Carlos De Alba Score: 37
Analyst at
Morgan Stanley
Avg Return (Buy)
How much profit would you make?
Calculates the average return of all BUY recommendations after exactly 1 year (or today if newer).
Note: Sell ratings are ignored here to focus on investment potential.
Calculates the average return of all BUY recommendations after exactly 1 year (or today if newer).
Note: Sell ratings are ignored here to focus on investment potential.
+32.5%
1 Year Cap
Win Rate
How often is the direction correct?
Percentage of trades that are currently profitable.
• Buy: Stock price went UP 📈
• Sell: Stock price went DOWN 📉
Percentage of trades that are currently profitable.
• Buy: Stock price went UP 📈
• Sell: Stock price went DOWN 📉
61%
25 W / 16 L
Target Met
How often was the target reached?
Hits vs. Total.
Hits vs. Total.
79%
27 W / 7 L
Precision Hit
How often precise (±3%)?
Hits vs. Total.
Hits vs. Total.
6%
2 W / 32 L
Bullseye Hit
How often perfect (±1%)?
Hits vs. Total.
Hits vs. Total.
3%
1 W / 33 L
High Conviction
The "Brave" Trades (>20% Upside)
Win Rate only for recommendations where the analyst predicted a massive move (>20%).
Shows if they are right when they bet big.
Win Rate only for recommendations where the analyst predicted a massive move (>20%).
Shows if they are right when they bet big.
45%
5 W / 6 L
Long Wins
Success rate for BUY ratings
How often is the analyst right when saying "Buy"?
(Price went UP).
How often is the analyst right when saying "Buy"?
(Price went UP).
62%
21 W / 13 L
Short Wins
Success rate for SELL ratings
How often is the analyst right when saying "Sell"?
(Price went DOWN).
How often is the analyst right when saying "Sell"?
(Price went DOWN).
57%
4 W / 3 L
Coverage & Price Targets
| Date | Stock | Signal | Target | Start Price | Best Price (1Y) | Accuracy | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2026 |
Commercial Metals Co.
CMC
|
BUY |
$83.00
Est. +8%
|
$76.98 | $79.91 |
Pending
|
$77.03
+0.1%
|
| Apr 08, 2026 |
Vale S.A. - ADR
VALE
|
BUY |
$19.50
Est. +16%
|
$16.74 | $17.94 |
Pending
|
$16.00
-4.4%
|
| Apr 08, 2026 |
Alcoa Corp
AA
|
BUY |
$80.00
Est. +11%
|
$71.76 | $84.38 |
Target Met
|
$64.16
-10.6%
|
| Mar 17, 2026 |
Steel Dynamics Inc.
STLD
|
BUY |
$190.00
Est. +10%
|
$173.24 | $288.74 |
Target Met
|
$272.19
+57.1%
|
| Jan 09, 2026 |
Nucor Corp.
NUE
|
BUY |
$180.00
Est. +7%
|
$167.88 | $270.90 |
Target Met
|
$259.32
+54.5%
|
| Dec 15, 2025 |
Freeport-McMoRan Inc
FCX
|
BUY |
$53.00
Est. +11%
|
$47.55 | $72.09 |
Target Met
|
$70.13
+47.5%
|
| Dec 15, 2025 |
Alcoa Corp
AA
|
BUY |
$52.00
Est. +14%
|
$45.55 | $84.38 |
Target Met
|
$64.16
+40.9%
|
| Dec 15, 2025 |
Nexa Resources S.A.
NEXA
|
SELL |
$7.70
Est. +2%
|
$7.83 | $7.60 (Low) |
Precision Hit (±3%)
|
$14.41
-84.0%
|
| Dec 05, 2025 |
Ramaco Resources Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A
METC
|
SELL |
$17.50
Est. +4%
|
$18.20 | $12.66 (Low) |
Target Met
|
$14.67
+19.4%
|
| Dec 05, 2025 |
MP Materials Corporation
MP
|
BUY |
$71.00
Est. +15%
|
$61.80 | $76.80 |
Target Met
|
$58.26
-5.7%
|
| Oct 28, 2025 |
Nucor Corp.
NUE
|
BUY |
$165.00
Est. +8%
|
$152.40 | $270.90 |
Target Met
|
$259.32
+70.2%
|
| Oct 24, 2025 |
Commercial Metals Co.
CMC
|
BUY |
$68.00
Est. +12%
|
$60.87 | $84.87 |
Target Met
|
$77.03
+26.5%
|
| Oct 08, 2025 |
Vale S.A. - ADR
VALE
|
BUY |
$11.50
Est. +4%
|
$11.04 | $17.94 |
Target Met
|
$16.00
+44.9%
|
| Jul 15, 2025 |
Southern Copper Corporation
SCCO
|
BUY |
$99.00
Est. +1%
|
$97.55 | $223.89 |
Target Met
|
$193.22
+98.1%
|
| Jun 25, 2025 |
Commercial Metals Co.
CMC
|
BUY |
$57.50
Est. +17%
|
$49.18 | $84.87 |
Target Met
|
$77.03
+56.6%
|
| Apr 24, 2025 |
Steel Dynamics Inc.
STLD
|
BUY |
$140.00
Est. +11%
|
$126.46 | $229.00 |
Target Met
|
$272.19
+115.2%
|
| Mar 24, 2025 |
Nucor Corp.
NUE
|
BUY |
$164.00
Est. +29%
|
$127.40 | $196.90 |
Target Met
|
$259.32
+103.5%
|
| Feb 03, 2025 |
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc
CLF
|
BUY |
$11.00
Est. +13%
|
$9.74 | $16.70 |
Target Met
|
$13.63
+39.9%
|
| Feb 03, 2025 |
Nucor Corp.
NUE
|
BUY |
$154.00
Est. +17%
|
$131.30 | $183.32 |
Target Met
|
$259.32
+97.5%
|
| Jan 03, 2025 |
United States Steel Corp.
X
|
BUY |
$39.00
Est. +27%
|
$30.70 | $54.91 |
Target Met
|
$54.84
+78.6%
|
| Sep 19, 2024 |
Freeport-McMoRan Inc
FCX
|
BUY |
$58.00
Est. +28%
|
$45.39 | $52.61 |
Miss
|
$70.13
+54.5%
|
| Sep 19, 2024 |
MP Materials Corporation
MP
|
BUY |
$16.00
Est. +10%
|
$14.53 | $82.50 |
Target Met
|
$58.26
+301.0%
|
| Sep 19, 2024 |
United States Steel Corp.
X
|
BUY |
$49.00
Est. +30%
|
$37.70 | $54.91 |
Target Met
|
$54.84
+45.5%
|
| Sep 18, 2024 |
Nucor Corp.
NUE
|
BUY |
$170.00
Est. +20%
|
$142.18 | $170.52 |
Bullseye Hit (±1%)
|
$259.32
+82.4%
|
| Aug 15, 2024 |
Steel Dynamics Inc.
STLD
|
BUY |
$138.00
Est. +20%
|
$115.05 | $155.56 |
Target Met
|
$272.19
+136.6%
|
| Aug 15, 2024 |
Nucor Corp.
NUE
|
BUY |
$176.00
Est. +25%
|
$141.26 | $170.52 |
Miss
|
$259.32
+83.6%
|
| Jun 21, 2024 |
Alcoa Corp
AA
|
BUY |
$50.00
Est. +26%
|
$39.64 | $47.77 |
Miss
|
$64.16
+61.9%
|
| Jun 21, 2024 |
Freeport-McMoRan Inc
FCX
|
BUY |
$62.00
Est. +27%
|
$48.96 | $52.61 |
Miss
|
$70.13
+43.2%
|
| Jun 20, 2024 |
Southern Copper Corporation
SCCO
|
SELL |
$100.00
Est. +10%
|
$110.54 | $74.86 (Low) |
Target Met
|
$193.22
-74.8%
|
| Jun 20, 2024 |
Compania de Minas Buenaventura S.A. - ADR
BVN
|
BUY |
$21.00
Est. +23%
|
$17.06 | $17.71 |
Miss
|
$34.86
+104.3%
|
| Jun 20, 2024 |
Nexa Resources S.A.
NEXA
|
SELL |
$7.50
Est. +4%
|
$7.79 | $4.66 (Low) |
Target Met
|
$14.41
-85.0%
|
| May 06, 2024 |
United States Steel Corp.
X
|
BUY |
$48.00
Est. +32%
|
$36.47 | $46.13 |
Miss
|
$54.84
+50.4%
|
| Apr 22, 2024 |
Alcoa Corp
AA
|
BUY |
$36.50
Est. +0%
|
$36.35 | $47.77 |
Target Met
|
$64.16
+76.5%
|
| Mar 13, 2024 |
MP Materials Corporation
MP
|
BUY |
$15.50
Est. +10%
|
$14.05 | $25.99 |
Target Met
|
$58.26
+314.7%
|
| Sep 15, 2023 |
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc
CLF
|
BUY |
$19.00
Est. +30%
|
$14.62 | $16.47 |
Miss
|
$13.63
-6.8%
|
| Apr 17, 2023 |
Southern Copper Corporation
SCCO
|
SELL |
$70.00
Est. +12%
|
$79.96 | $63.25 (Low) |
Target Met
|
$193.22
-141.6%
|
| Sep 16, 2022 |
Alcoa Corp
AA
|
BUY |
$66.00
Est. +53%
|
$43.14 | - | - |
$64.16
+48.7%
|
| Jun 22, 2022 |
Alcoa Corp
AA
|
BUY |
$55.00
Est. +12%
|
$48.90 | - | - |
$64.16
+31.2%
|
| Jun 22, 2022 |
Freeport-McMoRan Inc
FCX
|
SELL |
$30.00
Est. +4%
|
$31.32 | - | - |
$70.13
-123.9%
|
| Mar 07, 2022 |
United States Steel Corp.
X
|
SELL |
$31.00
Est. +1%
|
$31.20 | - | - |
$54.84
-75.8%
|
| Feb 14, 2022 |
Alcoa Corp
AA
|
BUY |
$78.00
Est. +6%
|
$73.86 | - | - |
$64.16
-13.1%
|
Commercial Metals Co.
CMC
May 29, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY
$83.00
Start Price
$76.98
Best Price (1Y)
$79.91
Current Price
$77.03
Return
+0.1%
Vale S.A. - ADR
VALE
Apr 08, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY
$19.50
Start Price
$16.74
Best Price (1Y)
$17.94
Current Price
$16.00
Return
-4.4%
Alcoa Corp
AA
Apr 08, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY
$80.00
Start Price
$71.76
Best Price (1Y)
$84.38
Current Price
$64.16
Return
-10.6%
Steel Dynamics Inc.
STLD
Mar 17, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY
$190.00
Start Price
$173.24
Best Price (1Y)
$288.74
Current Price
$272.19
Return
+57.1%
Nucor Corp.
NUE
Jan 09, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY
$180.00
Start Price
$167.88
Best Price (1Y)
$270.90
Current Price
$259.32
Return
+54.5%
Freeport-McMoRan Inc
FCX
Dec 15, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$53.00
Start Price
$47.55
Best Price (1Y)
$72.09
Current Price
$70.13
Return
+47.5%
Alcoa Corp
AA
Dec 15, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$52.00
Start Price
$45.55
Best Price (1Y)
$84.38
Current Price
$64.16
Return
+40.9%
Nexa Resources S.A.
NEXA
Dec 15, 2025
Signal & Target
SELL
$7.70
Start Price
$7.83
Best Price (1Y)
$7.60
Current Price
$14.41
Return
-84.0%
Signal & Target
SELL
$17.50
Start Price
$18.20
Best Price (1Y)
$12.66
Current Price
$14.67
Return
+19.4%
MP Materials Corporation
MP
Dec 05, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$71.00
Start Price
$61.80
Best Price (1Y)
$76.80
Current Price
$58.26
Return
-5.7%
Nucor Corp.
NUE
Oct 28, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$165.00
Start Price
$152.40
Best Price (1Y)
$270.90
Current Price
$259.32
Return
+70.2%
Commercial Metals Co.
CMC
Oct 24, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$68.00
Start Price
$60.87
Best Price (1Y)
$84.87
Current Price
$77.03
Return
+26.5%
Vale S.A. - ADR
VALE
Oct 08, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$11.50
Start Price
$11.04
Best Price (1Y)
$17.94
Current Price
$16.00
Return
+44.9%
Southern Copper Corporation
SCCO
Jul 15, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$99.00
Start Price
$97.55
Best Price (1Y)
$223.89
Current Price
$193.22
Return
+98.1%
Commercial Metals Co.
CMC
Jun 25, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$57.50
Start Price
$49.18
Best Price (1Y)
$84.87
Current Price
$77.03
Return
+56.6%
Steel Dynamics Inc.
STLD
Apr 24, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$140.00
Start Price
$126.46
Best Price (1Y)
$229.00
Current Price
$272.19
Return
+115.2%
Nucor Corp.
NUE
Mar 24, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$164.00
Start Price
$127.40
Best Price (1Y)
$196.90
Current Price
$259.32
Return
+103.5%
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc
CLF
Feb 03, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$11.00
Start Price
$9.74
Best Price (1Y)
$16.70
Current Price
$13.63
Return
+39.9%
Nucor Corp.
NUE
Feb 03, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$154.00
Start Price
$131.30
Best Price (1Y)
$183.32
Current Price
$259.32
Return
+97.5%
United States Steel Corp.
X
Jan 03, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$39.00
Start Price
$30.70
Best Price (1Y)
$54.91
Current Price
$54.84
Return
+78.6%
Freeport-McMoRan Inc
FCX
Sep 19, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$58.00
Start Price
$45.39
Best Price (1Y)
$52.61
Current Price
$70.13
Return
+54.5%
MP Materials Corporation
MP
Sep 19, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$16.00
Start Price
$14.53
Best Price (1Y)
$82.50
Current Price
$58.26
Return
+301.0%
United States Steel Corp.
X
Sep 19, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$49.00
Start Price
$37.70
Best Price (1Y)
$54.91
Current Price
$54.84
Return
+45.5%
Nucor Corp.
NUE
Sep 18, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$170.00
Start Price
$142.18
Best Price (1Y)
$170.52
Current Price
$259.32
Return
+82.4%
Steel Dynamics Inc.
STLD
Aug 15, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$138.00
Start Price
$115.05
Best Price (1Y)
$155.56
Current Price
$272.19
Return
+136.6%
Nucor Corp.
NUE
Aug 15, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$176.00
Start Price
$141.26
Best Price (1Y)
$170.52
Current Price
$259.32
Return
+83.6%
Alcoa Corp
AA
Jun 21, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$50.00
Start Price
$39.64
Best Price (1Y)
$47.77
Current Price
$64.16
Return
+61.9%
Freeport-McMoRan Inc
FCX
Jun 21, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$62.00
Start Price
$48.96
Best Price (1Y)
$52.61
Current Price
$70.13
Return
+43.2%
Southern Copper Corporation
SCCO
Jun 20, 2024
Signal & Target
SELL
$100.00
Start Price
$110.54
Best Price (1Y)
$74.86
Current Price
$193.22
Return
-74.8%
Compania de Minas Buenaventura S.A. - ADR
BVN
Jun 20, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$21.00
Start Price
$17.06
Best Price (1Y)
$17.71
Current Price
$34.86
Return
+104.3%
Nexa Resources S.A.
NEXA
Jun 20, 2024
Signal & Target
SELL
$7.50
Start Price
$7.79
Best Price (1Y)
$4.66
Current Price
$14.41
Return
-85.0%
United States Steel Corp.
X
May 06, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$48.00
Start Price
$36.47
Best Price (1Y)
$46.13
Current Price
$54.84
Return
+50.4%
Alcoa Corp
AA
Apr 22, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$36.50
Start Price
$36.35
Best Price (1Y)
$47.77
Current Price
$64.16
Return
+76.5%
MP Materials Corporation
MP
Mar 13, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$15.50
Start Price
$14.05
Best Price (1Y)
$25.99
Current Price
$58.26
Return
+314.7%
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc
CLF
Sep 15, 2023
Signal & Target
BUY
$19.00
Start Price
$14.62
Best Price (1Y)
$16.47
Current Price
$13.63
Return
-6.8%
Southern Copper Corporation
SCCO
Apr 17, 2023
Signal & Target
SELL
$70.00
Start Price
$79.96
Best Price (1Y)
$63.25
Current Price
$193.22
Return
-141.6%
Alcoa Corp
AA
Sep 16, 2022
Signal & Target
BUY
$66.00
Start Price
$43.14
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price
$64.16
Return
+48.7%
Alcoa Corp
AA
Jun 22, 2022
Signal & Target
BUY
$55.00
Start Price
$48.90
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price
$64.16
Return
+31.2%
Freeport-McMoRan Inc
FCX
Jun 22, 2022
Signal & Target
SELL
$30.00
Start Price
$31.32
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price
$70.13
Return
-123.9%
United States Steel Corp.
X
Mar 07, 2022
Signal & Target
SELL
$31.00
Start Price
$31.20
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price
$54.84
Return
-75.8%
Alcoa Corp
AA
Feb 14, 2022
Signal & Target
BUY
$78.00
Start Price
$73.86
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price
$64.16
Return
-13.1%