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Adam Baumgarten Score: 25

Analyst at Vertical Research
Avg Return (Buy)
? How much profit would you make?
Calculates the average return of all BUY recommendations after exactly 1 year (or today if newer).

Note: Sell ratings are ignored here to focus on investment potential.
+24.0%
1 Year Cap
Win Rate
? How often is the direction correct?
Percentage of trades that are currently profitable.
• Buy: Stock price went UP 📈
• Sell: Stock price went DOWN 📉
33%
1 W / 2 L
Target Met
? How often was the target reached?
Hits vs. Total.
67%
2 W / 1 L
Precision Hit
? How often precise (±3%)?
Hits vs. Total.
0%
0 W / 3 L
Bullseye Hit
? How often perfect (±1%)?
Hits vs. Total.
0%
0 W / 3 L
High Conviction
? The "Brave" Trades (>20% Upside)
Win Rate only for recommendations where the analyst predicted a massive move (>20%).
Shows if they are right when they bet big.
0%
0 W / 2 L
Long Wins
? Success rate for BUY ratings
How often is the analyst right when saying "Buy"?
(Price went UP).
50%
1 W / 1 L
Short Wins
? Success rate for SELL ratings
How often is the analyst right when saying "Sell"?
(Price went DOWN).
0%
0 W / 1 L

Coverage & Price Targets

Date Stock Signal Target Start Price Best Price (1Y) Accuracy Current Price
Nov 19, 2025
James Hardie Industries plc - ADR JHX
BUY $21.00
Est. +17%
$17.91 $31.43
Target Met
$29.54 +64.9%
Nov 05, 2025
TREX Co., Inc. TREX
SELL $32.00
Est. +32%
$47.04 $29.77 (Low)
Target Met
$57.13 -21.4%
Oct 20, 2025
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. FERG
BUY $291.99
Est. +23%
$236.94 $271.64
Miss
$248.60 +4.9%
James Hardie Industries plc - ADR
JHX
Nov 19, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY $21.00
Start Price $17.91
Best Price (1Y)
$31.43
Current Price $29.54
Return +64.9%
TREX Co., Inc.
TREX
Nov 05, 2025
Signal & Target
SELL $32.00
Start Price $47.04
Best Price (1Y)
$29.77
Current Price $57.13
Return -21.4%
Ferguson Enterprises Inc.
FERG
Oct 20, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY $291.99
Start Price $236.94
Best Price (1Y)
$271.64
Current Price $248.60
Return +4.9%