Aaron Hecht Score: 33
Analyst at
JMP Securities
Avg Return (Buy)
How much profit would you make?
Calculates the average return of all BUY recommendations after exactly 1 year (or today if newer).
Note: Sell ratings are ignored here to focus on investment potential.
Calculates the average return of all BUY recommendations after exactly 1 year (or today if newer).
Note: Sell ratings are ignored here to focus on investment potential.
-2.1%
1 Year Cap
Win Rate
How often is the direction correct?
Percentage of trades that are currently profitable.
• Buy: Stock price went UP 📈
• Sell: Stock price went DOWN 📉
Percentage of trades that are currently profitable.
• Buy: Stock price went UP 📈
• Sell: Stock price went DOWN 📉
33%
4 W / 8 L
Target Met
How often was the target reached?
Hits vs. Total.
Hits vs. Total.
57%
4 W / 3 L
Precision Hit
How often precise (±3%)?
Hits vs. Total.
Hits vs. Total.
29%
2 W / 5 L
Bullseye Hit
How often perfect (±1%)?
Hits vs. Total.
Hits vs. Total.
14%
1 W / 6 L
High Conviction
The "Brave" Trades (>20% Upside)
Win Rate only for recommendations where the analyst predicted a massive move (>20%).
Shows if they are right when they bet big.
Win Rate only for recommendations where the analyst predicted a massive move (>20%).
Shows if they are right when they bet big.
50%
4 W / 4 L
Long Wins
Success rate for BUY ratings
How often is the analyst right when saying "Buy"?
(Price went UP).
How often is the analyst right when saying "Buy"?
(Price went UP).
27%
3 W / 8 L
Short Wins
Success rate for SELL ratings
How often is the analyst right when saying "Sell"?
(Price went DOWN).
How often is the analyst right when saying "Sell"?
(Price went DOWN).
100%
1 W / 0 L
Coverage & Price Targets
| Date | Stock | Signal | Target | Start Price | Best Price (1Y) | Accuracy | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2025 |
Lennar Corp. - Ordinary Shares - Class A
LEN
|
BUY |
$140.00
Est. +10%
|
$127.32 | $133.76 |
Pending
|
$89.75
-29.5%
|
| Aug 27, 2025 |
LGI Homes Inc
LGIH
|
BUY |
$85.00
Est. +34%
|
$63.41 | $69.42 |
Pending
|
$53.52
-15.6%
|
| Aug 07, 2025 |
LGI Homes Inc
LGIH
|
BUY |
$75.00
Est. +26%
|
$59.32 | $69.42 |
Pending
|
$53.52
-9.8%
|
| Jul 15, 2025 |
Forestar Group Inc - Ordinary Shares New
FOR
|
BUY |
$30.00
Est. +36%
|
$22.14 | $30.74 |
Precision Hit (±3%)
|
$28.50
+28.7%
|
| Dec 18, 2024 |
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc
HGV
|
BUY |
$50.00
Est. +32%
|
$37.98 | $52.08 |
Target Met
|
$51.17
+34.7%
|
| Sep 25, 2024 |
Monday.Com Ltd
MNDY
|
SELL |
$135.00
Est. +53%
|
$285.64 | $166.22 (Low) |
Miss
|
$77.26
+73.0%
|
| Jul 19, 2024 |
D.R. Horton Inc.
DHI
|
BUY |
$210.00
Est. +21%
|
$173.42 | $199.85 |
Miss
|
$155.09
-10.6%
|
| Mar 12, 2024 |
American Homes 4 Rent - Ordinary Shares - Class A
AMH
|
BUY |
$41.00
Est. +11%
|
$36.85 | $41.41 |
Bullseye Hit (±1%)
|
$32.62
-11.5%
|
| May 08, 2023 |
Independence Realty Trust Inc
IRT
|
BUY |
$20.00
Est. +18%
|
$17.00 | - | - |
$16.59
-2.4%
|
| Apr 12, 2023 |
LGI Homes Inc
LGIH
|
BUY |
$130.00
Est. +17%
|
$111.11 | - | - |
$53.52
-51.8%
|
| Oct 04, 2022 |
Lennar Corp. - Ordinary Shares - Class A
LEN
|
BUY |
$115.00
Est. +43%
|
$80.50 | $133.24 |
Target Met
|
$89.75
+11.5%
|
| Dec 17, 2021 |
Lennar Corp. - Ordinary Shares - Class A
LEN
|
BUY |
$130.00
Est. +23%
|
$105.43 | $116.73 |
Miss
|
$89.75
-14.9%
|
Lennar Corp. - Ordinary Shares - Class A
LEN
Sep 22, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$140.00
Start Price
$127.32
Best Price (1Y)
$133.76
Current Price
$89.75
Return
-29.5%
LGI Homes Inc
LGIH
Aug 27, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$85.00
Start Price
$63.41
Best Price (1Y)
$69.42
Current Price
$53.52
Return
-15.6%
LGI Homes Inc
LGIH
Aug 07, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$75.00
Start Price
$59.32
Best Price (1Y)
$69.42
Current Price
$53.52
Return
-9.8%
Forestar Group Inc - Ordinary Shares New
FOR
Jul 15, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY
$30.00
Start Price
$22.14
Best Price (1Y)
$30.74
Current Price
$28.50
Return
+28.7%
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc
HGV
Dec 18, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$50.00
Start Price
$37.98
Best Price (1Y)
$52.08
Current Price
$51.17
Return
+34.7%
Monday.Com Ltd
MNDY
Sep 25, 2024
Signal & Target
SELL
$135.00
Start Price
$285.64
Best Price (1Y)
$166.22
Current Price
$77.26
Return
+73.0%
D.R. Horton Inc.
DHI
Jul 19, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY
$210.00
Start Price
$173.42
Best Price (1Y)
$199.85
Current Price
$155.09
Return
-10.6%
Signal & Target
BUY
$41.00
Start Price
$36.85
Best Price (1Y)
$41.41
Current Price
$32.62
Return
-11.5%
Independence Realty Trust Inc
IRT
May 08, 2023
Signal & Target
BUY
$20.00
Start Price
$17.00
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price
$16.59
Return
-2.4%
LGI Homes Inc
LGIH
Apr 12, 2023
Signal & Target
BUY
$130.00
Start Price
$111.11
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price
$53.52
Return
-51.8%
Lennar Corp. - Ordinary Shares - Class A
LEN
Oct 04, 2022
Signal & Target
BUY
$115.00
Start Price
$80.50
Best Price (1Y)
$133.24
Current Price
$89.75
Return
+11.5%
Lennar Corp. - Ordinary Shares - Class A
LEN
Dec 17, 2021
Signal & Target
BUY
$130.00
Start Price
$105.43
Best Price (1Y)
$116.73
Current Price
$89.75
Return
-14.9%