>20%).
Shows if they are right when they bet big.
Win Rate only for recommendations where the analyst predicted a massive move (>20%).
Shows if they are right when they bet big.
38%
3 W / 5 L
Long Wins
Success rate for BUY ratings
How often is the analyst right when saying "Buy"?
(Price went UP).
How often is the analyst right when saying "Buy"?
(Price went UP).
29%
15 W / 36 L
Short Wins
Success rate for SELL ratings
How often is the analyst right when saying "Sell"?
(Price went DOWN).
How often is the analyst right when saying "Sell"?
(Price went DOWN).
67%
2 W / 1 L
Coverage & Price Targets
| Date | Stock | Signal | Target | Start Price | Best Price (1Y) | Accuracy | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2026 |
J.M. Smucker Co.
SJM
|
BUY |
$132.00
Est. +1%
|
$130.90 | $135.89 |
Precision Hit (±3%)
|
$121.00
-7.6%
|
| Aug 07, 2026 |
Post Holdings Inc
POST
|
BUY |
$125.00
Est. +39%
|
$90.23 | $86.41 |
Pending
|
$73.15
-18.9%
|
| Jul 22, 2026 |
Bellring Brands Inc
BRBR
|
BUY |
$15.00
Est. +18%
|
$12.66 | $14.18 |
Pending
|
$7.91
-37.5%
|
| May 08, 2026 |
Vital Farms Inc
VITL
|
BUY |
$10.00
Est. +5%
|
$9.52 | $14.06 |
Target Met
|
$9.95
+4.5%
|
| May 06, 2026 |
Bellring Brands Inc
BRBR
|
BUY |
$14.00
Est. +32%
|
$10.63 | $14.29 |
Precision Hit (±3%)
|
$7.91
-25.6%
|
| Apr 21, 2026 |
Hershey Company
HSY
|
BUY |
$215.00
Est. +12%
|
$191.45 | $200.00 |
Pending
|
$166.37
-13.1%
|
| Apr 21, 2026 |
Campbell Soup Co.
CPB
|
SELL |
$20.00
Est. +6%
|
$21.26 | $19.26 (Low) |
Target Met
|
$19.37
+8.9%
|
| Apr 10, 2026 |
Philip Morris International Inc
PM
|
BUY |
$195.00
Est. +23%
|
$158.68 | $207.76 |
Target Met
|
$190.48
+20.0%
|
| Feb 18, 2026 |
General Mills, Inc.
GIS
|
BUY |
$50.00
Est. +11%
|
$44.96 | $45.99 |
Pending
|
$33.64
-25.2%
|
| Dec 12, 2025 |
Monster Beverage Corp.
MNST
|
BUY |
$82.00
Est. +13%
|
$72.49 | $50.17 |
Pending
|
$43.11
-40.5%
|
| Dec 10, 2025 |
Campbell Soup Co.
CPB
|
BUY |
$30.00
Est. +5%
|
$28.47 | $29.99 |
Bullseye Hit (±1%)
|
$19.37
-32.0%
|
| Dec 09, 2025 |
Campbell Soup Co.
CPB
|
BUY |
$34.00
Est. +17%
|
$29.04 | $30.65 |
Pending
|
$19.37
-33.3%
|
| Nov 19, 2025 |
Bellring Brands Inc
BRBR
|
BUY |
$50.00
Est. +90%
|
$26.26 | $33.56 |
Pending
|
$7.91
-69.9%
|
| Oct 31, 2025 |
Hershey Company
HSY
|
BUY |
$185.00
Est. +11%
|
$167.17 | $239.23 |
Target Met
|
$166.37
-0.5%
|
| Oct 24, 2025 |
Celsius Holdings Inc
CELH
|
BUY |
$74.00
Est. +17%
|
$63.22 | $64.09 |
Pending
|
$27.99
-55.7%
|
| Oct 24, 2025 |
Monster Beverage Corp.
MNST
|
BUY |
$78.00
Est. +12%
|
$69.52 | $50.17 |
Pending
|
$43.11
-38.0%
|
| Oct 24, 2025 |
Simply Good Foods Co
SMPL
|
BUY |
$32.00
Est. +53%
|
$20.98 | $22.00 |
Pending
|
$9.60
-54.2%
|
| Oct 21, 2025 |
Philip Morris International Inc
PM
|
BUY |
$186.00
Est. +24%
|
$150.17 | $207.76 |
Target Met
|
$190.48
+26.8%
|
| Sep 03, 2025 |
Kraft Heinz Co
KHC
|
BUY |
$28.00
Est. +6%
|
$26.51 | $28.09 |
Bullseye Hit (±1%)
|
$23.63
-10.9%
|
| Aug 21, 2025 |
Altria Group Inc.
MO
|
BUY |
$72.00
Est. +6%
|
$67.68 | $77.06 |
Target Met
|
$68.81
+1.7%
|
| Jun 12, 2025 |
Freshpet Inc
FRPT
|
BUY |
$90.00
Est. +16%
|
$77.80 | $85.99 |
Miss
|
$57.91
-25.6%
|
| Jun 10, 2025 |
J.M. Smucker Co.
SJM
|
BUY |
$120.00
Est. +27%
|
$94.41 | $119.01 |
Bullseye Hit (±1%)
|
$121.00
+28.2%
|
| Apr 24, 2025 |
Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
LW
|
BUY |
$56.00
Est. +7%
|
$52.49 | $67.07 |
Target Met
|
$43.58
-17.0%
|
| Nov 07, 2024 |
Hershey Company
HSY
|
BUY |
$180.00
Est. +0%
|
$179.69 | $208.03 |
Target Met
|
$166.37
-7.4%
|
| Nov 01, 2024 |
Altria Group Inc.
MO
|
BUY |
$60.00
Est. +11%
|
$53.87 | $68.60 |
Target Met
|
$68.81
+27.7%
|
| Oct 02, 2024 |
McCormick & Co., Inc. - Ordinary Shares (Non Voting)
MKC
|
BUY |
$85.00
Est. +1%
|
$84.09 | $86.24 |
Precision Hit (±3%)
|
$47.94
-43.0%
|
| Sep 19, 2024 |
General Mills, Inc.
GIS
|
BUY |
$82.00
Est. +10%
|
$74.43 | $75.28 |
Miss
|
$33.64
-54.8%
|
| Sep 11, 2024 |
Campbell Soup Co.
CPB
|
SELL |
$50.00
Est. +0%
|
$50.11 | $29.39 (Low) |
Target Met
|
$19.37
+61.3%
|
| Sep 04, 2024 |
Philip Morris International Inc
PM
|
BUY |
$138.00
Est. +10%
|
$125.71 | $186.69 |
Target Met
|
$190.48
+51.5%
|
| Aug 14, 2024 |
Kellanova Co
K
|
BUY |
$83.50
Est. +4%
|
$80.28 | $83.22 |
Bullseye Hit (±1%)
|
$83.44
+3.9%
|
| Aug 12, 2024 |
Kellanova Co
K
|
BUY |
$76.00
Est. +1%
|
$74.88 | $83.22 |
Target Met
|
$83.44
+11.4%
|
| Aug 06, 2024 |
Treehouse Foods Inc
THS
|
BUY |
$41.00
Est. +10%
|
$37.29 | $43.84 |
Target Met
|
$24.43
-34.5%
|
| Aug 05, 2024 |
Post Holdings Inc
POST
|
BUY |
$130.00
Est. +14%
|
$113.71 | $125.84 |
Miss
|
$73.15
-35.7%
|
| Aug 01, 2024 |
Altria Group Inc.
MO
|
BUY |
$54.00
Est. +10%
|
$49.01 | $62.65 |
Target Met
|
$68.81
+40.4%
|
| Jul 24, 2024 |
Philip Morris International Inc
PM
|
BUY |
$120.00
Est. +10%
|
$109.56 | $186.69 |
Target Met
|
$190.48
+73.9%
|
| Jul 24, 2024 |
Philip Morris International Inc
PM
|
BUY |
$115.00
Est. +4%
|
$110.24 | $186.69 |
Target Met
|
$190.48
+72.8%
|
| Jul 23, 2024 |
Vital Farms Inc
VITL
|
BUY |
$42.00
Est. +7%
|
$39.23 | $45.72 |
Target Met
|
$9.95
-74.6%
|
| Jul 12, 2024 |
Conagra Brands Inc
CAG
|
BUY |
$30.00
Est. +6%
|
$28.38 | $33.24 |
Target Met
|
$14.32
-49.5%
|
| Jun 27, 2024 |
General Mills, Inc.
GIS
|
BUY |
$70.00
Est. +9%
|
$64.17 | $75.90 |
Target Met
|
$33.64
-47.6%
|
| Jun 14, 2024 |
Simply Good Foods Co
SMPL
|
BUY |
$40.00
Est. +9%
|
$36.60 | $40.52 |
Precision Hit (±3%)
|
$9.60
-73.8%
|
| Jun 07, 2024 |
Altria Group Inc.
MO
|
BUY |
$50.00
Est. +7%
|
$46.77 | $61.26 |
Target Met
|
$68.81
+47.1%
|
| Jun 06, 2024 |
J.M. Smucker Co.
SJM
|
BUY |
$135.00
Est. +15%
|
$116.94 | $125.42 |
Miss
|
$121.00
+3.5%
|
| May 09, 2024 |
Vital Farms Inc
VITL
|
BUY |
$40.00
Est. +5%
|
$37.97 | $46.58 |
Target Met
|
$9.95
-73.8%
|
| May 07, 2024 |
Treehouse Foods Inc
THS
|
BUY |
$36.00
Est. +4%
|
$34.58 | $43.84 |
Target Met
|
$24.43
-29.4%
|
| Apr 05, 2024 |
Conagra Brands Inc
CAG
|
BUY |
$32.00
Est. +4%
|
$30.64 | $33.24 |
Target Met
|
$14.32
-53.3%
|
| Apr 05, 2024 |
Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
LW
|
BUY |
$115.00
Est. +41%
|
$81.53 | $83.97 |
Miss
|
$43.58
-46.5%
|
| Mar 28, 2024 |
Simply Good Foods Co
SMPL
|
BUY |
$38.00
Est. +12%
|
$33.89 | $40.52 |
Target Met
|
$9.60
-71.7%
|
| Mar 27, 2024 |
McCormick & Co., Inc. - Ordinary Shares (Non Voting)
MKC
|
SELL |
$75.00
Est. +2%
|
$76.37 | $69.00 (Low) |
Target Met
|
$47.94
+37.2%
|
| Mar 12, 2024 |
Campbell Soup Co.
CPB
|
BUY |
$45.00
Est. +5%
|
$43.01 | $52.80 |
Target Met
|
$19.37
-55.0%
|
| Jun 27, 2023 |
General Mills, Inc.
GIS
|
BUY |
$95.00
Est. +16%
|
$81.85 | - | - |
$33.64
-58.9%
|
| May 19, 2023 |
Conagra Brands Inc
CAG
|
BUY |
$43.00
Est. +20%
|
$35.97 | - | - |
$14.32
-60.2%
|
| Apr 24, 2023 |
Kraft Heinz Co
KHC
|
BUY |
$44.00
Est. +12%
|
$39.34 | - | - |
$23.63
-39.9%
|
| Apr 24, 2023 |
Altria Group Inc.
MO
|
BUY |
$52.00
Est. +12%
|
$46.43 | - | - |
$68.81
+48.2%
|
| Apr 24, 2023 |
Philip Morris International Inc
PM
|
BUY |
$114.00
Est. +16%
|
$98.16 | - | - |
$190.48
+94.1%
|
J.M. Smucker Co.
SJM
Aug 27, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY
$132.00
Start Price
$130.90
Best Price (1Y)
$135.89
Current Price
$121.00
Return
-7.6%
Post Holdings Inc
POST
Aug 07, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY
$125.00
Start Price
$90.23
Best Price (1Y)
$86.41
Current Price
$73.15
Return
-18.9%
Bellring Brands Inc
BRBR
Jul 22, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY
$15.00
Start Price
$12.66
Best Price (1Y)
$14.18
Current Price
$7.91
Return
-37.5%
Vital Farms Inc
VITL
May 08, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY
$10.00
Start Price
$9.52
Best Price (1Y)
$14.06
Current Price
$9.95
Return
+4.5%
Bellring Brands Inc
BRBR
May 06, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY
$14.00
Start Price
$10.63
Best Price (1Y)
$14.29
Current Price
$7.91
Return
-25.6%
Hershey Company
HSY
Apr 21, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY
$215.00
Start Price
$191.45
Best Price (1Y)
$200.00
Current Price
$166.37
Return
-13.1%
Campbell Soup Co.
CPB
Apr 21, 2026
Signal & Target
SELL
$20.00
Start Price
$21.26
Best Price (1Y)
$19.26
Current Price
$19.37
Return
+8.9%
Philip Morris International Inc
PM
Apr 10, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY
$195.00
Start Price
$158.68
Best Price (1Y)
$207.76
Current Price
$190.48
Return
+20.0%
General Mills, Inc.
GIS
Feb 18, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY
$50.00
Start Price
$44.96
Best Price (1Y)
$45.99
Current Price
$33.64
Return
-25.2%
Monster Beverage Corp.
MNST
Dec 12, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$82.00
Start Price
$72.49
Best Price (1Y)
$50.17
Current Price
$43.11
Return
-40.5%
Campbell Soup Co.
CPB
Dec 10, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$30.00
Start Price
$28.47
Best Price (1Y)
$29.99
Current Price
$19.37
Return
-32.0%
Campbell Soup Co.
CPB
Dec 09, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$34.00
Start Price
$29.04
Best Price (1Y)
$30.65
Current Price
$19.37
Return
-33.3%
Bellring Brands Inc
BRBR
Nov 19, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$50.00
Start Price
$26.26
Best Price (1Y)
$33.56
Current Price
$7.91
Return
-69.9%
Hershey Company
HSY
Oct 31, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$185.00
Start Price
$167.17
Best Price (1Y)
$239.23
Current Price
$166.37
Return
-0.5%
Celsius Holdings Inc
CELH
Oct 24, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$74.00
Start Price
$63.22
Best Price (1Y)
$64.09
Current Price
$27.99
Return
-55.7%
Monster Beverage Corp.
MNST
Oct 24, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$78.00
Start Price
$69.52
Best Price (1Y)
$50.17
Current Price
$43.11
Return
-38.0%
Simply Good Foods Co
SMPL
Oct 24, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$32.00
Start Price
$20.98
Best Price (1Y)
$22.00
Current Price
$9.60
Return
-54.2%
Philip Morris International Inc
PM
Oct 21, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$186.00
Start Price
$150.17
Best Price (1Y)
$207.76
Current Price
$190.48
Return
+26.8%
Kraft Heinz Co
KHC
Sep 03, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$28.00
Start Price
$26.51
Best Price (1Y)
$28.09
Current Price
$23.63
Return
-10.9%
Altria Group Inc.
MO
Aug 21, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$72.00
Start Price
$67.68
Best Price (1Y)
$77.06
Current Price
$68.81
Return
+1.7%
Freshpet Inc
FRPT
Jun 12, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$90.00
Start Price
$77.80
Best Price (1Y)
$85.99
Current Price
$57.91
Return
-25.6%
J.M. Smucker Co.
SJM
Jun 10, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$120.00
Start Price
$94.41
Best Price (1Y)
$119.01
Current Price
$121.00
Return
+28.2%
Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
LW
Apr 24, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$56.00
Start Price
$52.49
Best Price (1Y)
$67.07
Current Price
$43.58
Return
-17.0%
Hershey Company
HSY
Nov 07, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$180.00
Start Price
$179.69
Best Price (1Y)
$208.03
Current Price
$166.37
Return
-7.4%
Altria Group Inc.
MO
Nov 01, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$60.00
Start Price
$53.87
Best Price (1Y)
$68.60
Current Price
$68.81
Return
+27.7%
Signal & Target
BUY
$85.00
Start Price
$84.09
Best Price (1Y)
$86.24
Current Price
$47.94
Return
-43.0%
General Mills, Inc.
GIS
Sep 19, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$82.00
Start Price
$74.43
Best Price (1Y)
$75.28
Current Price
$33.64
Return
-54.8%
Campbell Soup Co.
CPB
Sep 11, 2024
Signal & Target
SELL
$50.00
Start Price
$50.11
Best Price (1Y)
$29.39
Current Price
$19.37
Return
+61.3%
Philip Morris International Inc
PM
Sep 04, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$138.00
Start Price
$125.71
Best Price (1Y)
$186.69
Current Price
$190.48
Return
+51.5%
Kellanova Co
K
Aug 14, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$83.50
Start Price
$80.28
Best Price (1Y)
$83.22
Current Price
$83.44
Return
+3.9%
Kellanova Co
K
Aug 12, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$76.00
Start Price
$74.88
Best Price (1Y)
$83.22
Current Price
$83.44
Return
+11.4%
Treehouse Foods Inc
THS
Aug 06, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$41.00
Start Price
$37.29
Best Price (1Y)
$43.84
Current Price
$24.43
Return
-34.5%
Post Holdings Inc
POST
Aug 05, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$130.00
Start Price
$113.71
Best Price (1Y)
$125.84
Current Price
$73.15
Return
-35.7%
Altria Group Inc.
MO
Aug 01, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$54.00
Start Price
$49.01
Best Price (1Y)
$62.65
Current Price
$68.81
Return
+40.4%
Philip Morris International Inc
PM
Jul 24, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$120.00
Start Price
$109.56
Best Price (1Y)
$186.69
Current Price
$190.48
Return
+73.9%
Philip Morris International Inc
PM
Jul 24, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$115.00
Start Price
$110.24
Best Price (1Y)
$186.69
Current Price
$190.48
Return
+72.8%
Vital Farms Inc
VITL
Jul 23, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$42.00
Start Price
$39.23
Best Price (1Y)
$45.72
Current Price
$9.95
Return
-74.6%
Conagra Brands Inc
CAG
Jul 12, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$30.00
Start Price
$28.38
Best Price (1Y)
$33.24
Current Price
$14.32
Return
-49.5%
General Mills, Inc.
GIS
Jun 27, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$70.00
Start Price
$64.17
Best Price (1Y)
$75.90
Current Price
$33.64
Return
-47.6%
Simply Good Foods Co
SMPL
Jun 14, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$40.00
Start Price
$36.60
Best Price (1Y)
$40.52
Current Price
$9.60
Return
-73.8%
Altria Group Inc.
MO
Jun 07, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$50.00
Start Price
$46.77
Best Price (1Y)
$61.26
Current Price
$68.81
Return
+47.1%
J.M. Smucker Co.
SJM
Jun 06, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$135.00
Start Price
$116.94
Best Price (1Y)
$125.42
Current Price
$121.00
Return
+3.5%
Vital Farms Inc
VITL
May 09, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$40.00
Start Price
$37.97
Best Price (1Y)
$46.58
Current Price
$9.95
Return
-73.8%
Treehouse Foods Inc
THS
May 07, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$36.00
Start Price
$34.58
Best Price (1Y)
$43.84
Current Price
$24.43
Return
-29.4%
Conagra Brands Inc
CAG
Apr 05, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$32.00
Start Price
$30.64
Best Price (1Y)
$33.24
Current Price
$14.32
Return
-53.3%
Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
LW
Apr 05, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$115.00
Start Price
$81.53
Best Price (1Y)
$83.97
Current Price
$43.58
Return
-46.5%
Simply Good Foods Co
SMPL
Mar 28, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$38.00
Start Price
$33.89
Best Price (1Y)
$40.52
Current Price
$9.60
Return
-71.7%
Signal & Target
SELL
$75.00
Start Price
$76.37
Best Price (1Y)
$69.00
Current Price
$47.94
Return
+37.2%
Campbell Soup Co.
CPB
Mar 12, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$45.00
Start Price
$43.01
Best Price (1Y)
$52.80
Current Price
$19.37
Return
-55.0%
General Mills, Inc.
GIS
Jun 27, 2023
Signal & Target
BUY
$95.00
Start Price
$81.85
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price
$33.64
Return
-58.9%
Conagra Brands Inc
CAG
May 19, 2023
Signal & Target
BUY
$43.00
Start Price
$35.97
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price
$14.32
Return
-60.2%
Kraft Heinz Co
KHC
Apr 24, 2023
Signal & Target
BUY
$44.00
Start Price
$39.34
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price
$23.63
Return
-39.9%
Altria Group Inc.
MO
Apr 24, 2023
Signal & Target
BUY
$52.00
Start Price
$46.43
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price
$68.81
Return
+48.2%
Philip Morris International Inc
PM
Apr 24, 2023
Signal & Target
BUY
$114.00
Start Price
$98.16
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price
$190.48
Return
+94.1%