Ford Motor Co.
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Earnings Call Q3 2026
October 28, 2026 - AI Summary
Strong Q3 profitability + raised full-year guidance (core “good” news)
- Ford reported Q3 adjusted EBIT of $2.7B and company adjusted free cash flow of $4.7B, ending with $25.3B cash and $46.4B total liquidity.
- Ford raised the low end of its full-year adjusted EBIT guidance to $10.5B–$11.0B (up from prior range low-end).
- Capital return/finance: announced a Q4 regular dividend of $0.15/share (no buyback details in this transcript).
Full-year outlook: stable vehicle profit, but costs/macro are big swing factors (what to watch)
- Adj. free cash flow and capex unchanged: FCF $6B–$7B; capex $9.5B–$10.5B.
- Guidance assumptions include: U.S. SAAR 16.5M, commodity headwinds ~ $2.5B YoY, and pricing ~ +100 bps YoY (noted as 0.5 point higher than prior assumption).
- Material/warranty savings target: $1B reduction in material + warranty costs (excluding Novelis and tariffs).
- Big downside risks explicitly called out: potential significant escalation in the Middle East or a material U.S. demand downturn could materially impact results.
Automotive strategy focused on trucks/adjacencies + major EV turnaround path (opportunities + execution risk)
- Vehicle focus: Q3 portfolio leaned into trucks, vans, utilities; cited strengths include:
- F-Series highest retail share among full-size truck brands and on pace for 50th straight year as America’s best-selling truck.
- Maverick #1 best-selling hybrid pickup (U.S.).
- Transit best-selling van (U.S.); Expedition/Explorer strength in 3-row SUVs.
- Auto adjacencies scaled: software services and parts both hit record revenue with highly accretive margins; combined described as ~10% of Q3 revenue.
- Inventory discipline: Ford intends to stay around 55–65 retail days supply for stock; F-150 ~49 retail days exiting September and expected to remain low end of target range by year-end (important for avoiding incentive/inventory-driven earnings swings).
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$34.77
174.3% upside
Current Fair Value
174.3% upsideUndervalued by 174.3% based on the discounted cash flow analysis.
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Share Statistics
| Market cap | $53.43 Billion |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value | $202.66 Billion |
| Annual dividend | $0.60 |
| Dividend yield | 4.91% |
| Earnings per Share | $-2.06 |
| Beta | 1.94 |
| Outstanding Shares | 3,990,000,000 |
Return
| Return on Equity | -21.82% |
|---|---|
| Return on Assets | -2.73% |
| Return on Invested Capital | -5.56% |
Valuation & Multiples
| P/E Ratio | -6.24 |
|---|---|
| PEG | 38.35 |
| Price to Sales | 0.28 |
| Price to Book Ratio | 1.58 |
| Enterprise Value to Revenue | 1.08 |
| Enterprise Value to EBIT | -20.51 |
| Enterprise Value to Net Income | -27 |
| Total Debt to Enterprise | 0.83 |
| Debt to Equity | 4.7 |
Revenue Sources
No data
Last Earnings Call
Report Date
October 28, 2026
EPS Estimate
$0.41
Consensus analyst estimateRevenue Estimate
$49.08 B
Consensus analyst estimateNext Earnings Call
Expected Date
February 9, 2027
EPS Estimate
$0.36
Consensus analyst estimateRevenue Estimate
$48.55 B
Consensus analyst estimateInstitutional Put/Call Ratio
Compares institutional put options with call options. At 7.01, the ratio is above 1, so institutions hold more puts than calls. That is a more cautious stance.
| Put/Call Ratio | 7.0136▲ 598.07% |
|---|---|
| Total Calls | 78,419▼ 99.87% |
| Total Puts | 550,000▼ 99.15% |
Institutional Ownership
Holdings and activity of institutional investors.
| Ownership % | 2.54%▼ 66.32% |
|---|---|
| Total Invested | $1.13B▼ 97.05% |
| Investors Holding | 724▼ 1130.00% |
About Ford Motor Co.
190,000 employees
CEO: James Hackett
Ford Motor Company is a global company based in Dearborn, Michigan. The company designs, manufactures, markets and services a full line of Ford cars, trucks, SUVs, electrified vehicles and Lincoln luxury vehicles, provides financial ser...