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Matthew Bouley Score: 42

Analyst at Barclays, Compass Point, Hovde Group
Avg Return (Buy)
? How much profit would you make?
Calculates the average return of all BUY recommendations after exactly 1 year (or today if newer).

Note: Sell ratings are ignored here to focus on investment potential.
+6.1%
1 Year Cap
Win Rate
? How often is the direction correct?
Percentage of trades that are currently profitable.
• Buy: Stock price went UP 📈
• Sell: Stock price went DOWN 📉
52%
39 W / 36 L
Target Met
? How often was the target reached?
Hits vs. Total.
84%
49 W / 9 L
Precision Hit
? How often precise (±3%)?
Hits vs. Total.
21%
12 W / 46 L
Bullseye Hit
? How often perfect (±1%)?
Hits vs. Total.
10%
6 W / 52 L
High Conviction
? The "Brave" Trades (>20% Upside)
Win Rate only for recommendations where the analyst predicted a massive move (>20%).
Shows if they are right when they bet big.
75%
15 W / 5 L
Long Wins
? Success rate for BUY ratings
How often is the analyst right when saying "Buy"?
(Price went UP).
51%
28 W / 27 L
Short Wins
? Success rate for SELL ratings
How often is the analyst right when saying "Sell"?
(Price went DOWN).
55%
11 W / 9 L

Coverage & Price Targets

Date Stock Signal Target Start Price Best Price (1Y) Accuracy Current Price
May 27, 2026
Champion Homes Inc. SKY
BUY $94.00
Est. +31%
$71.79 $90.54
Pending
$85.25 +18.7%
May 11, 2026
TREX Co., Inc. TREX
SELL $36.00
Est. +10%
$40.20 $35.69 (Low)
Bullseye Hit (±1%)
$48.47 -20.6%
Apr 22, 2026
Masco Corp. MAS
BUY $78.00
Est. +5%
$73.96 $83.21
Target Met
$82.77 +11.9%
Feb 12, 2026
James Hardie Industries plc - ADR JHX
SELL $26.00
Est. +2%
$26.41 $17.36 (Low)
Target Met
$25.81 +2.3%
Jan 15, 2026
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. FERG
BUY $278.00
Est. +13%
$246.10 $271.64
Precision Hit (±3%)
$230.24 -6.4%
Jan 15, 2026
Champion Homes Inc. SKY
BUY $111.00
Est. +16%
$95.56 $99.17
Pending
$85.25 -10.8%
Jan 15, 2026
Compass Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A COMP
BUY $15.00
Est. +22%
$12.30 $13.96
Pending
$12.62 +2.6%
Jan 15, 2026
Owens Corning OC
BUY $138.00
Est. +12%
$123.35 $159.81
Target Met
$151.06 +22.5%
Jan 15, 2026
Latham Group Inc SWIM
BUY $7.00
Est. +4%
$6.70 $8.97
Target Met
$6.14 -8.4%
Dec 22, 2025
KB Home KBH
BUY $62.00
Est. +8%
$57.39 $67.57
Target Met
$61.16 +6.6%
Dec 18, 2025
Lennar Corp. - Ordinary Shares - Class A LEN
SELL $88.00
Est. +22%
$112.23 $81.18 (Low)
Target Met
$88.21 +21.4%
Dec 10, 2025
Toll Brothers Inc. TOL
SELL $110.00
Est. +17%
$132.90 $123.15 (Low)
Pending
$157.14 -18.2%
Dec 10, 2025
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. FERG
BUY $267.00
Est. +18%
$226.02 $271.64
Precision Hit (±3%)
$230.24 +1.9%
Dec 08, 2025
Compass Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A COMP
BUY $13.00
Est. +26%
$10.32 $13.96
Target Met
$12.62 +22.3%
Dec 08, 2025
Advanced Drainage Systems Inc WMS
BUY $181.00
Est. +22%
$148.92 $178.68
Precision Hit (±3%)
$152.18 +2.2%
Dec 08, 2025
PulteGroup Inc PHM
SELL $115.00
Est. +9%
$126.99 $108.49 (Low)
Target Met
$133.67 -5.3%
Dec 08, 2025
JELD-WEN Holding Inc. JELD
SELL $2.50
Est. +4%
$2.61 $0.93 (Low)
Target Met
$1.44 +44.8%
Dec 08, 2025
D.R. Horton Inc. DHI
SELL $132.00
Est. +17%
$158.62 $131.76 (Low)
Bullseye Hit (±1%)
$158.57 +0.0%
Dec 08, 2025
Lennar Corp. - Ordinary Shares - Class A LEN
SELL $98.00
Est. +21%
$123.91 $81.18 (Low)
Target Met
$88.21 +28.8%
Dec 01, 2025
Core & Main Inc - Ordinary Shares Class A CNM
BUY $63.00
Est. +30%
$48.34 $59.66
Pending
$44.93 -7.1%
Nov 05, 2025
Latham Group Inc SWIM
BUY $8.00
Est. +11%
$7.20 $8.97
Target Met
$6.14 -14.7%
Oct 31, 2025
Fortune Brands Innovations Inc FBIN
BUY $65.00
Est. +33%
$48.79 $64.84
Bullseye Hit (±1%)
$53.22 +9.1%
Oct 27, 2025
Mohawk Industries, Inc. MHK
BUY $122.00
Est. +2%
$120.00 $139.11
Target Met
$119.35 -0.5%
Sep 23, 2025
Anywhere Real Estate Inc HOUS
BUY $11.00
Est. +7%
$10.29 $18.03
Target Met
$17.64 +71.4%
Sep 18, 2025
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. FERG
BUY $273.00
Est. +20%
$226.74 $271.64
Bullseye Hit (±1%)
$230.24 +1.5%
Jul 31, 2025
Compass Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A COMP
BUY $8.00
Est. +11%
$7.23 $13.96
Target Met
$12.62 +74.6%
Jul 28, 2025
Mohawk Industries, Inc. MHK
BUY $125.00
Est. +3%
$120.90 $143.04
Target Met
$119.35 -1.3%
May 20, 2025
Landsea Homes Corporation - Ordinary Shares - Class A LSEA
SELL $11.00
Est. +2%
$11.22 $11.21 (Low)
Precision Hit (±3%)
$11.31 -0.8%
Apr 24, 2025
Taylor Morrison Home Corp. TMHC
BUY $69.00
Est. +20%
$57.60 $72.15
Target Met
$71.86 +24.8%
Apr 24, 2025
Masco Corp. MAS
BUY $71.00
Est. +20%
$59.32 $79.19
Target Met
$82.77 +39.5%
Apr 23, 2025
PulteGroup Inc PHM
SELL $98.00
Est. +3%
$101.06 $95.20 (Low)
Precision Hit (±3%)
$133.67 -32.3%
Mar 25, 2025
KB Home KBH
SELL $56.00
Est. +4%
$58.57 $48.90 (Low)
Target Met
$61.16 -4.4%
Jan 14, 2025
KB Home KBH
SELL $60.00
Est. +7%
$64.47 $48.90 (Low)
Target Met
$61.16 +5.1%
Oct 09, 2024
Fortune Brands Innovations Inc FBIN
BUY $100.00
Est. +15%
$87.20 $90.49
Miss
$53.22 -39.0%
Oct 09, 2024
Builders Firstsource Inc BLDR
BUY $211.00
Est. +7%
$196.73 $201.53
Miss
$84.69 -57.0%
Sep 18, 2024
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. FERG
BUY $245.00
Est. +18%
$207.06 $243.37
Bullseye Hit (±1%)
$230.24 +11.2%
Aug 20, 2024
Toll Brothers Inc. TOL
SELL $116.00
Est. +13%
$133.86 $86.67 (Low)
Target Met
$157.14 -17.4%
Aug 12, 2024
Latham Group Inc SWIM
BUY $6.00
Est. +13%
$5.30 $8.41
Target Met
$6.14 +15.8%
Aug 09, 2024
Advanced Drainage Systems Inc WMS
BUY $194.00
Est. +33%
$146.22 $166.03
Miss
$152.18 +4.1%
Jul 19, 2024
D.R. Horton Inc. DHI
BUY $200.00
Est. +15%
$173.42 $199.85
Bullseye Hit (±1%)
$158.57 -8.6%
Jul 12, 2024
PulteGroup Inc PHM
BUY $131.00
Est. +15%
$113.84 $149.44
Target Met
$133.67 +17.4%
Jul 12, 2024
TREX Co., Inc. TREX
BUY $81.00
Est. +3%
$78.38 $86.56
Target Met
$48.47 -38.2%
Jul 12, 2024
Taylor Morrison Home Corp. TMHC
BUY $62.00
Est. +4%
$59.36 $75.49
Target Met
$71.86 +21.1%
Jul 12, 2024
Masco Corp. MAS
BUY $79.00
Est. +14%
$69.22 $86.70
Target Met
$82.77 +19.6%
Jul 12, 2024
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. FERG
BUY $229.00
Est. +17%
$195.51 $226.52
Precision Hit (±3%)
$230.24 +17.8%
Jul 12, 2024
JELD-WEN Holding Inc. JELD
SELL $13.00
Est. +8%
$14.17 $3.27 (Low)
Target Met
$1.44 +89.8%
Jul 12, 2024
Anywhere Real Estate Inc HOUS
SELL $3.50
Est. +10%
$3.90 $2.71 (Low)
Target Met
$17.64 -352.3%
Jun 20, 2024
Lennar Corp. - Ordinary Shares - Class A LEN
BUY $177.00
Est. +19%
$148.72 $193.80
Target Met
$88.21 -40.7%
May 28, 2024
Toll Brothers Inc. TOL
SELL $118.00
Est. +4%
$122.91 $86.67 (Low)
Target Met
$157.14 -27.8%
May 17, 2024
Advanced Drainage Systems Inc WMS
BUY $202.00
Est. +17%
$172.44 $179.57
Miss
$152.18 -11.7%
May 13, 2024
JELD-WEN Holding Inc. JELD
BUY $15.00
Est. +3%
$14.56 $17.70
Target Met
$1.44 -90.1%
May 10, 2024
TREX Co., Inc. TREX
BUY $94.00
Est. +1%
$93.41 $86.56
Miss
$48.47 -48.1%
May 02, 2024
SiteOne Landscape Supply Inc SITE
SELL $133.00
Est. +7%
$143.51 $103.04 (Low)
Target Met
$112.39 +21.7%
Apr 26, 2024
Anywhere Real Estate Inc HOUS
SELL $4.50
Est. +10%
$5.02 $2.71 (Low)
Target Met
$17.64 -251.4%
Apr 04, 2024
D.R. Horton Inc. DHI
BUY $186.00
Est. +17%
$159.43 $199.85
Target Met
$158.57 -0.5%
Apr 04, 2024
PulteGroup Inc PHM
BUY $136.00
Est. +17%
$116.48 $149.44
Target Met
$133.67 +14.8%
Apr 04, 2024
Builders Firstsource Inc BLDR
BUY $240.00
Est. +18%
$202.77 $203.14
Miss
$84.69 -58.2%
Apr 04, 2024
TREX Co., Inc. TREX
SELL $93.00
Est. +4%
$97.15 $50.78 (Low)
Target Met
$48.47 +50.1%
Apr 04, 2024
AZEK Company Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A AZEK
BUY $58.00
Est. +18%
$49.10 $54.77
Miss
$54.35 +10.7%
Mar 20, 2024
Core & Main Inc - Ordinary Shares Class A CNM
BUY $65.00
Est. +17%
$55.51 $58.22
Miss
$44.93 -19.1%
Feb 14, 2024
Masonite International Corp DOOR
BUY $160.00
Est. +23%
$129.76 $132.89
Miss
$132.84 +2.4%
Dec 04, 2023
Core & Main Inc - Ordinary Shares Class A CNM
BUY $38.00
Est. +6%
$35.92 $57.23
Target Met
$44.93 +25.1%
Feb 05, 2023
PulteGroup Inc PHM
BUY $75.00
Est. +28%
$58.80 - -
$133.67 +127.3%
Aug 09, 2022
TREX Co., Inc. TREX
SELL $53.00
Est. +2%
$54.27 - -
$48.47 +10.7%
Jul 26, 2022
AZEK Company Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A AZEK
BUY $28.00
Est. +43%
$19.58 - -
$54.35 +177.6%
Jul 26, 2022
D.R. Horton Inc. DHI
BUY $95.00
Est. +26%
$75.36 - -
$158.57 +110.4%
Jul 26, 2022
PulteGroup Inc PHM
BUY $48.00
Est. +7%
$44.70 - -
$133.67 +199.0%
Jun 29, 2022
Lennar Corp. - Ordinary Shares - Class A LEN
BUY $85.00
Est. +22%
$69.64 $127.08
Target Met
$88.21 +26.7%
Jun 16, 2022
AZEK Company Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A AZEK
BUY $29.00
Est. +84%
$15.80 - -
$54.35 +244.0%
Jun 08, 2022
KB Home KBH
BUY $44.00
Est. +31%
$33.61 - -
$61.16 +82.0%
Apr 03, 2022
D.R. Horton Inc. DHI
BUY $104.00
Est. +37%
$76.18 - -
$158.57 +108.2%
Feb 14, 2022
Masco Corp. MAS
BUY $75.00
Est. +31%
$57.25 - -
$82.77 +44.6%
Dec 08, 2021
Builders Firstsource Inc BLDR
BUY $98.00
Est. +28%
$76.48 - -
$84.69 +10.7%
Dec 03, 2021
GMS Inc GMS
BUY $61.00
Est. +8%
$56.63 - -
$109.96 +94.2%
Dec 01, 2021
Latham Group Inc SWIM
BUY $30.00
Est. +15%
$26.13 - -
$6.14 -76.5%
Signal & Target
BUY $94.00
Start Price $71.79
Best Price (1Y)
$90.54
Current Price $85.25
Return +18.7%
Signal & Target
SELL $36.00
Start Price $40.20
Best Price (1Y)
$35.69
Current Price $48.47
Return -20.6%
Masco Corp.
MAS
Apr 22, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY $78.00
Start Price $73.96
Best Price (1Y)
$83.21
Current Price $82.77
Return +11.9%
Signal & Target
SELL $26.00
Start Price $26.41
Best Price (1Y)
$17.36
Current Price $25.81
Return +2.3%
Signal & Target
BUY $278.00
Start Price $246.10
Best Price (1Y)
$271.64
Current Price $230.24
Return -6.4%
Signal & Target
BUY $111.00
Start Price $95.56
Best Price (1Y)
$99.17
Current Price $85.25
Return -10.8%
Signal & Target
BUY $15.00
Start Price $12.30
Best Price (1Y)
$13.96
Current Price $12.62
Return +2.6%
Owens Corning
OC
Jan 15, 2026
Signal & Target
BUY $138.00
Start Price $123.35
Best Price (1Y)
$159.81
Current Price $151.06
Return +22.5%
Signal & Target
BUY $7.00
Start Price $6.70
Best Price (1Y)
$8.97
Current Price $6.14
Return -8.4%
KB Home
KBH
Dec 22, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY $62.00
Start Price $57.39
Best Price (1Y)
$67.57
Current Price $61.16
Return +6.6%
Signal & Target
SELL $88.00
Start Price $112.23
Best Price (1Y)
$81.18
Current Price $88.21
Return +21.4%
Signal & Target
SELL $110.00
Start Price $132.90
Best Price (1Y)
$123.15
Current Price $157.14
Return -18.2%
Signal & Target
BUY $267.00
Start Price $226.02
Best Price (1Y)
$271.64
Current Price $230.24
Return +1.9%
Signal & Target
BUY $13.00
Start Price $10.32
Best Price (1Y)
$13.96
Current Price $12.62
Return +22.3%
Signal & Target
BUY $181.00
Start Price $148.92
Best Price (1Y)
$178.68
Current Price $152.18
Return +2.2%
Signal & Target
SELL $115.00
Start Price $126.99
Best Price (1Y)
$108.49
Current Price $133.67
Return -5.3%
Signal & Target
SELL $2.50
Start Price $2.61
Best Price (1Y)
$0.93
Current Price $1.44
Return +44.8%
Signal & Target
SELL $132.00
Start Price $158.62
Best Price (1Y)
$131.76
Current Price $158.57
Return +0.0%
Signal & Target
SELL $98.00
Start Price $123.91
Best Price (1Y)
$81.18
Current Price $88.21
Return +28.8%
Signal & Target
BUY $63.00
Start Price $48.34
Best Price (1Y)
$59.66
Current Price $44.93
Return -7.1%
Signal & Target
BUY $8.00
Start Price $7.20
Best Price (1Y)
$8.97
Current Price $6.14
Return -14.7%
Signal & Target
BUY $65.00
Start Price $48.79
Best Price (1Y)
$64.84
Current Price $53.22
Return +9.1%
Signal & Target
BUY $122.00
Start Price $120.00
Best Price (1Y)
$139.11
Current Price $119.35
Return -0.5%
Signal & Target
BUY $11.00
Start Price $10.29
Best Price (1Y)
$18.03
Current Price $17.64
Return +71.4%
Signal & Target
BUY $273.00
Start Price $226.74
Best Price (1Y)
$271.64
Current Price $230.24
Return +1.5%
Signal & Target
BUY $8.00
Start Price $7.23
Best Price (1Y)
$13.96
Current Price $12.62
Return +74.6%
Signal & Target
BUY $125.00
Start Price $120.90
Best Price (1Y)
$143.04
Current Price $119.35
Return -1.3%
Signal & Target
SELL $11.00
Start Price $11.22
Best Price (1Y)
$11.21
Current Price $11.31
Return -0.8%
Signal & Target
BUY $69.00
Start Price $57.60
Best Price (1Y)
$72.15
Current Price $71.86
Return +24.8%
Masco Corp.
MAS
Apr 24, 2025
Signal & Target
BUY $71.00
Start Price $59.32
Best Price (1Y)
$79.19
Current Price $82.77
Return +39.5%
Signal & Target
SELL $98.00
Start Price $101.06
Best Price (1Y)
$95.20
Current Price $133.67
Return -32.3%
KB Home
KBH
Mar 25, 2025
Signal & Target
SELL $56.00
Start Price $58.57
Best Price (1Y)
$48.90
Current Price $61.16
Return -4.4%
KB Home
KBH
Jan 14, 2025
Signal & Target
SELL $60.00
Start Price $64.47
Best Price (1Y)
$48.90
Current Price $61.16
Return +5.1%
Signal & Target
BUY $100.00
Start Price $87.20
Best Price (1Y)
$90.49
Current Price $53.22
Return -39.0%
Signal & Target
BUY $211.00
Start Price $196.73
Best Price (1Y)
$201.53
Current Price $84.69
Return -57.0%
Signal & Target
BUY $245.00
Start Price $207.06
Best Price (1Y)
$243.37
Current Price $230.24
Return +11.2%
Signal & Target
SELL $116.00
Start Price $133.86
Best Price (1Y)
$86.67
Current Price $157.14
Return -17.4%
Signal & Target
BUY $6.00
Start Price $5.30
Best Price (1Y)
$8.41
Current Price $6.14
Return +15.8%
Signal & Target
BUY $194.00
Start Price $146.22
Best Price (1Y)
$166.03
Current Price $152.18
Return +4.1%
Signal & Target
BUY $200.00
Start Price $173.42
Best Price (1Y)
$199.85
Current Price $158.57
Return -8.6%
Signal & Target
BUY $131.00
Start Price $113.84
Best Price (1Y)
$149.44
Current Price $133.67
Return +17.4%
Signal & Target
BUY $81.00
Start Price $78.38
Best Price (1Y)
$86.56
Current Price $48.47
Return -38.2%
Signal & Target
BUY $62.00
Start Price $59.36
Best Price (1Y)
$75.49
Current Price $71.86
Return +21.1%
Masco Corp.
MAS
Jul 12, 2024
Signal & Target
BUY $79.00
Start Price $69.22
Best Price (1Y)
$86.70
Current Price $82.77
Return +19.6%
Signal & Target
BUY $229.00
Start Price $195.51
Best Price (1Y)
$226.52
Current Price $230.24
Return +17.8%
Signal & Target
SELL $13.00
Start Price $14.17
Best Price (1Y)
$3.27
Current Price $1.44
Return +89.8%
Signal & Target
SELL $3.50
Start Price $3.90
Best Price (1Y)
$2.71
Current Price $17.64
Return -352.3%
Signal & Target
BUY $177.00
Start Price $148.72
Best Price (1Y)
$193.80
Current Price $88.21
Return -40.7%
Signal & Target
SELL $118.00
Start Price $122.91
Best Price (1Y)
$86.67
Current Price $157.14
Return -27.8%
Signal & Target
BUY $202.00
Start Price $172.44
Best Price (1Y)
$179.57
Current Price $152.18
Return -11.7%
Signal & Target
BUY $15.00
Start Price $14.56
Best Price (1Y)
$17.70
Current Price $1.44
Return -90.1%
Signal & Target
BUY $94.00
Start Price $93.41
Best Price (1Y)
$86.56
Current Price $48.47
Return -48.1%
Signal & Target
SELL $133.00
Start Price $143.51
Best Price (1Y)
$103.04
Current Price $112.39
Return +21.7%
Signal & Target
SELL $4.50
Start Price $5.02
Best Price (1Y)
$2.71
Current Price $17.64
Return -251.4%
Signal & Target
BUY $186.00
Start Price $159.43
Best Price (1Y)
$199.85
Current Price $158.57
Return -0.5%
Signal & Target
BUY $136.00
Start Price $116.48
Best Price (1Y)
$149.44
Current Price $133.67
Return +14.8%
Signal & Target
BUY $240.00
Start Price $202.77
Best Price (1Y)
$203.14
Current Price $84.69
Return -58.2%
Signal & Target
SELL $93.00
Start Price $97.15
Best Price (1Y)
$50.78
Current Price $48.47
Return +50.1%
Signal & Target
BUY $58.00
Start Price $49.10
Best Price (1Y)
$54.77
Current Price $54.35
Return +10.7%
Signal & Target
BUY $65.00
Start Price $55.51
Best Price (1Y)
$58.22
Current Price $44.93
Return -19.1%
Signal & Target
BUY $160.00
Start Price $129.76
Best Price (1Y)
$132.89
Current Price $132.84
Return +2.4%
Signal & Target
BUY $38.00
Start Price $35.92
Best Price (1Y)
$57.23
Current Price $44.93
Return +25.1%
Signal & Target
BUY $75.00
Start Price $58.80
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price $133.67
Return +127.3%
Signal & Target
SELL $53.00
Start Price $54.27
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price $48.47
Return +10.7%
Signal & Target
BUY $28.00
Start Price $19.58
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price $54.35
Return +177.6%
Signal & Target
BUY $95.00
Start Price $75.36
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price $158.57
Return +110.4%
Signal & Target
BUY $48.00
Start Price $44.70
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price $133.67
Return +199.0%
Signal & Target
BUY $85.00
Start Price $69.64
Best Price (1Y)
$127.08
Current Price $88.21
Return +26.7%
Signal & Target
BUY $29.00
Start Price $15.80
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price $54.35
Return +244.0%
KB Home
KBH
Jun 08, 2022
Signal & Target
BUY $44.00
Start Price $33.61
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price $61.16
Return +82.0%
Signal & Target
BUY $104.00
Start Price $76.18
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price $158.57
Return +108.2%
Masco Corp.
MAS
Feb 14, 2022
Signal & Target
BUY $75.00
Start Price $57.25
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price $82.77
Return +44.6%
Signal & Target
BUY $98.00
Start Price $76.48
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price $84.69
Return +10.7%
GMS Inc
GMS
Dec 03, 2021
Signal & Target
BUY $61.00
Start Price $56.63
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price $109.96
Return +94.2%
Signal & Target
BUY $30.00
Start Price $26.13
Best Price (1Y)
-
Current Price $6.14
Return -76.5%